Solar Flare Erupts Directly At The Earth Should Hit Early Tuesday Morning

excuse me  ...

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[i]

NOW SHOWING: LIVE FROM THE SUN ... TO YOUR COMPUTER

 

A new computer screen saver made available by the European Space Agency now allows computer users to watch spectacular, almost real-time images of our Sun. The images, coming directly from 1.5 million kilometres away in space, will flash on your computer screen courtesy of ESA's Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO).

Every time your screen saver kicks in it will look, via the Internet, for the most recent images SOHO has sent to scientists. A few seconds, and the show begins.

You will be able to witness exciting events as they happen on our star: huge expulsions of matter that scientists call Coronal Mass Ejections; sunspots, now growing in number as the Sun reaches the peak of activity in its 11-year cycle; and even the demise of the so-called sun-grazing comets, as they disappear forever into our star. Now, give a rest to your computer and enjoy the show live from the Sun.[/i]Free Stuff

There are some scripts that one might like to have on space weather for their site?

Add an X-ray flare and Geomagnetic storm monitor to your website

<TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR>
<TD ALIGN=RIGHT WIDTH=150><STRONG>Solar X-rays: <BR><BR>Geomagnetic Field: </STRONG></TD>
<TD><TABLE BORDER=3 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR>
<TD ALIGN=CENTER><CENTER><A HREF="http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html"><IMG WIDTH=121
HEIGHT=21 BORDER=0 ALT="Status" SRC="http://www.n3kl.org/sun/images/status.gif?"></A></CENTER></TD>
</TR><TR><TD ALIGN=CENTER><CENTER><A HREF="http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html"><IMG WIDTH=121
HEIGHT=21 BORDER=0 ALT="Status" SRC="http://www.n3kl.org/sun/images/kpstatus.gif?"></A></CENTER></TD>
</TR>></TABLE></TD><TD WIDTH=150>&nbsp;</TD></TR></TABLE>
From <A HREF="http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html">n3kl.org</A></CENTER>

One other little sunspot related radio story I know of was told to me by a Cuban friend and radio engineer.

During the "mother of all sunspot cycle peaks" there was a little clandestine shortwave radio station broadcasting from the Sierra Maestra Mountains.    That little radio station was called "Radio Rebelde" and was operated by the rebels of the "26th of July Movement".

Because of the intense solar activity during that period, Radio Rebelde was regularly heard all around the world by anyone with a shortwave receiver.   It generated tremendous interest in what was happening in Cuba by the world's media and no doubt played an important role in the triumph of the Cuban revolution on January 1, 1959.

I managed to catch one interesting little piece of history myself via solar enhancement of radio signals by solar activity.

In October, 1983 I was twiddling the dials one evening on my trusty Panasonic RF-3100 radio.   But, I was listening to the regular AM broadcasting band.

We had what's known as "auroral" conditions.   As many people know, AM signals skip off of the D layer of the ionosphere at night time and travel for 500 to a thousand miles.

What happens when we have auroral conditions on the AM radio band is that the signals from "mid latitude" radio stations are attenuated, often allowing radio signals from latitudes further south to be heard.

What was happening in October, 1983?   Leftist Grenadan Prime Minister Maurice Bishop was overthrown in an internal coup d'etat by a rival faction of the governing "New Jewel Movement" and was later killed.    A couple of weeks later Ronald Reagan ordered the U.S. marines to invade for all of the usual excuses.

That particular night I tuned my radio to 990 KHz. on the AM band and surprise of surprises, I was hearing "Radio Free Grenada".

I quickly connected the radio up to a cassette recorder and began reccording.

Radio Free Grenada had news announcements and they were warning the people that the U.S. marines were likely to invade (which they did a day or two later).

Recently, I came across that tape and at some point I'll digitize it and put it up on line.   The quality of the recording isn't great.The signal on the radio was fading in and out and it was a really cheap quality tape.

But, my own little bit of history thanks to the solar weather that particular day.

Pretty cool, Radiorahim!

Yea, thanks Radiorahim.

http://www.space.com/10893-major-solar-storm-earth-risks.html

"All those motorists sitting at traffic lights cursing, should realize that
it is not Hydro-Quebec's fault"
[Hydro-Quebec, 1989].

P-mode Shapes

Solar HelioSeismology was developed for a reason.:) Have fun with it... look at chaldni plates, and look at the predictable possibility of what is coming from the other side of the sun.

Not only communications.....power interruptions the one I am thinking of had to do with New York region.

Although it explains it, that seems like a little bit of a 'shock' story and not particularly useful.

there is a web site devoted to solar cycle 24:

http://www.solarcycle24.com/

see the trend charts and projections for sunspots:  

http://www.solarcycle24.com/sunspots.htm

In dead of Winter what would you do if no power for prolonged periods?

These are some of the questions I had when we had already been living in rural areas back then and today.  I hated to think about how to approach people in larger urban population densities. What would they do? Of course,  rural areas will take longer to get up and running. So I had to find solutions.What are they?

Back up generators? Panels that could be switched over too, designed in house construction just in case loss of power that you could support the essentials based on running watts needed. Unfortunately you are relying on gas or diesel plants for that generation but until "energy extraction means are perfected" what are you to do?

The luxury of electricity provides for the means of a more advance society with capabilities but if you are pushed back in terms of the ways and means to keep warm, dependence on lighting systems, then such a return to a more primitive life style is your only option? Fireplaces to keep warm?

What can we expect out of Middle East if they can shake off the chains of being held back while moving forward into the future as countries of democracies?

In Canada appropriate royalties tacked onto oil and gas should have spur alternate energy resource research and development, as well stabilization of education and health care systems for a healthier country. Utilization resource based monies should spur on a more healthy Canadian democracy affirmation toward public support of public funded, schools, hospitals and hydro systems?

"Monopolies" are recognized when they can produce Shock and awe within a system(Libya-3%  of current demand) in order to increase their profits?  Price per barrel did not have to be raised for Egypt(tensions)?

Does oil and gas even register  on inflation charts as factors for that inflation?

Just a thought/question.

I have a small generator (3500 watts) and a wood burning furnace, and six months of wood stockpiled. The community has a generaor to pump water if necessary.

I guess our biggest concern is food - everything comes on the supply ship, but a significant power outage ought not to make a difference, except the food we buy comes from grocery stores in Sept-Iles....

Hi Boom Boom,

It's a continuing evolution of the question around interruptions. It's definitely on ways to improve infrastructure in order to lesson effects of dependencies.

Gardens...and supply of food. How healthy is this for us anyway to return to some of the values we grew up with?

This question of evolution can move one to think of independence in rural community settings away from the grid. Water supplies and conservation,  natural resources.

I tried to think of the perfect package for such a demonstration and while looking at this "piecemeal" unbeknown to the global thinking needed such a development already existed in terms of how one could build, or,  buy a travel trailer. How it is set up to provide for living.

While it is indeed a luxury,  it is a demonstration for "utility of need" in case of the dependency issues forced onto oneself and their families.

Adaptations of solar panels to trickle charge batteries? So you are looking for ways to provide for some of those luxurious benefits.

I had a proposal here about someone with a good science background to explore ideas for "power generation" in car vehicles. Any takers?:)

Spectrum - sorry, I wanted to continue on that discussion, but forgot about this thread :)  The links you've provided make for interesting reading

From what I've read, we can actually give a 0.1 - 0.2 degrees (Celcius) from this solar cycle (the measurement is actually calculated on a watts per square meter that we would receive from the sun at the high of the cycle compared to the low of this cycle...whether or not it actually results in this temeprature change is more speculation).  In part, the reason for the interest in this value is we've seen one of the stronger La Nina episodes in a while and the solar cycle is at it's low, yet we are still seeing some of the warmest months on the record books.  I can link you to the same things I've read...once I've found them again (I've posted on it in another forum as well).  I beleive it was on realclimate and a discussion on Wunderground.

Err, just a side note to myself..La Nina is somewhat known to have a cooling effect on the globe as the pacific ocean surface temepratures drop significantly, and significantly more than the solar cycles would.

<a title="View user profile." href="user/3777">radiorahim</a> wrote:

[i]In 2003 we were in the downward side of Solar Cycle 23 with a smoothed sunspot number of around 75 at the beginning of the year and around 50 at the end of the year.[/i]

Thanks for answering questions based on chart information you supplied link too.

There is something going on we currently do not understand?

These figures given in relation to years of 2003 and associative stories do not provide for any evidence to suggest that there is some corroboratory status to peak times of solar flare and the timing of the blackouts. Do you concur?

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[i]At present, there is no established reason for the Sun's brightness to fluctuate on these time scales. The possibility that galactic cosmic rays, which are modulated by changes of the solar wind, may directly influence the climate is therefore attracting the interest of scientists.[/i]CERN's CLOUD experiment

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So it is not about fighting a perspective on solar contributions with regard to climate change but really looking at what might be going on and remain open to what can be gathered from the information.

Completely agree, it's about understanding...very much a hobby for me as well. My only problem with cosmic ray research is the funding is almost exclusivley from sources that stand to lose if they can't find a feasible alternative to AGW...doesn't mean they can't find anything of interest, I'm just prepared to accept any of their data as skewed to suit their needs. Heh, the link to CERN's cloud experiment has the comment "(cosmic rays as) 50 to 100% of the climatechange on earth, so if he's right, somebody better sue the IPCC and all those other hypocrites that suck tax payer's money for years". Hard to deny the interest in cosmic rays is purely in response to claiming GW is caused by gasses our industries and population release. I'm all for learning on cosmic rays (hence my interest here) if it isn't done with the pretext of proving AGW incorrect. For what it's worth, I hate Pro-AGW peoples blinding themselves to science that doesn't support their view either (such a global warming should produce fewer hurricanes).

[url=http://pcic.uvic.ca/event/2011/cloud-experiment-cern]here[/url] suggests the results will be shared later in March. It's done by Jasper Kirkby, who's really become a poster boy on denial websites, but I think that is much to his chagrin. Unfortunately when he first released his thoughts, he said up to 100% of warming could be accounted for by cosmic rays. Heh, he got slapped fer that...I'm curious what he'll release here in march.

One thing that really bugs me...when we enter the hurricane discussion, it has to be known that much is effected by the relative lack of records and it's not that hard to point out accurate measuring later than 1950's doesn't really exist, which makes trending quite difficult. I see several claims in the solar radiation world claiming that we have accurate records on sunspot counting going back to 1200's...any of that true?  It really strikes me as odd that we'd have accurate measurements going that far back that accurately represent what we can measure now.

There's an attempt to peg recent weather phenom (winters in the US) on cosmic rays..this being the solar low right now...though I beleive we can give you a much better answer based on warming arctic waters heating the atmosphere differently (we saw the break down of the arctic and north atlantic oscillations this year).  A little weird, but a warming globe will create mass snow storms throughout mid latitudes and freeze europe.

and thanks for the links, I'm still reading ;)

The Jasper Kirkby seemed to be hit by the same thing you're pointing out...after he said he thought 50%-100% of climate change could be atributed to cosmic rays, he was pretty much assaulted by both pro-AGW crowds and the denial side.  I think he knows with this debate, what his results actually are end up pretty meaningless...peoples mind are already well made up and it'd be an arguing point at best.   Get rid of that debate, and the science comes out a bit better.  He's being more diplomatic with it this time and is trending towards 'it might be a factor, lets find out how much of a factor it is' approach.  lol might be all smoke and mirrors, but we'll see when his data comes out how he's decided to interpret it. 

Admittadely, I never would really expect any scientist to come out with "the thing I've been studying all my life turns out to be true but results are negligable"...they tend to give more importance to their own work than is sometimes warented.

I've been following this (the climate change debate) for a good 5 years with readings (attended copenhagen too), along with a partial blog on the topic.  If you're interested, more than willing to share notes on a subject...and I'm relatively non-partisan, will conflict with conservationists and deniers alike.  I figure clashing with everything is the easier way to ensure that.  ha. The science has really advanced in the past 5-6 years alone...it's amazing what we know now compared to what we knew at the start of the 21st century.

My info on LHC is a little dated...fits into those categories where I can't wait for the results, so I'm ignoring it until we have results to discuss.

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I learn of the idea to look at collision points as points of multi-dimensional capabilities in what we see proceeding to measures of faster then light entities in mediums for effective tscan measures of, as Cerenkov background displays from cosmic ray spallations of those translation and collision points, as decay products of the original energy calculation.

care to expand on that at all? I'm curious on the faster than light entities...any info that deals with quantum nonlocality seems gold to me :D

<a title="View user profile." href="users/searosia">Searosia</a> wrote:

[i]My info on LHC is a little dated...fits into those categories where I can't wait for the results, so I'm ignoring it until we have results to discuss.[/i]

Ah thanks for asking.

As with perspective around FLY's eye experiment as and calculation of energy valuations on  cosmic particulates measures, there was a limit set of course. I am not to sure on al of speifics here. But that was the start for me.

MAGIC is an imaging atmospheric Cherenkov telescope or IACT that has started measuring since the commissioning ended in late 2004. The project is funded primarily by the funding agencies BMFB (Germany), MPG (Germany), INFN (Italy), and CICYT (Spain).

So you know there is particle denomination. We can show that and correlations in LHC as a experimental procedure is side by side with our perspectives on what is happening in nature. So you have a source.... galactic,  and from our own sun.

So from "the source" to the "backdrops  of measure" as if photon pathway source for consideration shot through screen(Young) it is much like this as decay products are measurable values of original energy, the decay as particulate energy value from the original source?

So I'll point out some of this backdrops for consideration.

Antarctic Muon And Neutrino Detector Array....

Diagram of IceCube. IceCube will occupy a volume of one cubic kilometer. Here we depict one of the 80 strings of opctical modules (number and size not to scale). IceTop located at the surface, comprises an array of sensors to detect air showers. It will be used to calibrate IceCube and to conduct research on high-energy cosmic rays. Author: Steve Yunck, Credit: NSF

.....(AMANDA) is a neutrino telescope located beneath the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station. In 2005, after nine years of operation, AMANDA officially became part of its successor project, IceCube.

AMANDA consists of optical modules, each containing one photomultiplier tube, sunk in Antarctic ice cap at a depth of about 1500 to 1900 meters. In its latest development stage, known as AMANDA-II, AMANDA is made up of an array of 677 optical modules mounted on 19 separate strings that are spread out in a rough circle with a diameter of 200 meters. Each string has several dozen modules, and was put in place by "drilling" a hole in the ice using a hot-water hose, sinking the cable with attached optical modules in, and then letting the ice freeze around it.

AMANDA detects very high energy neutrinos (50+ GeV) which pass through the Earth from the northern hemisphere and then react just as they are leaving upwards through the Antarctic ice. The neutrino collides with nuclei of oxygen or hydrogen atoms contained in the surrounding water ice, producing a muon and a hadronic shower. The optical modules detect the Cherenkov radiation from these latter particles, and by analysis of the timing of photon hits can approximately determine the direction of the original neutrino with a spatial resolution of approximately 2 degrees.

AMANDA's goal was an attempt at neutrino astronomy, identifying and characterizing extra-solar sources of neutrinos. Compared to underground detectors like Super-Kamiokande in Japan, AMANDA was capable of looking at higher energy neutrinos because it is not limited in volume to a manmade tank; however, it had much less accuracy because of the less controlled conditions and wider spacing of photomultipliers. Super-Kamiokande can look at much greater detail at neutrinos from the Sun and those generated in the Earth's atmosphere; however, at higher energies, the spectrum should include neutrinos dominated by those from sources outside the solar system. Such a new view into the cosmos could give important clues in the search for Dark Matter and other astrophysical phenomena.

After two short years of integrated operation as part of IceCube[1], the AMANDA counting house (in the Martin A. Pomerantz Observatory) was finally decommissioned in July and August of 2009.

See also

• IceCube Neutrino Observatory
• Project DUMAND
• Antarctic Impulse Transient Antenna
• Radio Ice Cerenkov Experiment
• Neutrino telescope

References

1. ^ http://icecube.wisc.edu/science/publications/pdd/pdd12.php

• Laura Mgrdichian (2008-02-29). "AMANDA's First Six Years". Physorg.com. http://www.physorg.com/news123497018.html. Retrieved 2008-03-02.

External links

• AMANDA home page
• IceCube Home Page

****

When a neutrino collides with a water molecule deep in Antarctica’s ice, the particle it produces radiates a blue light called Cerenkov radiation, which IceCube will detect (Steve Yunck/NSF)

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shows arrival directions of cosmic rays with energies above 4 x 1019eV. Red squares and green circles represent cosmic rays with energies of > 1020eV , and (4 - 10) x 1019eV , respectively.

We observed muon components in the detected air showers and studied their characteristics. Generally speaking, more muons in a shower cascade favors heavier primary hadrons and measurement of muons is one of the methods used to infer the chemical composition of the energetic cosmic rays. Our recent measurement indicates no systematic change in the mass composition from a predominantly heavy to a light composition above 3 x 1017eV claimed by the Fly's Eye group.

So I think you get what I am saying? Not just volcanoes.

The location of the muon detector on the slopes of the Vesuvius volcano.

Like X-ray scans of the human body, muon radiography allows researchers to obtain an image of the internal structures of the upper levels of volcanoes. Although such an image cannot help to predict ‘when’ an eruption might occur, it can, if combined with other observations, help to foresee ‘how’ it could develop and serves as a powerful tool for the study of geological structures.

Muons come from the interaction of cosmic rays with the Earth's atmosphere. They are able to traverse layers of rock as thick as one kilometre or more. During their trip, they are partially absorbed by the material they go through, very much like X-rays are partially absorbed by bones or other internal structures in our body. At the end of the chain, instead of the classic X-ray plate, is the so-called 'muon telescope', a special detector placed on the slopes of the volcano.

See: Muons reveal the interior of volcanoes

***

MU-RAY project 
MUon RAdiographY

 
A. Kircher (1601-1680): “The interior of Vesuvius” (1638)
Read more about Athanasius Kircher on Wikipedia.

Cosmic ray muon radiography is a technique capable of imaging variations of density inside a hundreds of meters of rock. With resolutions up to tens of meters in optimal detection conditions, muon radiography can give us images of the top region of a volcano edifice with a resolution that is significantly better than the one typically achieved with conventional gravity methods and in this way can give us information on anomalies in the density distribution, such as expected from dense lava conduits, low density magma supply paths or the compression with depth of the overlying soil.

The MU-RAY project is aimed toward the study of the internal structure of Stromboli and Vesuvius volcanoes using this technique.

THat's alot of reading...gimmie a couple days there.

[url=http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GLAST/news/fermi-thunderstorms.html]you might find this interesting[/url]...not sure if you are aware of Fermi, but we caught antimatter reactions happening in our atmosphere with an interesting connection to lightning.