Actually I was expressing my concern that opposed to much of the usual everything is wonderful in Liberal land talking points that we hear here at babble, support for the Conservatives is increasing against the Liberals in the run-up period to the election, which shows that the Liberal Party is probably not the answer to stopping the Conservatives.
So what is the answer to stopping the Conservatives, the NDP that are running at just 17% in the polls, or the Greens that are running at just 10% in the polls?
https://www.hilltimes.com/2019/05/06/with-the-clock-ticking-and-ticking-fast-to-the-election-liberal-support-headed-in-the-wrong-direction-at-the-wrong-time-say-veteran-political-analysts/198759
New Nanos is same as the old Nanos for the top 3 (Con 35 / Lib 32 / NDP 16), but the Greens are up 1% to 10%.
New Abacus poll:
Con 34 / Lib 31 / NDP 17 / Green 9 / BQ 4 / PPC 3
https://abacusdata.ca/conservatives-lead-as-2015-liberal-coalition-splinters/
The headline is ridiculous and these are the important numbers:
In other words other than bases most people have no clue who they will vote for in October. The poor numbers for the Liberals are to chastise the Liberal government/Trudeau. Recall that people are choosing between what's available so it doesn't mean they actively support the person or party they vote for. Poor numbers for the NDP are due to not being familiar with the party under Singh.
TheNDP in particular stands to gain a lot once their platform is out given that inequality is a major concern to a majority of Canadians.
Nanos is a telephone poll, Forum and Mainstreet are IVR, all the rest are online. Nanos is a sample of 1000 across Canada, no regional breakdowns.
BC
Con 38 / Lib 23 / NDP 24 / Gre 13 / PPC 2 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 173)
Con 39 / Lib 19 / NDP 29 / Gre 11 / PPC 3 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 170)
Con 28 / Lib 32 / NDP 23 / Gre 13 / PPC 2 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 379)
Con 23 / Lib 42 / NDP 22 / Oth 12 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 100)
Con 37 / Lib 21 / NDP 22 / Gre 14 / PPC 4 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 160)
Con 45 / Lib 22 / NDP 16 / Gre 15 / PPC 2 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 122)
Con 30 / Lib 22 / NDP 25 / Gre 21 / PPC 1 (Nanos, Apr-May 3)
Con 29 / Lib 30 / NDP 21 / Gre 16 / Oth 4 (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 531)
Con 35 / Lib 30 / NDP 18 / Gre 12 / PPC 5 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 877)
Con 34 / Lib 28 / NDP 22 / Gre 14 / PPC 2 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
AB
Con 53 / Lib 19 / NDP 17 / Gre 7 / PPC 4 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 153)
Con 60 / Lib 12 / NDP 24 / Gre 1 / Oth 2 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 147)
Con 59 / Lib 15 / NDP 14 / Gre 6 / PPC 4 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 253)
Con 63 / Lib 23 / NDP 11 / Oth 3 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 86)
Con 66 / Lib 14 / NDP 13 / Gre 3 / Oth 3 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 160)
Con 65 / Lib 14 / NDP 8 / Gre 9 / PPC 4 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 114)
Con 54 / Lib 21 / NDP 13 / Gre 7 / Oth 5 (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 506)
Con 65 / Lib 19 / NDP 9 / Gre 3 / PPC 4 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 1119)
Con 62 / Lib 17 / NDP 14 / Gre 4 / PPC 3 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
SK/MB
Con 49 / Lib 28 / NDP 12 / Gre 7 / PPC 3 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 85)
Con 49 / Lib 14 / NDP 22 / Gre 10 / PPC 6 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 179)
Con 45 / Lib 24 / NDP 19 / Gre 7 / PPC 3 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 179)
Con 51 / Lib 27 / NDP 16 / Oth 6 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 88)
Con 58 / Lib 26 / NDP 7 / Gre 8 / Oth 1 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 121)
Con 51 / Lib 22 / NDP 9 / Gre 12 / PPC 4 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 98)
Con 61 / Lib 19 / NDP 12 / Gre 6 / PPC 2 (Nanos, Apr-May 3, includes Alberta)
Con 40 / Lib 25 / NDP 20 / Gre 5 / Oth 10 (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 103)
Con 52 / Lib 22 / NDP 14 / Gre 7 / PPC 3 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 1406)
Con 49 / Lib 23 / NDP 16 / Gre 8 / PPC 3 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
ON
Con 33 / Lib 36 / NDP 19 / Gre 9 / PPC 1 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 484)
Con 37 / Lib 32 / NDP 14 / Gre 12 / PPC 4 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 417)
Con 36 / Lib 34 / NDP 20 / Gre 8 / PPC 2 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 1129)
Con 34 / Lib 34 / NDP 25 / Oth 7 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 308)
Con 36 / Lib 34 / NDP 17 / Gre 9 / PPC 3 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 595)
Con 39 / Lib 29 / NDP 17 / Gre 12 / PPC 2 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 515)
Con 37 / Lib 36 / NDP 18 / Gre 8 / PPC 0 (Nanos, Apr-May 3)
Con 34 / Lib 41 / NDP 13 / Gre 9 / Oth ? (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 773)
Con 36 / Lib 39 / NDP 12 / Gre 8 / PPC 3 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 1221)
Con 36 / Lib 34 / NDP 17 / Gre 10 / PPC 2 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
QC
Con 21 / Lib 36 / BQ 15 / NDP 12 / Gre 11 / PPC 3 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 286)
Con 26 / Lib 28 / BQ 22 / NDP 11 / Gre 10 / PPC 3 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 339)
Con 21 / Lib 35 / BQ 18 / NDP 11 / Gre 10 / PPC 4 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 1070)
Con 26 / Lib 33 / BQ 20 / NDP 14 / Oth 7 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 186)
Con 18 / Lib 34 / BQ 24 / NDP 7 / Gre 11 / PPC 2 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 369)
Con 23 / Lib 31 / BQ 23 / NDP 6 / Gre 9 / PPC 4 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 332)
Con 14 / Lib 37 / BQ 19 / NDP 14 / Gre 7 / PPC 0 (Nanos, Apr-May 3)
Con 21 / Lib 38 / BQ 18 / NDP 8 / Gre 10 / Oth 5 (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 511)
Con 25 / Lib 40 / BQ 13 / NDP 9 / Gre 7 / PPC 5 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 897)
Con 24 / Lib 32 / BQ 21 / NDP 11 / Gre 9 / PPC 3 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
ATL
Con 35 / Lib 32 / NDP 11 / Gre 17 / PPC 4 (Campaign Research, Apr 30-May 1, 82)
Con 28 / Lib 22 / NDP 24 / Gre 22 / PPC 1 (Angus Reid, Apr 26-30, 85)
Con 30 / Lib 35 / NDP 17 / Gre 12 / PPC 5 (Abacus, Apr 23-30, 210)
Con 41 / Lib 26 / NDP 19 / Oth 14 (Ipsos, Apr 23-25, 60)
Con 36 / Lib 34 / NDP 11 / Gre 11 / PPC 4 (Forum, Apr 23-24, 113)
Con 41 / Lib 33 / NDP 11 / Gre 8 / PPC 5 (Leger, Apr 18-22, 81)
Con 27 / Lib 46 / NDP 10 / Gre 15 / PPC 1 (Nanos, Apr-May 3)
Con 27 / Lib 46 / NDP 11 / Gre 11 / Oth 4 (Innovative, Apr 4-10, 103)
Con 34 / Lib 42 / NDP 8 / Gre 13 / PPC 3 (Mainstreet Research, Mar 19-26, 2423)
Con 35 / Lib 32 / NDP 16 / Gre 14 / PPC 3 (P.J. Fournier's Projections at 338canada.com)
Every single poll of the 10 most recent polls show the Liberals trailing the Conservatives which averages out to 5.3% per poll.
The 11th to the 20th most recent polls show the Liberals trailing the Conservatives by an average of 4.29% per poll.
The 21st to the 30th most recent polls show the Liberals training the Conservatives by an average of 3.6% per poll.
As well 29 of the 30 most recent polls shows the Liberals trailing the Conservatives.
In other words, not only are the Liberals trailing the Conservatives in almost every single poll, the Liberals are falling further and further behind the Conservatives with each new groupings of the polls.
Devasting news for the Liberals, as it is going from bad to worse for Team Trudeau, and we are now only just over 5 months away from E-Day.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_in_the_2019_Canadian_federal_election#Pre-campaign_period
What is the subtext to your post, NorthReport? Is it joy at the predicted coming Liberal defeat? Or is it joy at the predicted coming Conservative victory? And where is your detailed analysis of the NDP's fortunes?
Actually I was expressing my concern that opposed to much of the usual everything is wonderful in Liberal land talking points that we hear here at babble, support for the Conservatives is increasing against the Liberals in the run-up period to the election, which shows that the Liberal Party is probably not the answer to stopping the Conservatives.
Unfortunally Wood you are so blindsided by your biases you cannot see the forest for the trees, although Conservatives must lap up your nonsense.
quote=R.E.Wood]
What is the subtext to your post, NorthReport? Is it joy at the predicted coming Liberal defeat? Or is it joy at the predicted coming Conservative victory? And where is your detailed analysis of the NDP's fortunes?