Prepare for global temperature rise of 4C, warns top scientist

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Policywonk

Lard Tunderin Jeezus wrote:
M. Spector wrote:

Is that cliff more than a metre high? If so, you're safe for now.

Don't be too sure...

Quote:
To complicate the situation a second related study claims if the West Antarctic ice sheet collapsed and the East Antarctic ice sheet continued to melt at its marine margins, global sea level would rise seven metres from today's level.
 

 To say nothing of storm surges.

Noise

500 Apples, I'm surprised to hear that in response...a meter rise in water levels plus a particularily nasty storm could put large area's of the Vancouver delta region completely underwater (and maybe pop the dome again).  Would that be enough to change attitudes?

 That would be a catastrophic event directly effecting us...How many hundreds of millions of people being displaced by rising water levels and the resulting food shortages be enough for us to take notice?

 

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Global warming unfortunately does not work on human attention span timescales.

So your position is Global warming is uncapable of spawning an event that would be big enough to attract human attention?

500_Apples

The IPCC predicted ~10 inches over the next century. I don't think that's enough to put Vancouver under water, and it's four generations from now.

Policywonk

500_Apples wrote:
The IPCC predicted ~10 inches over the next century. I don't think that's enough to put Vancouver under water, and it's four generations from now.

That's at the low end of the range predicted in the 4th Assessment Report (18 to 59 cm or 7 to 23 inches), which they admitted did not take ice sheet dynamics into account. Hence 1 metre is probably a better prediction. That would be enough to flood much of Richmond and Delta.

Michelle

Long thread, feel free to start a new one.

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