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The great red herring of overpopulation

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M. Spector
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George Victor wrote:

It is to say that it's time to tie a knot in the old tubes and have fun without procreating.

Apparently you either believe that we can talk our way out of "overpopulation" by getting the whole world to be "reasonable" or believe that we can force sterilization on people. Which is it? 


George Victor
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If I thought that the "whole world" was as impervious to reasoning and good old collectivist ideals as you, I'd take hemlock.(Your idea that there are only two choices is the usual solipsistic error of the "mods"). Self-centredness.

You have to give people an opportunity to reform, and if they choose not to, that, in the words of my late dear brother, is "their little red wagon." Or, as my late farmer/uncle would have put it "You can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink."

Do you see the nubbin of a "third way" in the old aphorisms?


M. Spector
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No answer. Just as I suspected.


George Victor
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Read it again you presumptuous ass.

Jingles
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Quote:
In fact, once one is convinced that humans always have and always will destroy their environment and oppress each other, there's really no point in advocating or fighting for social change at all.

Maybe your right about that. You have far more "faith" (if you'll allow me) in the nature of humanity than I. I see an animal that destroys everything in its path. I see an animal that accepts no limits on its self-destructive behaviour, whether that is nuclear power, Tar Sand mining or Quiverfulls of babies. I see a creature that has no respect for natural rythyms or systems, only respecting its own creations (material or reproductive), no matter the value or the cost to others.

Ultimately, I see an animal that hasn't changed its fundamental behaviour in thousands of years. Only the scale have changed.

In the long, deep time view, there really is no point. We've been in hypercapitalist, hyperindustrial mode for about two hundred years, and destroyed the planet in the process. People have been in North America since the ice retreated around seven thousand years ago, and they only managed to wipe out the megafauna. In the long, deep run, we'll end up back where we started. When that happens, our digital age, and our advocating for social change, will give way to finding a nice piece of flint.

Christ, we can't even convince people to recycle. What make anyone think they'll accept really serious changes to their behaviour?  Why is baby making exempt from the list of destructive things people do that is bad for the earth?

What people seem to forget is that those six billion of us are not nicely distributed evenly across the globe. There is only so much land surface that can support us. Even here in Edmonton, without gas and electricity we are dead. My grandparents may not have had either, but their survival had a couple of things in their favour: 1. Abundant local resources, like forests for firewood, and 2. Limited competition for those resources. It's one thing to live in a soddy when you have your own woodpile. It's something altogether nasty to live in a soddy with thousands of neighbours competing for that same wood. That's what we'll be facing if we don't take seriously population growth.

If we want an end to rapacious, destructive, exploitive capitalism, that will require force. That will require the infringment on some peoples' rights. There is no way around it. People will resist, and if it means the survival of life on earth, that resistance must be overcome. Whether that resistance is corporations refusing to stop harmful environmental practices, people unwilling to give up their private cars, or people who want large numbers of children, there will be a fight.

A virus reproduces itself into oblivion because it doesn't know any better. We're smarter than that, right?

 

 


M. Spector
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So your beef is not really with overpopulation, it's with population.

The Earth would be such a nice place if it weren't for those damn people on it.


Jingles
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Joined: Nov 13 2002

That's a rather unfair conclusion. We are just primates (and an intensely nasty and violent species at that), that's all. The problem with people is that they act like they own the damn place.

Anyway, I'm still unclear on what exactly is your postion. Do you maintain that population growth can continue without limits? Do you maintain that if only we get rid of capitalism, then we could still feed, clothe, and employ billions sustainably? If we can have a just, sustainable world at 7 billion, what happens at ten, or twenty billion? 

If limitless growth is a fatal flaw of capitalism, why is limitless growth of humanity a good thing?

I think that we would do well to leave some room for the other creatures on the planet. They have just as much right to be here as we do.

 


Frustrated Mess
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M. Spector wrote:

No, the disease I am referring to is the capitalist mode of production, which has enslaved and impoverished the majority of the world's people and ravaged its environment. The survival of this disease depends on having unhindered access to the world's resources and the world's labour markets.

Its objective is to harness the world's labour power and natural resources in order to enrich the owners of capital. An oversupply of labour power allows wages to be kept to a minimum and thereby profits to be maximized. It is thus in the interests of world capitalism that populations of low-paid workers increase.

At the same time, capitalism creates the conditions that motivate people to increase the birth rate. It devalues women, thereby making male children more desirable than female; women who give birth to girls will keep giving birth until they have boys. It devalues the elderly, who need to have children to support them. It exploits child labour, giving parents an economic incentive to increase family income by having more children.

 

Well, you are wrong.

The reason we have almost 7 billion people on the planet is because of the harnessing of fossil fuels. Per capita energy production has been in decline. It will continue to decline. The inevitable result will be global famine and we will war over water and arable land -- in fact, we already do.

The economic model of industrialization whether it be industrial/consumer capitalism. industrial socialism, democratic socialism (an offshoot of consumer capitalism), fascism, or Soviet style communism, the cause - overpopulation due to harnessing the vast energy resources of fossil fuels, and the effect - collapse as fossil fuels are exhausted, remain the same.

There is no escaping it any more than there is escaping the coming of night after day.

The point that we have 7 billion people on the planet and the only way to feed, water, house, clothe, and transport all of them is through the very same unsustainable industrial methods that is systematically destroying our planet is simply not debatable unless you have Star Trek's synthesizer and you are holding out on us.

People can cry "facism" and "meanie" and "cruelty" until their throats ache but it doesn't change that increasingly billions of people face homelessness, famine, thirst, and disease because of rising population and increasingly scarce resources and that is far crueler and meaner than any sort of effort at controlling population.

May I recommend everyone read this: Planet of Weeds ( Same article, free link: http://www.well.com/user/davidu/weeds.html )


M. Spector
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Jingles wrote:

Anyway, I'm still unclear on what exactly is your postion. Do you maintain that population growth can continue without limits? Do you maintain that if only we get rid of capitalism, then we could still feed, clothe, and employ billions sustainably? If we can have a just, sustainable world at 7 billion, what happens at ten, or twenty billion?

I thought I had made my position clear, as for example at post #31 above, where I said

Quote:
I don't say that if we get rid of capitalism we can have unlimited population growth.  I do maintain that our current population growth is driven by economics and that we can create a society in which population levels will not be pressured to increase for economic reasons.

Human population is driven by socio-economic factors. Reversing present trends is going to require a major socio-economic change. We can have that forced on us by the collapse of the planetary ecosystem, world war, epidemic disease, etc. or we can choose to make the necessary changes to our societies and our economies. I agree with Rosa Luxemburg who said our choice is Socialism or Barbarism. Today I would say "Ecosocialism or Barbarism."

I believe that populations in a socialist society would stabilize and adjust to the material conditions of the day. This is not just a dream or an idle theory. It has been demonstrated in many countries where health, literacy, and education have been improved, along with women's reproductive freedoms, that population increase rates will decline, even into negative numbers.

And this is in advanced capitalist countries. The people of the global South will never become advanced capitalist countries; only socialism will allow them to achieve the socio-economic conditions that would achieve the same thing. Population control would be only one small part of a whole new relationship with the earth and its resources; trying to deal with it in isolation is futile.


M. Spector
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Frustrated Mess wrote:

There is no escaping it any more than there is escaping the coming of night after day.

I'm sad that you think so. It's one thing to throw up your hands and say we are headed for a mass extinction, just like the dinosaurs, and it's another thing to refuse to accept that, and resolve to fight the forces that are driving us there.

If fossil fuels are, as you say, responsible, let's get rid of them.

The capitalist system has been living on fossil fuels like an addict on crack cocaine for the last 200 years. It will never voluntarily give them up: "Hey, it's 'free' concentrated energy we can take out of the ground and sell to people for a profit! We can use it to power our factories and increase productivity, thereby postponing the day of reckoning with our built-in, inevitable decline in the rate of profit. What's not to like?"

But imagine if fossil fuels had never existed. Do you think that if the capitalists had instead discovered how to use nuclear energy to power their factories, their war machines, their transportation systems, etc. that the world would be in a better place today, population-wise and environment-wise? Of course not, and it's not because of the particular form of energy, but because of the whole apparatus of exploitation, alienation, and oppression that characterizes the capitalist mode of production.

So we disagree on the causes of the population boom and the destruction of the environment. You think it's driven primarily by technology and I think it's driven primarily by economics. Personally, I don't think there's much hope for the human race without technology; our entire evolutionary history for the past 50,000 years has been driven by the quest to improve it in order better to survive. We could go back to living in caves, but I like to think there are better options available.


Fidel
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Frustrated Mess wrote:

Well, you are wrong.

The reason we have almost 7 billion people on the planet is because of the harnessing of fossil fuels. Per capita energy production has been in decline. It will continue to decline. The inevitable result will be global famine and we will war over water and arable land -- in fact, we already do.

I dont see any real corelation between fossil fuel use and population explosion. It might be a contributing factor. But if it was the largest contributing factor, then North America should have at least a billion people by now having consumed more oil and total energy than most countries, including China, have ever consumed. The USA contributes 22% of CO2 emissions, and Canada is the USA's largest supplier of fossil fuels among several energy exporting countries

Quote:
The economic model of industrialization whether it be industrial/consumer capitalism. industrial socialism, democratic socialism (an offshoot of consumer capitalism), fascism, or Soviet style communism, the cause - overpopulation due to harnessing the vast energy resources of fossil fuels, and the effect - collapse as fossil fuels are exhausted, remain the same.

The Soviet Union's population growth was somewhere less than one percent in 1991 and certainly not what it is in Africa, Latin America and South Asia today where poverty and thirdworld capitalism is the rule. 


M. Spector
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George Victor wrote:
Read it again you presumptuous ass.

I'm still waiting to hear how George Victor proposes to persuade 6 billion people to commit genetic suicide by "tying a knot in the old tubes and having fun without procreating".

Will he drop leaflets from aircraft? Over which countries - the 20% that use up 86% of the world's production? Oh no, wait - they already have negative population growth rates!

So it'll have to be the other 80% - the brown people who live on 14% of the world's wealth. Gee, I hope they can read George's leaflets.

But, assuming illiteracy is no problem, what will the leaflets say? I'm sure they'd be willing to listen to reason about how their careless breeding practices are spoiling things for the rest of us. Surely George can come up with some persuasive arguments why they should forget about having as many sons as possible, and to stop worrying about who will support them when they are no longer able to work 18-hour days due to injury, sickness, or old age. Or how their lives are already so full of joy that they can easily forego the joys and consolations of family life and love. Maybe George could recommend a few good books they could read (doesn't Joe Bageant have something to say about overpopulation?) Or he could just insult them and call them names.


Fidel
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M. Spector wrote:

George Victor wrote:
Read it again you presumptuous ass.

I'm still waiting to hear how George Victor proposes to persuade 6 billion people to commit genetic suicide by "tying a knot in the old tubes and having fun without procreating".

I'm pretty sure tube tying would require access to medical services. And they'd need socialized medicine if they ever planned on seeing a doctor for the first time in their poverty-stricken lives in thirdworld capitalist countries.

Viva la Revolucion!


mersh
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Joined: Aug 25 2005

Maybe we could round up women (and occasionally men) and sterlize them by force? Oh, wait, that's already been/being done.

Maybe we could use women as test subjects for new forms of fertility control (pharmacological and physiological/mechanical) without telling them? Oh, wait, that's already been/being done.

Maybe we could "pay" women through threats to cut off welfare or lie to them about the vouchers or money they'll receive if only they would agree to undergo surgery in extremely unhealthy conditions? Oh, wait, that's already been/being done.

Maybe we could support social, health and educational infrastructure, while also transforming our economic system -- with the primary goal of, wait for it, extending social justice throughout the planet, recognizing the rights of women in particular -- with the additional "benefit" of actually seeing greater reproductive choice and flexibility for women. Oh wait, that's just impossible. Culling is so much more practical and reflects a real concern for humanity...


Fidel
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mersh wrote:

 Culling is so much more practical and reflects a real concern for humanity...

There are billions of people representing a threat to exclusive private property rights, and "illegal enemy combatants" around the world. Imagine how lucrative it could be separating all those illegals from the commons.

 

 


M. Spector
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Mersh:


mersh
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Fidel wrote:
mersh wrote:

 Culling is so much more practical and reflects a real concern for humanity...

There are billions of people representing a threat to exclusive private property rights, and "illegal enemy combatants" around the world. Imagine how lucrative it could be separating all those illegals from the commons.

It's already happened. It continues to happen. In economic terms, we already have millions (if not hundreds of millions) of superfluous people. They are completely excluded from the game, and they are subject to ongoing extermination by their exclusion. For some Erlich types, maybe they aren't dying fast enough?


George Victor
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I don't believe I have the answers to the problem, MS.  I once used your "leafletting of the world" answer in good humour.

But I do see  human population growth of 1,000,000 more living human beings joining us every four or five days  as a problem.

And, again, for folks who don't see it as a problem, that's up to them. Those who act on it in their own fashion , perhaps  liberated by Fidel's revolution, I'd be first to applaud their effort.  Just as I think Fidel's Cuba is a sign of hope for the really struggling part of the world. The way out (see the above graphs indicating Cuban responsibility at the individual and state level).

Just don't accuse me of holding monstrous, anti-human inclinations, MS.

Or be ready for names.  And you haven't really seen anything, yet!Wink

The smart-assed mershes are a dime a dozen. You, I know care.

Ghislaine
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Joined: Feb 15 2008

What M Spector and Fidel said.

 

How come all of those so willing to tell women that we should tie our tubes and not have children for the good of the planet are not willing to remove themselves from the planet?  Especially when they are sitting typing at a plastic computer, using up scarce energy resources and living a lifestyle that consumes triple the amount of resources of those they would like to see sterilized (voluntarily of course!) in the high fertility zones of the world.

 Again - humanity needs to live sustainably on this planet. But, as others point out - do you notice anything in particular about areas of the world with higher than replacement level birthrates? Women have fewer rights, no access to healthcare and no access to birth control (and/or they have fervent religious beliefs about procreation). Canada's birthrate is presently declining, so the women here are already doing as you wish.

 And yes, if you refuse to believe that a woman's right to her own body and religious freedom are "absolute rights" than you are fascist.


George Victor
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To reiterate my point from last evening:

"To argue that there is only so much effing room on the planet is NOT to argue for a "culling". It is to say that it's time to tie a knot in the old tubes and have fun without procreating. Hell, responsible people have been deciding just how many kids they can afford to educate for many moons now. It's what the womens movement fought for a half century back - and is still fighting for."

----------------------------------------------------

Seems to bear (need) repeating.

And in our own case, it was I who had the tubes tied. And don't you believe that it's as painless as they say! But someone's gotta do it, eh? (and here is where I would post a funny face if this goddam progam presented it for posting ...whoops, it just appeared. ThereLaughing

Ghislaine
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George Victor wrote:

To reiterate my point from last evening:

"To argue that there is only so much effing room on the planet is NOT to argue for a "culling". It is to say that it's time to tie a knot in the old tubes and have fun without procreating. Hell, responsible people have been deciding just how many kids they can afford to educate for many moons now. It's what the womens movement fought for a half century back - and is still fighting for."

----------------------------------------------------

Seems to bear (need) repeating.

As long as you agree that it should be the woman and/or the man's choice whether to sterilize themselves or abort, etc. It is one thing to argue that it is time to tie the tubes and have fun without procreating, it is another to say that others must do these things and be compelled to do so by the State.


George Victor
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I don't recall saying the state should step in. Once more, go to the parable of the "little red wagon." Gotta get this right. The "fightin' feminists" were always misquoted and having stuff taken out of context back when.

Merowe
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Joined: Apr 16 2003

Wow, rough seas in the teapot today. George and Jerry show good sense IMHO, not to diss the others.

First point: human population starts to go geometric around the Industrial Revolution for the simple reason that the economic system that fostered it demonstrated an unparalleled ability to produce surpluses: population rises in the context of its waxing bounty. Like bacteria. Oil, the greatest fossil fuel of them all, kicks in and in less than a century, after 12,000 years of almost steady-state mainly agricultural economies we are so close to the y-axis we could reach over with a stick and poke it. Under the current Anglo-American capitalist model aka virtual anarchy human populations will necessarily follow Hubbert's Peak and decline along with the resource that oversaw its precipitious ascent. That's a no-brainer.

Ghislaine seems to miss the larger picture in her valorization of a woman's right to choose. In earlier subsistence cultures women CHOSE to limit the number of children they had in response to the resource base upon which their cultures depended. In this way they demonstrated simultaneously a responsibility to the greater society AND autonomy over their biology. 

In the context of overall population overshoot re: said base it makes sense to moderate the baby-making and it is NOT a gender issue. Perhaps she's feeling attacked for wanting three kids, I don't know. For godsakes, have'em! You live in a wealthy nation with a fairly stable population, on the whole es machts nichts. Here in east Germany where the population is in slight decline the government actively encourages babymaking and I can't walk down the street here without tripping over prams full of gurgling infants. 

Also, the whole argument around 'culling' is hysterical nonsense. Consider how countries like Uganda have rapidly turned around the AIDS crisis with comprehensive education and health programs to change people's traditional practices and I see much the same being implemented wrt population. Nobody needs to be forced to do anything: rather, social mores evolve in response to identified issues and that evolution can be encouraged across a wide range of strategies including conscious state-initiated programs etc. Public campaigns to raise awareness should be sufficient to enlighten the majority; there will doubtless be a few holdouts but their proliferation shouldn't undermine the general direction towards stabilizing or moderating populations. 

The wife of a good friend of mine recently got pregnant - with twins - just as the relationship was ending. They already had three kids and I am afraid I lost all respect for them when she carried them to term. So what if she's one of these women who loves being pregnant? I like poking the eyes out of small dogs but in the interests of the general welfare I consciously force myself to curb this passion - and deal with any feelings that my true destiny is being thwarted.

Educated, globally conscious people don't breed like bloody rabbits, its as simple as that. 'Think globally, act locally' sort of thing.


Jerry West
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Ghislaine wrote:

if you refuse to believe that a woman's right to her own body and religious freedom are "absolute rights" than you are fascist. 

What makes a right absolute?  What is the difference between absolute rights and conditional ones?  Are there any other absolute rights? How can you support your statement?  What does facist mean in your lexicon?

 


M. Spector
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Merowe wrote:

In earlier subsistence cultures women CHOSE to limit the number of children they had in response to the resource base upon which their cultures depended. In this way they demonstrated simultaneously a responsibility to the greater society AND autonomy over their biology.

And in present-day subsistence cultures many women choose not to limit the number of children, for reasons enumerated above, and many have no means to limit the number of children, even if they want to. That doesn't mean they have no social conscience.

Your theory suggests that back in the good old days, poor people had the good sense not to have too many children. I'd like to see your evidence for that. 

Quote:
Here in east Germany where the population is in slight decline the government actively encourages babymaking...

Is the German government being irresponsible in doing so? The neo-Malthusian population control people would say so.

And by the way, has Germany's environment and resource management improved as a result of declining population? Are there no more poor people in Germany? Are emissions of greenhouse gas under control, now that the population explosion is in check?

Didn't think so. What makes anyone think that Nigeria would be any different?

Capitalism persists, even after the population is stabilized. And lo and behold all the problems attributed to runaway population growth remain.

Who knew?


Ghislaine
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Jerry West wrote:

Ghislaine wrote:

if you refuse to believe that a woman's right to her own body and religious freedom are "absolute rights" than you are fascist. 

What makes a right absolute?  What is the difference between absolute rights and conditional ones?  Are there any other absolute rights? How can you support your statement?  What does facist mean in your lexicon?

 

 

Absolute rights in my view are human rights, which are inherent. Meaning - these rights exist whether socieities choose to recognize them or not.  Absolute rights are not given by the state, they are inherent rights that are sometimes recognized and sometimes not.

I am not really sure whether I would categorize any human rights as conditional. As others more eloquent than myself have pointed out, when human rights are recognized other issues will rectify themselves.

Fascism is explained as the following in my dictionary:"a tendency toward or actual exercise of strong autocratic or dictatorial control ".

Viewing basic human rights for women as "conditional" seems to fall within that definition. 


Jerry West
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I think that your key words are "in my view" and "seems."

I suspect that you and I both believe strongly in many of the same rights.  The problem arises when we start classifying some as absolute.  What happens when two absolute rights conflict with one another, which one prevails?  If one prevails then the other obviously is not absolute, and if each one prevails in some instances and not in others, then what is absolute?

I would also argue that facism by your definition does not necessarily apply.  Viewing rights as conditional does not have to mean "a tendency toward...."

 One could, as I do, believe that rights are conditional, and believe in collective, democratic control.

 


remind
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Joined: Jun 25 2004

Merowe wrote:
Ghislaine seems to miss the larger picture in her valorization of a woman's right to choose.
  Actually you are misconstruing ghislaine, she believes women only have the right to choose to be pregnant, and that their right to choose not to be, if by perchance they get that way, is not, or should not, be a right. As such, she does not valorize a woman's right to self determine.

She also believes she will not teach sex education to her daughters, when she has them, as they do not need to know that sort of "stuff". All they need, apparently, is to know "chastity", perhaps by way of a vow bestowed upon them by their father, at some sort of sicky icky virginity ball...

As for your ancedotal story about losing all respect for the now ex wife of a close friend of yours, what about the man, your friend, who did not use protection when the "relationship was ending" and they were still having sex anyway? I find your position extremely sexist.

___________________________________________________________ "watching the tide roll away"


Ghislaine
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Joined: Feb 15 2008
remind wrote:

Merowe wrote:
Ghislaine seems to miss the larger picture in her valorization of a woman's right to choose.
  Actually you are misconstruing ghislaine, she believes women only have the right to choose to be pregnant, and that their right to choose not to be, if by perchance they get that way, is not, or should not, be a right. As such, she does not valorize a woman's right to self determine.

She also believes she will not teach sex education to her daughters, when she has them, as they do not need to know that sort of "stuff". All they need, apparently, is to know "chastity", perhaps by way of a vow bestowed upon them by their father, at some sort of sicky icky virginity ball...

As for your ancedotal story about losing all respect for the now ex wife of a close friend of yours, what about the man, your friend, who did not use protection when the "relationship was ending" and they were still having sex anyway? I find your position extremely sexist.

___________________________________________________________ "watching the tide roll away"

 

Where are you getting this? When have I ever not supported a woman's right to choose?


remind
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Joined: Jun 25 2004

My how disengenuous of you ghislaine, not going there with you, you know full well, what you have said here at babble.

___________________________________________________________ "watching the tide roll away"


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