Bailing out the automakers

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Brian White
Bailing out the automakers

I leant out my copy of an inconvenient truth over a year ago and the jerk never returned it. and I definitely forgot how good it was.

I had the good fortune to see it again in a cafe a couple of days ago. 

There are a couple of minutes in it in which Al gore absolutely skewers the american car companys. For instance, they went about sueing california when that state tried to raise its emmision standards.  And he attacked their pathetic progress on miles per gallon.  He also showed them fighting tooth and nail against raising auto standards in the US to todays Chineese level in 5 or 6 years.

Why are we rescueing companies that have never tried to compete?  And that have never tried to make a fuel efficient car?   Is it worse to lose 40,000 jobs in an auto industry that is going to die anyway or to sacrifice 140,000 jobs trying to save those 40,000?

Because the billions of our tax dollars that we have to throw down that bottemless pit are not going to stimulate any part of the economy ever again.

Brian 

 

.  

John Ogilvie (GP)

I always try to buy a car made in Canada. But that's easy, since Toyota makes cars in Canada.  

madmax

Brian..... If the NA manufacturers built the vehicles you suggest, 2 things would have happened.

1) The vehicles would have been a sales flop or a sales success.

2) 40,000 jobs would still be lost if not more..... and our tax dollars would still be used to fill a bottomless pit.

As for competition, there are few industries as competitive as the automotive market.  Any manufacturer involved is trying to compete. It is why we close down operations in Canada, with health and safety and environmental standards, and relocate to companies where there aren't a priority and the wages are insignificant.

Fact is, the Foreign manufacturers weren't making their advantage on the cars your wish to see built.  They were making their advantage on small affordable cars, whereas the NA manufacturers advantage was in large trucks and Sport Utility Vehicles. 

No jobs, means the first thing cut are the big ticket item, soon followed by the medium ticket items.

It isn't a rosy picture for any vehicle manufacturer, because as long as peoples future is insecure, their pockets will be deep and their hands will be short.

This isn't a meltdown because of the Automotive products, it is a meltdown, because the NA companies are heavily leveraged, and yet still throwing 10s of thousands out of work, infact hundreds of thousands in total, and then expect people in NA to buy their new Mexican and Chinese made products.

An incovenient truth is ok...

Al Gore is trying very hard to corner the market and make a buck. He is hardly an environmentalist when you look at his personal footprint. 

But talking about the right thing to do is good, even if he can't take his own medicine.

Thanks for reminding me about that documentary. I need to watch it again. 

 

Wiseoldfart

The auto makers need to realize the world has changed, executive salaries and bonuses must reflect reality, all company salaries and benefits need to be cut.  Likewise the unions must accept the fact that $70/hour (including benefits) is just not sustainable, I don't know what the number needs to be, significantly lower for sure.  I doesn't matter how good your productivity is if the vehicle costs more to build than the public is willing to pay.

Frustrated Mess Frustrated Mess's picture

Well, as one who has no love for the automobile, I still find it fascinating that workers earning dollars an hour are supposed to make concessions so that their employers will not be "wards of the state" while literally trillions are handed over to the banks with no strings attached, no demands on executive salaries and bonuses, and with no accountability either for destroying the economy or in ensuring they don't do it again. In fact, to the contrary, the very bank executives that sent the economy to the bottom of the sea stand to make huge profits from becoming coddled wards of the state. And what's amazing is the entire lack of recognition of this huge fuck-over of those who will be paying the bills - namely, those very same workers who, it seems, are paid too much.

Sean in Ottawa

It is amazing to hear all the good folks say buy a car made in North America. When you have a look you find two things:

1) there are no economy cars made here by any of the big three-- The Ford Focus etc. - all imports.

2)  North American cars mostly are not fuel efficient.

It is not as if I would not be willing but I simply cannot afford to buy a North American vehicle since I am only likely ever to be in the market for a fuel efficient econo-box. The Vibe/matrix is out of my price range while they are fairly fueld efficient.

If the big three want us to support them they really need to make cars people want and I know this is an old refrain but I actually went through and found not a single affordable car that is good on gas made here -- not one!

In my case I guess it likely won't be a big deal since I can't afford new anyway and I guess that means it does not matter where it comes from if it is not new.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I think we've discussed this before, but my memory fails. Why do we allow Korea and Japan to sell their cars here when they will not allow North American made vehicles into their markets? (leaving aisde for a moment that Japanese automakers are building some of their product here)

Left Turn Left Turn's picture

Brian White wrote:
Why are we rescueing companies that have never tried to compete?  And that have never tried to make a fuel efficient car?   Is it worse to lose 40,000 jobs in an auto industry that is going to die anyway or to sacrifice 140,000 jobs trying to save those 40,000?

Because the billions of our tax dollars that we have to throw down that bottemless pit are not going to stimulate any part of the economy ever again.

Brian

What we need to do is buy out the auto companies, retool the plants to produce products that don't destroy the enivronment, and keep the 40,000 workers employed at decent wage levels.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

The CAW's Ken Lewenza on 'Politics' today argued that the CAW has absolutely no control over the "legacy" costs that the government insists must be reduced, while on the same show Tony Clement argued that regardless of what Lewenza thinks,  reducing 'legacy costs' is the only way forward for the union and for the automaker. Some jerk auto analyst on the same show said Lewenza doesn't have to brains to understand what is going on - Don Newman has this same jerk auto analyst asshole on every week, why?

Frustrated Mess Frustrated Mess's picture

Because he is anti-union. Yes, that's right, the CBC goes to an anti-union auto analyst every single time.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I guess that's CBC's idea of 'balanced programming'.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

It sounds to me like Tony Clement is trying to bust the union (CAW) by making impossible demands on it.

Frustrated Mess Frustrated Mess's picture

That has been in the works for a few years. What else you won't hear on the CBC with DeRosiers being their only insight into the industrty (and just two years ago DeRosiers was on the CBC arguing the faltering auto sector was due to union wages), is that the Japanese and Korean auto makers are also suffering despite much lower wages. Welcome to the Shock Doctrine. The goal of the Obama regime, aided and abetted by our very own neo-cons, is to knock down the auto workers and then worker concessions across all industries. The class war is on and Obama is leading it.

thanks

so really we should be insisting that when any media person at the CBC or wherever opens their mouth to talk about the auto industry, they should first and foremost talk about how, as madmax says, "the NA companies are heavily leveraged". 

i gather this means that the financial management of the auto companies took the profits which the workers produced, and gambled them away at the casino.  now they want the workers to pay for management's greed and bad choices. 

Clement should be fired.  The auto management should be fired and replaced with workers.  They'd do a better job.  We had a taxi company in our area some time ago that got into financial difficulty and the drivers took over the company and run it better than those before.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

thanks wrote:
Clement should be fired.

 

Fat chance, that. Clement is Harper`s mouthpiece  (aka enforcer) on this file.

KenS

A few facts:

The Focus is not an import. It is built in Michigan. Designed partly in Europe- but Ford has a global design operation.

The "issue" of restrictions on imports to Asia are a complete red herring. Lift them and it has, or would have had, ZERO effect. Its just a dodge for the CAW to weep for the Big Three [or was- they don't bother with trying to get that preferential treatment anymore... events having moved Far past that].

The automakers did not play the casino economy. There peoblem is that they have been consistent failures at making profits on producing smaller cars. They did try. Even the wildy successful Focus ony made Ford an unsustainable few hundred profit per vehicle. While the Asian manufacturers made profits on every car, wherever it was built.

 When North Americans stopped buying the bigger vehicles, the Big Three ran out of time for trying and failing.

When you listen to him, or he's quoted for more than a sentence, even DeRosier says that labour costs are just one factor, and not the dominant one they are made out to be.

 IF Lewenza said that the CAW has 'no control over legacy costs'- thats at best very disengenuous. I'm not advocating they give anything away- but 'out of our hands' is just not true.

KenS

I'm no fan of Clements for sure, and he's certainly no friend of labour.

But he's moving in lockstep with and deferring to the unflolding of the Obama plan. [Right down to going ahead and giving Chrysler a band aid even though they had said nothing without a full agreement in place by today.]

And the Obama plan is definitely not anti-union [though now that they are calling the shots more than expected, there may be another shoe drop on the UAW viz GM... still nothing like the clubbing the bondholders committee will get].

The CAW's problem is trying not to keep up with what the UAW has conceeded and likely will cnceed further. Clement is just the mouth making it clear the CAW has to "keep up".

The Canadian and US opearations are joined at the hip. Whatever window dressing is put around it, bailing out the US operations is bailing out Canada's and vice versa. Hence the expectation of reciprocity in bailout terms.

I have little idea where the line gets drawn and why, but there is definitely a line, where even if its not discussed out in the open, the Obama administration is not going to accept Canadian workers making substantially more limited concessions than US workers.

Thats a underlying reality. Plaing the tough guy appeals to Clement and Harper, but another talking head without their politics would also be demanding more from the CAW.

My guess:

It isn't much, but the CAW, unlike the UAW, at least has the luxury of not having to take some initiative in this negotiating game.

So what he and the CAW are doing is simply being dragged kicking and screaming in a direction they know they have to go and cannot control the distance they will have to travel... the 'end game' being simply trying to limit how far they go in the end.

thorin_bane

Look legacy costs are wrong. The fact of outsourcing is why legacy costs are high. The more employees you have the cheaper the legacy costs. We have seen the Chrysler employees go from 25000 to 5000 in the last 20 years and ford going from 5 plants to 1, gm left entirely once they finish closing the tranny plant.

Now lets examine Chrysler. If legacy cost is 30 bucks an hour right now, what do you think it would be if they employed say 2500 people...that's right 60 bucks an hour despite it still costing the same in benefits, but those numbers sound a lot scarier don't they! Now if they hadn't outsourced 80% of their jobs the legacy cost would be something like 5-8 an hour. But we don't want to talk about that reality.

DesRosier is a smug asshole that gets published regularly in our rag paper. The guy is nothing more than a friedman evangelical who only loves to bash unions all the while he has his smug laugh when he thinks he is clever, when he just looks like an ass.

Dennis has never blamed management for not producing the cars in canada that people want, or that mexicans scrap 50%(in the past not sure of current numbers) of product.  That our medicare covers a lot of costs, that the non north american companies are also suffering and also need credit and have asked the government for help as well. Nor that the are starting to get their own legacy cost as some of thier employees have finally started retiring.

Also to be noted is this asshole advocated that union deals should only be ratified with PUBLIC CONSENT, because we the people should be allowed to determine the wage of people who we don't even know what they do. I don't think it's right for someone who is uninformed to make the rules fro something they don't know about as is evident about the auto companies. I work in the Industry an dthe media ALLWAYS gets it wrong.

Judging from the CBC board it would immediately resault in no unions ever again. No one asked the public let alone dennis weather CEO should be earning 10 times what the made in the 80's while paying half as much taxes, or the fact it is 400 times what the average worker makes. CEO's have made your(average income) wage by 9:05 am  January 3rd poor babies, plus being on salary they can take time off work to go golfing or see the doctor or spend time with junior and not get penalized like those of us that have a wage.

GM had an electric car but scrapped it, this is from 2002 we would already be far ahead of the curve if we had continued. We as a nation could support the canadian Volt, but our government won't even allow them to put a car on the road as it would only further erode market share for the poor wee  auto companies, this includes BMW/Toyota/ Honda etc. Yet say it is a safety issue while motor powered bicycles are apparently not. 

 This is nothing more than an attempt to bust the union and further more push all wages down so the fat cats can further their strangle hold over everyone.  Like on the national they covered detroit where the rich are buying up the real estate of whole blocks for as little as 25,000 dollars"It's an opportunity" they will then turn around and redevelop it into some walled community that is hip because it is in the city.  Because they got out before the whole system crashed. Or to be more precise, when they got out after speculating they crashed the system and are no reaping the benefits of the cheap real estate. Even if they created the bubble that made it possible to do. Shock Doctrine is real even if Naomi is a little ham fisted in the book. They made the crisis and they are taking advantage of it.

 Oh, november an economist said companies would take advantage of the down turn to lay off, even if it wasn't required. They where just waiting for an excuse. What more needs be said. What a bunch of jackholes these business "leaders" are. Nice that they are actively hurting the economy because it looks better for their bottom line, not because they need to.

KenS

Thew size of the legacy costs is a result of good faith bargaining: the UAW and CAW made concessions that cut the number of current workers contributing to long term health care and pension costs. The automakers accepted these costs as what they had to 'pay' for the concessions made.

Now they say the legacy costs are too high. So union workers have plenty of high moral ground. While the Canadian government and the media treat it as if its some kind of goldbricking.

 

All that said, its just not true that the CAW can do nothing about legacy costs. "We shouldn't have to, we've given more than a pound of our own flesh" is not the same as "we can't do anything about it."

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

 Not quite the succinct comment he gave on 'Politics' but similar:

from: Canada bails out carmakers, says they could fail

excerpt: 

CAW President Ken Lewenza dismissed the idea of reopening the contract with GM to address legacy costs, saying there was nothing the union could do even if it wanted to.

"You can't do it in bargaining, and nor will we," he said at a press conference in Toronto. "I mean, at the end of the day, it's not legal to say to pensioners that you're not entitled to the pension benefits that you left on."

KenS

Sorry to say, but its bullshit.

For starters, the airline industry has tens of thousands of pensioners that have been doing just that for a number of years now.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I admire any attempt to protect pensioners, if that is in fact what he is doing - depending, of course, on how generous those pensions are. I'm on a long term disability pension, and it's not a hell of a lot of money - I'd be really pissed off if someone tried to claw some of it back. On the other hand, if those CAW pensions are overly generous (and I have no idea of they are, or not) then perhaps a bit of clawback might be justified. But, in general,  I find the idea of making pensioners pay back their benefits a tad bit reprehensible, and unprogressive.

KenS

Boom Boom wrote:
...depending, of course, on how generous those pensions are. 

Presumably uninitentionally, but right there BB you have opened yourself up for supporting the clawback on the pensions of former autoworkers.

Because their pensions are well above the median-  and thats of those who get a pension from their workplace[s]... which is already a minority of us.

Let alone on normative and 'merit' standards [ie, why should mid-level management pensions, let alone those of execs, go unchallenged, while autoworkers get CLOSELY scrutinized].... those pensions were bargained for out of what was then a VERY profitable industry. And in a fiduciary sense, current profits back then were supposed to bankroll pensions into the future.

In every sense, pensioned autoworkers earned those pensions. Every right wing idiot knows its child play to subject autoworkers to envy from the majority of us who don't have as much. So they do it.

One can still hope that in the mood of the times people will at least some people will give some pause for thought before suckering for that.

 [And for the record, I would say BB that the rest of what you said constitutues said 'pause for thought'.... I'm just noting that there is also a wide open barn door there.]

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I was just trying to see what excuse Tony Clement was using for saying that 'legacy costs' need to be reduced. I should have worded my post differently. I thought I was being supportive of pensions! I've always believed that the struggle for decent pensions was a progressive thing, and any attempt to reduce or steal them is an infringement on workers' rights.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

KenS wrote:

Sorry to say, but its bullshit.

For starters, the airline industry has tens of thousands of pensioners that have been doing just that for a number of years now.

Lewenza is standing firm for the hard earned rights of workers - shouldn't the rest of us?

George Victor

Pensions and mutual funds and private market speculation through RRSPs are all part of the means of creating an individualized, non co-operative political-economic climate so that just such imbalances become the norm and the autoworkers vote for the  Flaherties of this world because, after all, he knows how to handle their investments, take care of them.

So put the pension money not into speculative and risky investments but into government controlled (if lower paying) public projects and institutions - green ones for the future.

Or didn't you folks know that the Conservatives counted on private speculation by the working class to keep 'em in line?  They never thought such controlling thoughts?

 

ocsi

I agree with your comments, George.  It's almost as if there was a pre-emptive strike against the working class and now we are incapable of doing anything about it.  Or so the story goes...

Unions have been hobbled at a time when they should be in the forefront of the resistance.  And social democratic parties don't offer much hope either.  (Yes, I still support and vote NDP.)

Unfortunately, Marx was correct when he wrote that "the ideas of the ruling class are in every epoch the ruling ideas..."

So, is everyone taking out a tax free savings account? Money mouth

KenS

Boom Boom wrote:

Lewenza is standing firm for the hard earned rights of workers - shouldn't the rest of us?

Maybe I shouldn't be a wet blanket. But what Lawenza is doing is talking standing firm. That has its uses in its own right- no matter what follows.

But I'm afraid its only a question unltimately of how far they cave. Perhaps not very far. But in the end it isn't going to look like standing firm- its going to look [again] like making the best of a bad situation.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

(edited) I hope the CAW isn`t forced to cave. It`ll be a catastrophe if that happens.Frown

Noise

Quote:
I thought I was being supportive of pensions! I've always believed that the struggle for decent pensions was a progressive thing, and any attempt to reduce or steal them is an infringement on workers' rights.

What happens to these pensions if the automakers are put into bankruptcy?  Bleh, what would happen to them if just one went under...are we talking people completely losing these pensions?

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

Isn't there some provision to protect pensions with the bailout money if worse comes to worse?

I don't know how auto company pension plans are structured, so I can't comment further.

ETA: I think someone mentioned this earlier, but the HarperCons attacking "legacy costs" means not just targetting the unions, benefits (such as pensions), but also to introduce very scaled-down wages.

Benjamin

@ Noise

Yes, potentially people could lose their entire pension.

@ Boom Boom

One could craft a provision with the bail-out to protect the pensioners, but this would require the Conservatives to advocate for such a programme, aka when pigs fly.

For the sake of argument, shouldn't our tax dollars be spent to support all Canadians that are being hit by the economic downturn?  That is, if we are going to spend a lot of money to support pensioners then shouldn't we be spending to make OAS more generous?  I fail to see why public funds should be used to support the defined benefit pensions that were negotiated between a corporation and a union.  It seems to me that the state's responsibility is to provide the social and legal framework should this relationship break down.  If the automakers survive, then they will have continuing obligations to their pensioners, but if they fail, then the state will step in with OAS and CPP where individual workers qualify.

On an aside, I think that these circumstances will be used by the private sector to kill any defined benefit pension schemes going forward in favour of defined contribution plans.

George Victor

"On an aside, I think that these circumstances will be used by the private sector to kill any defined benefit pension schemes going forward in favour of defined contribution plans."

-----------------------------

It's a done deal.

And it's a great social leveller.

Now we have to create stable public institutions that can survive (be outside the reach of ) market fluctuations. The big pension funds are looking to suck those up now.  Utilities. Food. The necessities.

 

Brian White

Boom Boom wrote:
I think we've discussed this before, but my memory fails. Why do we allow Korea and Japan to sell their cars here when they will not allow North American made vehicles into their markets? (leaving aisde for a moment that Japanese automakers are building some of their product here)

 

The Japaneese drive on the left.  I remember the north american car company representatives (when they finally got access to the japaneese car market about 20 years ago) refused to put the stearing wheel where the Japaneese wanted it.  (I think they had a quota of cars they were allowed to sell)

And they were getting mad because the public did not buy even that number of  their cars!   It was years ago and written in either  time newsweek or readers digest,  

 

Brian White

Why did the US auto companys refuse to upgrade to Chineese emmision standards?  Why did the american auto companys campaign against the california emmisions standards? And why did they take legal action against california?   This is inevitable stuff but US auto management spent a hell of a lot of energy fighting the inevitable.  Spend a few million buying off a few senators or spend a few million designing a fuel efficient car? What would you choose?

The fact is the jobs in the auto industry cannot be saved because us auto industry management lost their marbles about 10 years ago.  The only way to have a US auto industry now is to let the big 3 die and let new companys start in their place.  It is nothing to do with the workers.  The industry is on life support with no brain activity.  There is no need and no point, disconnect the feed pipe now.

Let the big 3 die, bury them and get on with it.  

 

madmax wrote:

Brian..... If the NA manufacturers built the vehicles you suggest, 2 things would have happened.

1) The vehicles would have been a sales flop or a sales success.

2) 40,000 jobs would still be lost if not more..... and our tax dollars would still be used to fill a bottomless pit.

As for competition, there are few industries as competitive as the automotive market.  Any manufacturer involved is trying to compete.

KenS

Even with bankruptcy people do not lose anywhere near "all their pensions". They take a cut.

Benjamin

KenS wrote:
Even with bankruptcy people do not lose anywhere near "all their pensions". They take a cut.

I thought this depends on whether the company goes through creditor protection and restructuring versus being completely disolved.  In the former case, pensions could remain intact, but in the latter case, pensioners are going to be behind secured creditors in the liquidation of the corporation, and may in fact get very little.

KenS

True. But only restructured bankruptcies are being discussed or compared to in this thread.

And even in a dissolution, there would generally be more than the government guaranteed amount of a pension left, unless there had been a prior fraudulent raiding of the fund.

George Victor

So the ending of defined income pensions will disappoint  those who were counting on them in the future, but an enhanced and guaranteed public scheme that depends on secure investments is going to be good in the long run because we will all be in the same boat, and the conservative inspired class wedge will be terminated as well,  right?

Automakers of the future will not be driven to watch market news at the end of their shift. Flaherty can't appeal to them as fellow investors who "know what is needed to make the economy grow."

 

Benjamin

George Victor wrote:

So the ending of defined income pensions will disappoint  those who were counting on them in the future, but an enhanced and guaranteed public scheme that depends on secure investments is going to be good in the long run because we will all be in the same boat, and the conservative inspired class wedge will be terminated as well,  right?

Automakers of the future will not be driven to watch market news at the end of their shift. Flaherty can't appeal to them as fellow investors who "know what is needed to make the economy grow."

 

Maybe a shift towards defined contributions pensions will encourage people to vote conservative with the mistaken belief that they are the best party to manage the economy, or maybe an experience of poverty and insecurity will encourage autoworkers to support collectivist policies that benefit all Canadians instead of just the small collective that they represent.

What is disturbing to me is that the political capital available to either side is dismal.  See Chantale Hebert's opinion piece in The Star today: http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/611549

I fully understand the rhetoric coming from both the corporation and the union, but I fear that at the end of the day the hard line position of CAW has the potential to set back unionization dramatically, especially in the current economic and political climate.

I think that many Canadians are fed up with what they perceive to be largesse of both the auto executives and the autoworkers.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

Just as an aside, I found it interesting that Chrysler has been ordered to talk with Fiat about some kind of partnership. I was in England a few years ago, and saw some really nice Fiat cars - that company has made tremendous strides since the 1960s or later when they withdrew from the North American market.

George Victor

Hebert:

"But to all intents and purposes, the public disaffection that attends to their plight should leave GM and Chrysler and their workers under no delusion (illusion?) that they are anything but political orphans. The way the polls tell it, there is less political credit attached to bailing them out than to letting them sink."

-----------------------------------------------

More seriously, if Chantal's 17 per cent figure is correct (those Ontarians who are in favour of the bailout), we are in deep dung indeed.

But I would give one of my remaining eye teeth to see what number would respond positively to government assistance to an Ontario-built auto, financed in ONtario, and built by leftover autoworkers in the plants awaiting closure.  Maybe with  Magna's assistance?( and the union rules agreed to by CAW).

And I wish Chantal, while interpreting Quebec for Ontarians, could talk about an  "Ontarian  nationalism" with the same understanding that she gives the BLOC. The "why not?" of it. Just as Alberta's Tar Pits are positively sanctioned by the politicians and economists, are understood to be a western "given", sacrosanct.

Doug

It looks like a quick and brutal bankruptcy is in the offing:

President Barack Obama believes a quick, negotiated bankruptcy is the most likely way for General Motors Corp. to restructure and become a competitive automaker, people familiar with the matter said.

Obama also is prepared to let Chrysler LLC go bankrupt and be sold off piecemeal if the third-largest U.S. automaker can’t form an alliance with Fiat SpA, said members of Congress who were briefed on the GM and Chrysler situation before the president said two days ago that the automakers’ viability plans were insufficient....An auto bankruptcy may push production low enough to wipe four percentage points from U.S. gross domestic product in a single quarter, Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid said in a note yesterday, city the bank’s economists. One-third of the three million people employed in the industry could also lose their jobs, Reid said. The bank’s price target for GM is zero. 

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aA3.YrmEsfdA&refer=us

KenS

It won't be that quick, and won't be brutal.

In fact, as far as GM goes, in terms of what everyone will actually see, the difference between restucturing out of bankruptcy versus in it, is becoming ever more negligible in practice.

Time is running out for a restructuring outside of bankruptcy- and if it does happen, the details will look pretty much the same as if it was Chapter 11- just no judge.

Brian White

The thing is, if we try and save the aoto industry jobs, howdo we pay to save them?  They will take money from my paycheck and your paycheck and hand it to the execs from gm and the execs will give some of it to the workers. So if we save these jobs as is, the rest of the economy takes a MASSIVE LONGTERM hit. If we kill odd the white elephants now, we only get the 4% bang to gdp. The whole concept of producing more giant cars that nobody wants in the middle of a car glut for people who have just had their savings obliterated and their taxes increased is so daft!

We (on half the pay) have to fuck up the rest of the economy to keep the car companys going.

How mad are we?

Doug wrote:

....An auto bankruptcy may push production low enough to wipe four percentage points from U.S. gross domestic product in a single quarter, Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid said in a note yesterday, city the bank’s economists. One-third of the three million people employed in the industry could also lose their jobs, Reid said. The bank’s price target for GM is zero. 

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aA3.YrmEsfdA&refer=us

Doug

That's really how I feel. Try to rescue the workers and rescue their communities with what public money we have available and leave the car companies to sort themselves out. It's better than throwing money at dysfunctional organizations to sustain a status quo we already can't afford in a lot of ways.

Doug

George Victor wrote:

But I would give one of my remaining eye teeth to see what number would respond positively to government assistance to an Ontario-built auto, financed in ONtario, and built by leftover autoworkers in the plants awaiting closure.  Maybe with  Magna's assistance?( and the union rules agreed to by CAW).

The trouble is with the car market as a whole. Few people are buying cars whether they be green, gaz-guzzlers, Ontario-made or not. Such growth in the global market as there will be the North American auto companies aren't really positioned for. That mostly involves the Indian and Chinese middle classes buying cars, and they'll be buying cars like the Tata Nano - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tata_Nano

Benjamin

Doug wrote:
That's really how I feel. Try to rescue the workers and rescue their communities with what public money we have available and leave the car companies to sort themselves out. It's better than throwing money at dysfunctional organizations to sustain a status quo we already can't afford in a lot of ways.

Why should these particular workers get special treatment?  Shouldn't they get the same assistance that all the other workers get, that being EI, welfare when that runs out (if they qualify), and OAS/CPP if you're of a retirement age?

George Victor

"Why should these particular workers get special treatment?  Shouldn't they get the same assistance that all the other workers get, that being EI, welfare when that runs out (if they qualify), and OAS/CPP if you're of a retirement age?"

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Because yours is the 1930s Deopression attitude guaranteed to bring it all down.  You're only 80 years behind the times in your economic thought.

Frustrated Mess Frustrated Mess's picture

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When you listen to him, or he's quoted for more than a sentence, even DeRosier says that labour costs are just one factor, and not the dominant one they are made out to be.

Not true. I've been listening to the CBC for years and it wasn't that long ago that DesRosiers was saying that the auto-industry isn't doing badly -it is the North American auto-industry, burdened with unions and high wages, that is doing badly. And still it is rare we hear that the entire auto industry has hit hard times as context when speaking of the NA auto-industry.

These workers shouldn't get special treatment and, indeed,  they're not. They are losing their standard of living and those cheering on the governments will be next. The workers getting special treatment are the executives and banksters who are reaping huge bonuses, even when getting fired, and being rewarded for bring the whole fucking system to its knees.

Unemployment for workers - trillions and trillions for the thieves: capitalism at work.

Suckers.

Brian White

Not behind the times.  There is only so much money.

The idea is to use it productively.  Remember that the auto industry also financed cars for people who could not afford them. They have being doing this for years.  So the market is supersaturated. Imagine a world with  fewer car payments.  People will have the money in their pockets to hire taxis.  Well, thats replacement employment.  If there is a glut of cars, the price tends to zero.  The car companys made the glut. So they fucked themselves.  You cannot remove a glut by producing more!  Imagine you have a dog shitting in its kennel. Do you feed the dog double rations to make it shit twice as much and hope that the kennel will be clean in a few days? I cannot think of a good anology but there is no sane one anyway!

 

 

George Victor wrote:

"Why should these particular workers get special treatment?  Shouldn't they get the same assistance that all the other workers get, that being EI, welfare when that runs out (if they qualify), and OAS/CPP if you're of a retirement age?"

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Because yours is the 1930s Deopression attitude guaranteed to bring it all down.  You're only 80 years behind the times in your economic thought.

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