Nicky,
Thanks for the notes. They seem to confirm my thought that while Liberal-Conservative switching may be a historical expectation, the Harper Conservatives are far more polarizing and, thus, far less palatable.
Topp's Coalition Memoirs, part2
Sun, 2010-01-31 00:08
#102
Steve_Shutt
Sun, 2010-01-31 06:41
#103
All they demonstrate is that the polarizing nature of Harper makes it possible that it translates into something sufficient at the ballot box.
Nicky's notes don't confirm anything except that possibility. They are a very rough and preliminary look at what might be found in the numbers.
.. while Liberal-Conservative switching may be a historical expectation, the Harper Conservatives are far more polarizing and, thus, far less palatable.
The numbers that have been crunched around this are from the last election, which would register the effects of that polarizing.
Sun, 2010-01-31 07:46
#104
Turns out Malcolms statistical foray is only 2 weeks ago in this very thread.
This one will soon close anyway, so I've cut and paste relevant bits of the discussion to Enduring Idea of Anti-Conservative Vote Swapping
Sun, 2010-01-31 09:10
#105
Maysie
Closing for length.
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