Long term jobs growth is not in McJobs

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Long term jobs growth is not in McJobs


Long term job growth may not be in low wage service industries, which is the myth. People think the only jobs around are these low wage service industry jobs. I bought some Statistics Canada data and found out a couple of things.


Low wage employment is not going up disproportionately in Canada. Statistics Canada data is that people at less than $12 an hour is going down but this would actually be with inflation.


Businesses with less than 20 employees, a main offender of the low wage problem are actually down a bit. In the 10 years between 1997 and 2007 these small businesses share of the jobs total went down 2%, from 35% to 33%.


Some 23% of workers earn $12 an hour or less as of 2007. 


Businesses with 50 to 500 employees are growing proportionately as are businesses with over 500 employees. The big businesses are not downsizing generally - in the 1997 to 2007 data. Big businesses tend to have deeper pockets and pay better.


Statistics Canada has detailed information on employment by industry. In the 1991-2008 expansion there were booms. Gas and oil, housing construction and manufacturing driven by a low dollar had booms and are now bust. You have boom and bust sectors. This is definitely part of the jobs landscape.


Going forward Canada can continue to grow without going backward. It'd be better if we could downsize the less than $12 sector though.


[url=http://ontariondp.com/en/ontario-loses-more-jobs-hst-jobs-promise-is-emp...30,000 more Ontarians looking for work this Fall[/url] HST jobs promise is empty


How are 2007 stats useful post-meltdown? 


absentia wrote:

How are 2007 stats useful post-meltdown? 

Well, yes. Perhaps growth will come back.

In the 1950 there were male jobs and workers had families and eventually retired. I'm not sure where all the McJobs came from, they've been with us a long time now.



Growth will come back when climate change starts kicking serious butt near the equator, and everybody migrates north (there isn't much south on this continent), but it won't be the kind of growth anyone can plan or control. Industry isn't ever coming back, and government spending on infrastructure will dry up, as more public money is funelled into enforcement. Good career opportunities will continue to present in crowd-control and pris-- er... correctional facilities, but the police and military budget increases will mostly go on death-dealing hardware from abroad.

Where the unsatisfactory, insecure, poor-paying jobs come from are food service, (which was where the mom-and-pop takeout joints lost those 2% - to the franchises), fashion outlet chains and big box stores. The last will keep going for quite a while yet - probably increase sales and build more outlets - but the other two will continue to suffer gradual loss of revenues as people have less and less wasteable income. On the up-side, Walmart and the Dollar Store look like doing fine.

That's my prediction. We'll never know how accurate it is, because government won't gather the data. 


maybe this is one reason why they wanted to scrap the census?  In the post-crash environment, governments don't want publicly available info that shows just how bad things are.

And things seems set to continue on the same path, with more "free trade" deals being signed, more work being exported to developing countries with no wage/labour standards, canada becoming an exporter of raw goods primarily...the future doesn't look very good.