Is the LPC (Liberal party of Canada) dead?

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Rob8305
Is the LPC (Liberal party of Canada) dead?

After their defeat in 1993, the Progressive Conservatives began a long slow demise and within 10 years ceased to exist as a federal party.  They were beset by scandal and voter fatigue had settled in after years in power.  Fast forward nearly 16 1/2 years and once again a major canadian federal party is withering.  The LPC has had a succession of deeply unpopular leaders from Paul Martin to Stephane Dion to now Michael Ignatieff.  They have no defining principles, no ideals, no policy platform to run on.  They are reviled around the country with only select pockets where they can get elected.  Whole REGIONS of the Canada despise this party.  They are now at least 10 points behind in the polls and clearly adfrift.  They've been adrift for the better part of a decade.

Given all this trouble and the historic precedent of a major institutional party dying just 7 years ago, would it be unreasonable to write the obituary of the LPC.  Wouls it be unreasonable to think that it will take the creation of some new political party to defeat the Conservatives? Would it be unreasonable to proclaim that the Conservatives are the new "natural governing party" of Canada until they decimate themselves with a sponsorship scandal style affair the way the Liberals did?  Would it be unreasonable to say that Michael Ignatieff will never be Prime Minister of Canada?

If you don't think they are dead, what do you think that they have to do to resurrect themselves and when do you see this resurrection occuring? Also, do you think that the CPC will ever be as stupid as the Liberals were with sponsorship thus giving their opponents the opening that they needed to finally gain power?

I'm not sure that I think the LPC is even remotely close to dead but I think it's in critical condition.  What do you all think?

ottawaobserver

I think it's interesting that hours after you first posted this, no-one has replied,  It appears Babblers have finally exhausted their thoughts on the imminent demise of the Liberal party ... which may say as much as anything else!

KenS

Speaking for myself- exhausted about hearing of the alleged imminent demise of the Liberal party.

Before the hundredth or whatever time, it kind of embarrased me.

KenS

The LPC definitely has problems now. It will at best take them a long time to work out enough of them. And at some point, even not getting worse would be enough to start tipping them towards being critical.

But that in my opinion is a very long way from calling them 'critical'. [Now.]

If for no other reason, the presently diminished amount of attention paid to and credibility invested in the timeless bullshit noise put out by the LPC, amplifies the opportunity for the NDP to make a breakthrough.

But it only amplifies it. The Liberals persistent problems are not themselves the opportunity. 

Whether the NDP seizes its opportunity really has almost nothing to do with the Liberals.

thorin_bane

Well the CPC is embroiled with covering up torture in Afghanistan today. The libs could have tried something if it wasn't for Iggy saying torture is OK, OR that the libs also knew this was happening because it starting before the lost governance.  So this will sadly get swept under the rug, because our 2 headed beast doesn't want anyone to be concerned about laws and torture or anything icky like that.

Polunatic2

True that the PC party died, but in reality, it split and then re-united. I can't see the libs splitting in the same way since they cover the middle ground. Disaffected libs can join either the NDP or the Cons but don't count on any of them to start a new party. 

The liberal party of canada is probably more resilient that some give them credit for. 

Quote:
If you don't think they are dead, what do you think that they have to do to resurrect themselves and when do you see this resurrection occuring? 
Probably find a new leader who's bullshit will resonate.
Quote:
  Also, do you think that the CPC will ever be as stupid as the Liberals were with sponsorship thus giving their opponents the opening that they needed to finally gain power?
Yes. Greed, cronyism and arrogance are powerful forces in politics. 

Buddy Kat

After seeing the libs take the side of the conservatives on peddling nuclear materials to India there should be no doubt in anyones mind that the libs and tory's are the same piece of crap that just play Canadians off like a game of good cop bad cop. Paving the way for each other every step of the way. talk about a stacked deck.

The only alternative party was the NDP but biased media and the introduction of the Green party soon muzzled them. So it is good to see the libs on it's final life support days ...the only good things they ever did were all NDP ideas anyways.

The key for Canadins to grow some grey matter between their ears is education and a honest media . The government and media however are doing a good job keeping them as dumb as sticks so don't hold your breath.

Rob8305

Yeah I guess this thread is kind of repetitive.  It's just that I'm "withering" as well under this Harper regime and there seems no way out:(

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I don't understand why the electorate wants the Liberals to continue on at all - they're just like the Conservatives - so why not just let the Liberals die and allow real Opposition in the form of the NDP and Bloc? I think it'd be interesting to have an electoral contest federally just between the Cons, NDP, and BQ.

Doug

Rumours of its death are greatly exaggerated, I think. but it's not healthy. The Liberals have been in a worse spot before. The 1984 election left them with only 40 seats. Could they do worse than that? Maybe, but it seems unlikely.

foobar

The Liberal party is moribund, but it's not going anywhere soon. There are simply no challengers for the large block of centrist Canadians that they represent. The NDP and Conservatives can poach from the edges, but they're both too extreme to capture much mainstream support. It would take a transformative leader in either party to change that, either to shuck off the Albertan troglodytes or union maximalists. Neither is particularly likely.

Frustrated Mess Frustrated Mess's picture

What is with this proliferation of Liberal threads? Who cares that much about the Liberals?

Polunatic2

Frustrated Mess wrote:

What is with this proliferation of Liberal threads? Who cares that much about the Liberals?

People love to look at traffic accidents and train wrecks. 

NorthReport

Far from dead, the Liberals are about to launch one of the most vicious assaults one can imagine against the NDP, and the Cons will be laughing all the way to a majority government.

ottawaobserver

NR, I take it you think that's Peter Donolo's proposed new strategy.  I guess we'll see.  I wonder how many times they can refight the 2006 election?

remind remind's picture

Ohhhh.....maybe they can have re-enactments like the Civil War and the Plains of Abraham...  ;)

Caissa

Okay, I'm going to predict the Libs get 32% of the popular vote in the next Federal election. I'm sure I'll regret this in due time.

ottawaobserver

If the LPC isn't dead yet, they should be after today's inexcusably shoddy performance as Parliamentarians.

We are presented with allegations of probably the most serious dereliction of our international human rights obligations as a country since Somalia, and what do the Liberals do ...

... They send their leader out of town where he's virtually incommunicado, and then drop a gainesburger accusing the Conservatives of engaging in ... gasp ... patronage.

It's left to the NDP to once again behave like adults and serious parliamentarians, and call for a public inquiry into Richard Colvin's testimony.

Seriously, if holding the government to account on serious matters like this is not what the Liberals think they ought to be using their parliamentary mandate for, then I say to hell with the irresponsible bastards. They have no business whatsoever being there. I can't wait for the first Liberal to make a strategic voting argument to me after this fiasco. BOY will they get a piece of my mind!

Debater

ottawaobserver, I'm not sure which Question Period you are watching, but today Bob Rae, Ralph Goodale and Marlene Jennings all hammered the Conservatives on the torture allegations that were revealed yesterday.

ottawaobserver

The only release they issued today was on the 233 patronage appointments. I'm sure based on the reaction to that clunker and the NDP's call for th inquiry, they hastily revised their QP list.

Who would have ever decided on patronage as the message of the day this morning, I'd like to know. What a bunch of incompetents. And where the heck is your leader? It's not like the date or content of this testimony was unknown last week!

Debater

I don't have a leader, ottawaobserver.

Anyway, back to the main point - the Liberals were very forceful today in going after the Conservatives and I expect that will be the main headline on most of the primetime broadcasts tonight.  Jack Layton did not come across very forcefully today, but that may be because he is not feeling well and was not able to speak in a strong voice.

It's good that the NDP have called for a public inquiry though, and that the Liberals have as well.

remind remind's picture

Little late to the party and it was noted as such in news reports today

see this thread

 

ottawaobserver

Debater, the Liberals finally came out with their release at 4 PM, a full 24 hours after the testimony, and a full 24 hours after the NDP advisory came out announcing their news conference this morning.  The Liberals didn't pick up on this issue until Question Period.  They were forceful enough there (finally), until they went right back to the patronage issue and let all the air out of the three-party charge on it.

If you don't have a leader right now, Debater, it's only because you're probably awaiting the next Liberal messiah.  Layton is more effective with a cold than your entire caucus healthy or otherwise.

Scott Piatkowski Scott Piatkowski's picture

Debater wrote:
I don't have a leader, ottawaobserver.

Interesting admission. That says a lot about the state of your party.

As for the Where's Iggy question, he clearly taken McKenna's advice and is travelling across the country "exposing himself to Canadians".

NorthReport

Anothert one of those stimulating posts with such amazin' substance.

 

No fucking wonder Liberals are in such trouble. Laughing

 

Caissa wrote:

Okay, I'm going to predict the Libs get 32% of the popular vote in the next Federal election. I'm sure I'll regret this in due time.

Debater

Scott Piatkowski wrote:

Debater wrote:
I don't have a leader, ottawaobserver.

Interesting admission. That says a lot about the state of your party.

I don't have a party - I am unaffiliated at the moment, and may be so for the immediate future.

no1important

Yes. They are dead for now and the foreseeable future.

 

They need a new leader but do they really have anyone that can comepete and take on Chairman Harper? I would say no.

 

The libs can not turn things around with Iggy at the helm, the damage has been done. He never stood up to our chairman, kept voting with them until recently and then made a fool of himself saying he will vote against the government from now on. This party has no direction and seems incapable of latching on to any issue and making it a big issue.

Hell Hedy Fry would poll higher than iggy these days....

madmax

Debater wrote:
ottawaobserver, I'm not sure which Question Period you are watching, but today Bob Rae, Ralph Goodale and Marlene Jennings all hammered the Conservatives on the torture allegations that were revealed yesterday.

I wouldn't expect the apologist for torture to be asking the tough questions. It is better for Ignatieff to be out of town rather then decipher if this torture fell in or out of his allowed theory of acceptable pain and discomfort.

The LPC have replaced a chicken with a turkey.

 

 

remind remind's picture

madmax wrote:
Debater wrote:
ottawaobserver, I'm not sure which Question Period you are watching, but today Bob Rae, Ralph Goodale and Marlene Jennings all hammered the Conservatives on the torture allegations that were revealed yesterday.

I wouldn't expect the apologist for torture to be asking the tough questions. It is better for Ignatieff to be out of town rather then decipher if this torture fell in or out of his allowed theory of acceptable pain and discomfort.

This was discussed last night on CBC, and Coyne was trying to share the blame for this on the Liberals, as well as the Cons....some small point there but not much.

  ....would bet Ignatieff's stance on torure is why the Liberals were so late to the party, and so early to leave it...

mybabble

Its my party and I'll cry if I want to.  It can all change in a split of a second if the right scandal comes along or Canadians really start to feel the pinch as job loses and bankrupticies continue to climb.  Reality Check!  No party is dead, members just have to wait until things work in their favor and its no surprise governments especially the Conservatives have a great deal to hide.   Like take the present scandal with Conservative Minister over soilders partaking in torture as part of their duties.  Wasn't there a big scandal with the Conservatives in the past where the Minister got caught up in the same kinda lies just before Conservatives dropped out of existance for years?  So you just never know, you know.

mybabble

Its a cover up thats what it is.  The reason the Minister didn't let out what was happening in Afghanistan is Canadians would have been very troubled with Canada's commitment to the war in Afghanistan.  So its about credibility and right now the Conservatives have none.  Iggy on the other hand well lets hear what he has to say about the very sensitive issue how peace keeping Canadian solders partake in torture as all part and parcel of their duties as solders.  There are many questions to be answered I'm certain like Bush's siege and what happened there and on and on but its tuff to get the real story around here.

madmax

mybabble wrote:
It can all change in a split of a second if the right scandal comes along or Canadians really start to feel the pinch as job loses and bankrupticies continue to climb.  Reality Check! 

If Canadians get a Reality Check on Job Losses and Bankruptcies, then there is no way in hell they would vote for the Liberals. A reality check requires one to investigate into why those job losses and orchestrated bankruptcies are occurring. Any minimal investigation will see the Big Red Machine behind the changes that caused the bloodletting of our trade and technology. Stupid is as stupid does. 

Reality Check! NEVER VOTE FOR A LIBERAL.

There isn't a trade deal they don't like. There isn't a corporation for whom they won't do their dirty work. There isn't a bank they won't coddle. There isn't an employee they won't screw over first.

 

Anyone ever involved in bankruptcies or job losses won't vote Liberal. EVER!!!

EVER AGAIN!!!  LOL

This is an issue where those who investigate will see the divide between the NDP Vs the LPC/CPC.

Only the most ill informed Nortel employee could ever think of Voting Liberal, let alone CPC.

Liberals better hope that the public let alone people affected by job losses or bankruptcies, don't get a reality check. Because then there is blind faith they will receive votes on an issue they deserve NONE.

 

remind remind's picture

Bankruptcies are up 75% in Alberta acording to the noon news today, yet the latest AR poll has the Cons still doing extremely well in AB, what is wrong with people?

Chester Drawers

The world wide recession is the culprit, collapsed oil and gas prices, venture capital dried up.  Every country in the world has been affected, Canada has suffered the least according to the IMF and OEDC.  Now the 75% increase is a huge increase, but what were the numbers based on.  If there were only 4 bankrupcies which then jumped to 7 that is a 75% increase looks bad, but what is the relationship of the bankruptcies to people and companies not in bankruptcy, what sectors, industries, occupational skill levels did the bankruptcies occur in.  A blanket statement of increases of 75% is miseading if the parameters are not fully known.

Albertan are free enterprisers, they frown on government involvement in the economy.  Just because some tough economic times have come will not change their culture of leave me alone I can manage.  They really hate the nanny state mentality.

This is a foriegn caused event, imagine what would have happened under the Canadian internally developed event of the Green Shaft on Alberta. The NEP devastated Alta. and had longer concequences than this economic trouble will cause.  Insanity is doing the same thing over and over hoping for different results to occur and that is what regressive government policies that target regional areas are, insane.  Now the Green Shaft might have worked if the money stayed in the region directly paying the shot, but that was not the case.  Sorry for the digression.

thorin_bane

Spin it again drawers...Harper could have mitigated a lot of this saying otherwise is disingeneous, not to mention the only action he has taken is in con ridings for the most part.

NorthReport

Nobody likes a loser I suppose.

Sounds like the rats are abandoning the sinking ship. Laughing

 

Debater wrote:

Scott Piatkowski wrote:

Debater wrote:
I don't have a leader, ottawaobserver.

Interesting admission. That says a lot about the state of your party.

I don't have a party - I am unaffiliated at the moment, and may be so for the immediate future.