Federal Polling April 8th

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nicky

Sorry for the double post.

Only the second paragraph is a quote from 308. the first and third paragraphs are mine. The format of my post makes this unclear

nicky

Sorry for the double post.

Only the second paragraph is a quote from 308. the first and third paragraphs are mine. The format of my post makes this unclear

Fidel

nicky wrote:
It is hard to fathom that the NDP is down to an Audrey McLaughlin level of support in Ontario.

Millions of us have been thoroughly disabused of any all notions that voting in Puerto Ontario is worthwhile. We're currently enjoying record level debt and budget deficits courtesy of the Pincocchio regime in Toronto, stubborn unemployment, soaring electricity rates, almost $6 dollar per gallon gasoline, amazing levels of child poverty and homelessness, doctor shortages, net outmigrations of young people to other provinces etc. And there are still people wondering why a fifth to a quarter of Ontarians doing the choosing here don't vote NDP? The answer is as plain as the wooden nose on McGuilty's whittle face: It's because the roughly half of eligible voters who actually cast ballots here in Ontario are very stupid. Suckers for punishment even.

Winston

@ Fidel:

I've never considered calling the voters "stupid" to be a productive exercise.  While there are myriad reasons why working people vote outside their own self-interest, many beyond our control, it is our duty to engage them and convince them to make common cause with us and with each other.

Insulting them debases our democratic discourse.

josh

Nanos tracking

Cons  39.5

Libs  31.6

NDP  14.7

Bloc   8.1

Greens   4.8

 

http://www.nanosresearch.com/election2011/20110409-BallotE.pdf

 

 

NorthReport

On March 15th Nanos had the gap between the Cons and the Libs at 11%. Today it is 7.9%, which is a drop of 3.1%. If this trend continues and the Libs eneded up with more seats than the Cons, apart from having to address his own leadership issues,  what would happen to Harper's position on a coalition?

jfb

Nothing but again the libs and the cons are basically on the same page. You will see the Libs reneign on their faux SOCIAL DEMOCRAT campaign promise, just like Chretien did, and nothing will change in Canada. Oh, Iggy would say, we feel badly and all as they cut social programs, bleed by the back door public health care, and sign more free trade agreements. Oh and more money for the war machine.

we already have a coalition, same one we have had for years in Canada

 

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

The poll which shows Larry Smith behind by 20% is not out of whack.

His gaffe really pissed off alot of people.

The word 'blackmail' is the common consensus.

Apparently,Larry Smith is not a teflon man...It's just too bad that the Reform Party is a teflon entity in the rest of Canada.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

308.com is still projecting the BQ to get 50 seats - that goes against the tide of polls that had shown as of a couple of weeks ago  the BQ may be bleeding seats this time around.

NorthReport

 

Election fight occurring over many battlefields

 

Number of two-horse races on the decline

 

 

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Election+fight+occurring+over+many+bat...

Stockholm

The Nanos poll also has the Liberals vastly higher in Quebec than anyone else does - and that of course drives up their national average. Liberals taking 27% in Quebec is about as unlikely as the NDP having 8% in Ontario. btw: The NDP increase back to about 15% today is good news since it still includes what must have been two very very bad nights on Thursday night and Friday night and over the next two days those will both get pooped out.

NorthReport

Here more BS from CTV who are on a mission to make this a 2-way fight. I have seen them do this election after election.

 

 

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20110410/election-poll-sunday-110410/20110410?s_name=election2011

Bärlüer

NorthReport wrote:

Actually the Liberals are polling at 11% in Quebec and it was the same polling firm CROP that had the Liberals at 11% in Quebec. As I said one seat in the West Island of Montreal is just so not representative of the situation in Quebec.

I think that the analysis offered by CROP's pollster was pretty accurate: at this point, the LPC in Quebec has essentially become the party of anglophones. So they'll continue to hold their ridings in the West Island and a couple of others in Montreal, but that's pretty much it. 

adma

Stockholm wrote:

The Nanos poll also has the Liberals vastly higher in Quebec than anyone else does - and that of course drives up their national average. Liberals taking 27% in Quebec is about as unlikely as the NDP having 8% in Ontario.

It's more likely IMO (though that speaks more to the unlikeliness of such NDP bottoming-out).  In any event, I think there's a double standard w/Babblers dismissing low Ontario NDP numbers as a blip while pouncing all over a 11% Grit poll in Quebec as proof Justin Trudeau's going to go down in flames...

gyor

They ignore any poll that has the ndp doing well, but jump all over it when one comes out where the ndp is doing bad. What happens when the next poll has the ndp doing well. Will they start saying the ndp is making a come back. Not a chance in hell.

Catchfire Catchfire's picture

Closing for length. Continue here.

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