What ridings do you think the NDP could potential pick-up? What ridings do you think are at risk?
Here is a list of ridings that I think of a very high chance of going NDP:
+ Vancouver Island North
+ Nanaimo—Alberni (no incumbent)
+ Burnaby North—Seymour
+ Edmonton McDougall (formerly Edmonton Centre)
+ Saskatoon West
+ Regina Lewvan
+ Winnipeg North
+ Brampton-Gore (Provincial riding is now NDP, NDP gaining support in the South Asian community here)
+ Sault Ste. Marie
+ Spadina Fort York (in addition to University-Rosedale)
+ Toronto Centre
+ South Shore—St. Margarets (no incumbent)
These ridings I think are at risk:
- South Okanagan—West Kootenay (gerrymandered redistribution, NDP incumbent retiring)
Not going to comment on the Quebec seats, other than to say we at risk of losing anglophone dominanted seats on the Island of Montreal to the Liberals.
Needless to say, a lot will depend on how the campaign plays out for the NDP and the other parties.