US Election 2016 Polling - started Feb 16, 2016

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Cody87

NorthReport wrote:
Just a convention bounce GOP are more divided than they have ever been

And the Democrats aren't???

bekayne

Cody87 wrote:

NorthReport wrote:
Just a convention bounce GOP are more divided than they have ever been

And the Democrats aren't???

A lot of those are people who have never been in the party

josh

NorthReport wrote:

Hey Chicken Little, the sky is falling!  Laughing

L.A. Times/USC Dornsife Poll: Trump 47%, Clinton 40%

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/07/27/poll-los-angeles-time...

That's not a poll, in the political scientific sense of the term. There is no random sampling. It is a set panel of 3000. Like a big focus group.

NorthReport

How Donald Trump punked America by manipulating our obsession with useless polls

http://qz.com/743923/how-donald-trump-punked-america-by-manipulating-our...

NorthReport

Gary Johnson Is Pulling Support From Both Clinton And TrumpThe Libertarian candidate is averaging nearly 9 percent nationally.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/gary-johnson-trump-clinton-polls_us_...

NorthReport

Gary Johnson Isn’t Impacting The Race Much, For Now

Clinton is ahead of Trump by about one point without Johnson, but less than half a point when he’s included.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/gary-johnson-impact-2016-polls_us_57...

NorthReport

2016 Pennsylvania President - Clinton 50%, Trump 41% (Suffolk University 7/25-7/27)

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/suffolk-24983

NorthReport
NorthReport

Hillary will get a bump in the polls now

NorthReport

Why Reuters Is Tweaking Its Presidential Poll

A 13-point lead for Hillary Clinton on July 14 has vanished in two weeks with Donald Trump now leading in the polls by 1 point. This is clearly unacceptable to the establishment and so Reuters/Ipsos is taking matters into its own hands... and 'tweaking' its polling methodology.

Trump has seena yuuge bounce since Comey and the convention as Clinton's bounce was marginal...


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/why-reuters-tweaking-its-presid...

bekayne

NorthReport wrote:

Why Reuters Is Tweaking Its Presidential Poll

A 13-point lead for Hillary Clinton on July 14 has vanished in two weeks with Donald Trump now leading in the polls by 1 point. This is clearly unacceptable to the establishment and so Reuters/Ipsos is taking matters into its own hands... and 'tweaking' its polling methodology.

Trump has seena yuuge bounce since Comey and the convention as Clinton's bounce was marginal...


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/why-reuters-tweaking-its-presid...

The return of the skewed poll Republicans

NorthReport

Looks like Reuters is playing games, whatever.

Clinton leads Trump by 6 points after Democratic confab: Reuters/Ipsos poll

A separate Reuters/Ipsos survey that provided respondents with the option to choose from Clinton, Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, has Clinton and Trump tied at 37 percentage points.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN1092M5

josh
sherpa-finn

50 states, dozens of polling companies, - just too much data and not enough information. 

Nate Silver is still the go-to source for anyone looking for an overview. And even with the "Trump Bump", his consolidated numbers still favour Hillary.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/elections/

 

josh
NorthReport

Yea, we should all listen to Nate Silver, the guy that didn't think Trump had a chance to win the GOP nomination.

Sam Wang is more accurate.

http://election.princeton.edu

sherpa-finn wrote:

50 states, dozens of polling companies, - just too much data and not enough information. 

Nate Silver is still the go-to source for anyone looking for an overview. And even with the "Trump Bump", his consolidated numbers still favour Hillary.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/elections/

 

NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

I heard this poll being discussed last evening but why so little coverage of this poll in the USA?

Hillary Clinton sees post-convention boost over Trump, but will it last?

Democratic presidential nominee gets 46% support compared with Trump’s 31% among likely voters, according to nationwide survey

‘Trump continues to struggle to consolidate support within his own party. Clinton has a sizable lead among independents and is even peeling off a small slice of Republican voters,’ said RABA Research’s John Del Cecato.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jul/30/hillary-clinton-donald-t...

NorthReport
NorthReport

Poll: Hillary Clinton gets slight convention boost of her own

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-clinton-answers-back-gets-slight-conven...

NorthReport
mark_alfred

Quote:

Quote:
Just a convention bounce GOP are more divided than they have ever been

And the Democrats aren't???

At their respective conventions, the GOP seemed to have more division in its insiders (IE, Cruz) while the delegates were united in support of Trump, whereas the Democrats had insiders singing the praises of Clinton (including Sanders) while the delegates were clearly divided.

NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

Looks like Putin's buddy may have the worst showing of any presidential candidate since 1776.

Date / Type / Pollster / Clinton / Change / Trump / Change / Difference

Aug 4 / Nat / Reuters/Ipsos / 42% / ? / 38% / ? / 4% / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Nat / LATimes/USC / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1

Aug 4 / Nat / Ras / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Florida / Suffolk / 43% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Penny / Frank& Marsh / 49% / ? / 38% / ? / Clinton +11

Aug 4 / Michigan / Detroit News / 41% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +9

Aug 4 / New Hamp / WBUR / 47% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +15

Aug 3 / Nat / Fox / 44% / ? / 35% / ? / Clinton +9

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

 

 

 

 

NorthReport
NorthReport

Date / Type / Pollster / Clinton / Change / Trump / Change / Difference

Aug 4 / Nat / NBC/WSJ / 43% / Up 2% / 34% / Down 1% / Clinton +9%

Aug 4 / Nat / Reuters/Ipsos / 42% / ? / 38% / ? / 4% / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Nat / LATimes/USC / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1

Aug 4 / Nat / Ras / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Florida / Suffolk / 43% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Penny / Frank& Marsh / 49% / ? / 38% / ? / Clinton +11

Aug 4 / Michigan / Detroit News / 41% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +9

Aug 4 / New Hamp / WBUR / 47% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +15

Aug 3 / Nat / Fox / 44% / ? / 35% / ? / Clinton +9

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

Clinton with 9 point lead over Trump post-conventions: NBC-WSJ poll

Hillary Clinton has emerged with a wide 9 percentage-point lead over Donald Trump after both parties' political conventions, the new NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll of the nation's registered voters shows. 

Clinton draws 47 percent to 38 percent for Trump in the survey, conducted Sunday through Wednesday. That nearly doubles the 5 percentage-point lead (46 percent-41 percent) the former secretary of state held in July before either the Republican or Democratic convention.

Moreover, giving voters the option of selecting Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein leaves Clinton the same 9 percentage-point margin. In a four-way matchup, Clinton draws 43 percent, Trump 34 percent, Johnson 10 percent and Stein 5 percent.

That 9-point lead is higher than President Barack Obama ever held over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in 2012. Among registered voters, Obama led by 50 percent-44 percent in the NBC/WSJ point after both conventions that year.


http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/04/clinton-with-9-point-lead-over-trump-post...

 

 

 

 

NorthReport

2016 Presidential Polls: Latest Forecasting Models Predict Clinton Win

http://heavy.com/news/2016/08/2016-presidential-polls-gary-johnson-clint...

NorthReport

Clinton racking up huuuge leads over the Idiot.

Date / Type / Pollster / Clinton / C-Change / Trump / T-Change / Difference

Aug 4 / Nat / McClatchy/Marist / 48% / Up 6% / 33% / Down 6% / Clinton +15

Aug 4 / Nat / NBC/WSJ / 43% / Up 2% / 34% / Down 1% / Clinton +9%

Aug 4 / Nat / Reuters/Ipsos / 42% / ? / 38% / ? / 4% / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Nat / LATimes/USC / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1

Aug 4 / Nat / Ras / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Florida / Suffolk / 43% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Penny / Frank& Marsh / 49% / ? / 38% / ? / Clinton +11

Aug 4 / Michigan / Detroit News / 41% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +9

Aug 4 / New Hamp / WBUR / 47% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +15

Aug 3 / Nat / Fox / 44% / ? / 35% / ? / Clinton +9

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

Hillary Clinton widens lead over Donald Trump, 48%-33%, from 42%-39% edge in last month’s poll, according to McClatchy-Marist poll.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2016-08-04/clinton-takes-15-p...

 

 

 

 

 

NorthReport

Far-fetched as it seems, Trump's trainwreck of a campaign for president might be putting not only the Senate, but the House in play.

Garland's appointment to the Supreme Court is looking more and more like a sure thing

bekayne

bekayne wrote:

The return of the skewed poll Republicans

And here they are:

https://www.longroom.com/polls/

Sean in Ottawa

bekayne wrote:

bekayne wrote:

The return of the skewed poll Republicans

And here they are:

https://www.longroom.com/polls/

They will need a lot of false polls in order to claim that the results are rigged.

Cody87

"Only the polls I like are true."

Republicans aren't the only ones skewing polls.

And both sides have previously told us to ignore polls until the end of August.

NorthReport

 

Date / Type / Pollster / Clinton / C-Change / Trump / T-Change / Difference

Aug 5 / Nat / IBD/TIPP / 46% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +7

Aug 5 / Georgia / AtlanticJnl-Const / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4 

Aug 4 / Nat / McClatchy/Marist / 48% / Up 6% / 33% / Down 6% / Clinton +15

Aug 4 / Nat / NBC/WSJ / 43% / Up 2% / 34% / Down 1% / Clinton +9%

Aug 4 / Nat / Reuters/Ipsos / 42% / ? / 38% / ? / 4% / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Nat / LATimes/USC / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1

Aug 4 / Nat / Ras / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Florida / Suffolk / 43% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Penny / Frank& Marsh / 49% / ? / 38% / ? / Clinton +11

Aug 4 / Michigan / Detroit News / 41% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +9

Aug 4 / New Hamp / WBUR / 47% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +15

Aug 3 / Nat / Fox / 44% / ? / 35% / ? / Clinton +9

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

Trump Loses Ground Across The Board Against Clinton, IBD/TIPP Poll Finds

http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-loses-ground-across-the-board-ag...

 

 

 

NorthReport

New Reuthers poll out tonite showing Clinton's lead has almost vanished

NorthReport
NorthReport

Date / Type / Pollster / Clinton / C-Change / Trump / T-Change / Difference

Aug 7 / Nat / ABC/WaPo / 50% / ? / 42% / ? / Clinton +8

Aug 7 / Nat / LA Times / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1 

Aug 7 / Virginia / CBS  / 49% / ? / 37% / ? / Clinton +12

Aug 7 / Nevada / CBS / 43% / ? / 41% / ? / Clinton +2

Aug 7 / Arizona / CBS / 42% / ? / 44% / ? / Trump +2

Aug 5 / Nat / IBD/TIPP / 46% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +7

Aug 5 / Georgia / AtlanticJnl-Const / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4 

Aug 4 / Nat / McClatchy/Marist / 48% / Up 6% / 33% / Down 6% / Clinton +15

Aug 4 / Nat / NBC/WSJ / 43% / Up 2% / 34% / Down 1% / Clinton +9%

Aug 4 / Nat / Reuters/Ipsos / 42% / ? / 38% / ? / 4% / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Nat / LATimes/USC / 45% / ? / 44% / ? / Clinton +1

Aug 4 / Nat / Ras / 44% / ? / 40% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Florida / Suffolk / 43% / ? / 39% / ? / Clinton +4

Aug 4 / Penny / Frank& Marsh / 49% / ? / 38% / ? / Clinton +11

Aug 4 / Michigan / Detroit News / 41% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +9

Aug 4 / New Hamp / WBUR / 47% / ? / 32% / ? / Clinton +15

Aug 3 / Nat / Fox / 44% / ? / 35% / ? / Clinton +9

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

 

 

 

NorthReport

Landslide coming?

National Clinton leads by 10%

Florida Clinton leads by 1%

Ohio Clinton leads by 5%

Pennyslvania Clinton leads by 11%

Iowa Clinton leads by 4%

NorthReport

Georgia Clinton leads
North Carolina Clinton leads
Kansas Trump only by 5%
Utah toss up
Arizona toss up

NorthReport

Wisconsin Clinton leads by 15%

NorthReport
NorthReport

Pollsters: Trump approaching zero hour

Candidates polling ahead after the conventions have won the popular vote in 16 straight elections.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/pollsters-trump-approaching-zero-h...

NorthReport
NorthReport

Right now polls show Donald Trump losing every single swing state

http://www.vox.com/2016/8/15/12455240/donald-trump-polls-today

NorthReport

This is turning out to be a rout, a major slaughter, and Trump should hang his head in shame!!!

Washington State Clinton leads the moronic windbag by 19%

Clinton 43% 

Trump 24% 

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