Federal By-elections - Fall '13/Spring '14?
Why reporters shouldn't predict vote results:
Other than the risk of looking stupid, media predictions often become part of the political game.
Gap is closing in latest Forum Poll
TC - Libs 48 NDP 35
Bourassa - Libs 43 NDP 31
Brandon - Libs 50 Con 36
Prov. - Con 48 Libs 37
I wonder what the pre-vote polls would have said about the Outrement by-election in 2007.
Lorne Bozo is still leaving the door open for an NDP victory in TC despite his Lib-biased projections
Polling companies should be banned
Interesting that *Provencher* is now so close (maybe the old "Iftody Metis" electorate is being repatriated?)
I notice that the Forum panel for Bourassa reported that it voted 2 to 1 for the Liberals over the NDP in. 2011.For Tor C it was more than 3 to one for the Libs.
Yet in 2011 each riding voted roughly 41% Lib and 30% NDP.
I have applied Forum's vote migration figures to the 2011 results and get 41% Lib and 39% NDP, only minute lead,