Davenport! Trade in your Silva for Cash!!!

Fri, 2011-04-22 08:02

#2

Maysie

LMAO!!

Fri, 2011-04-22 11:18

#3

Michelle

BEST THREAD TITLE / CAMPAIGN SLOGAN EVER!!!

:D :D :D :D :D

Fri, 2011-04-22 11:20

#4

bagkitty

I slept in, so I was a little blurry eyed when reading the thread title... I was all prepared to notify mods about incoming spam. LOL, cute title.

Fri, 2011-04-22 12:08

#5

Catchfire

Love it!

Fri, 2011-04-22 12:23

#6

MegB

Now THAT'S hilarious!

Fri, 2011-04-22 14:00

#7

Tommy_Paine

Ha ha.

"Trade in your Silva for Cash" might have great apeal to people on the fence.

Fri, 2011-04-22 14:47

#8

MegB

Groan.

Fri, 2011-04-22 22:42

#9

Scott Piatkowski Scott Piatkowski's picture

Even better than "Cash for Toronto".

I think that [url=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vub3l3Gw11g]L'Etranger[/url] may be about to have a Parliament Hill reunion.

Sat, 2011-04-23 17:15

#10

Lord Palmerston

Went through Davenport today - looking very very good for Cash. He is cleaning up in signage in the southern half but his signage is very respectable in the north as well.

Sun, 2011-04-24 10:44

#11

Ciabatta2

HIs big weakness, sign-wise is the north-west

Otherwise his signage is particularly excellent the north-east of the riding: Oakwood, St. Clair, Regal Heights, Winona, etc.

Sun, 2011-04-24 10:59

#12

adma

The Oakwood/Regal Hts/Winona zone has *always* been an NDP stronghold. It's everything N of St Clair, W of Dufferin that you have to worry about...

Sun, 2011-04-24 11:39

#13

Ciabatta2

You call that a stronghold?

Last time around Silva beat Ferreira handily in those districts. Sometimes 2:1. The NDP didn't claim a single poll north of Dupont, east of Dufferin.

Sun, 2011-04-24 11:51

#14

oldgoat

That's an interesting observation Ciabatta. I don't generally predict much by lawn signs but last Monday I happened to drive through that riding from the NW and down Dufferin. My god do those people love thier lawn signs! anyhoo, I noticed a similar pattern. Don't recall seeing a single CPC sign.

Sun, 2011-04-24 12:21

#15

Ciabatta2

Yeah there are so many signs it's almost tacky. Reminds me of some Hamilton elections where there are so many signs they become part of the scenery and when the election is over and the signs disappear the town looks bare!

I don't think lawn signs mean much either but the improvement east of Dufferin is vast

That being said, Cash is a more attractive candidate to the upper-middle class crowd south of St. Clair and the increasingly young-professional-laden parts north of St Clair east of Duff than past NDPers so it is to be expected, somewhat

[Unrelated to Davenport, but an old-timer canvasser once told me that each NDP lawn sign can be approximated to about 1-and-a-half votes per sign (he felt NDPers had a greater propensity to declare allegiance publically), while a Liberal or Conservative signs probably equated to approx 2 votes per sign, to take into account all of the people who vote for one of the two old lines parties but aren't partisans. I have no idea if that has any basis in reality whatsoever]

Sun, 2011-04-24 12:58

#16

adma

Ciabatta2 wrote:

You call that a stronghold?

Last time around Silva beat Ferreira handily in those districts. Sometimes 2:1. The NDP didn't claim a single poll north of Dupont, east of Dufferin.

Note: "last time around". That was the Green Shift election, where the Dion Liberals (and the Greens) stole a lot of the hitherto NDP-friendly cultural-class vote in places like the Annex, Riverdale, etc. (With Ferreira's ethnic draw further flattening the relative advantage/disadvantage, compared to Cash, Perks, etc.).

But go to 2006 and 2004; or, Ruprecht's provincial races; or the municipal Bravo/Schein vs Palacio situation--it's pretty clear that the Regal Heights-Winona zone is the most natural pocket of NDP within a swath of ethno-Liberal...

Sun, 2011-04-24 13:35

#17

Lord Palmerston

adma wrote:

The Oakwood/Regal Hts/Winona zone has *always* been an NDP stronghold. It's everything N of St Clair, W of Dufferin that you have to worry about...

I was on some residential streets in that NW part yesterday...certainly the signage for Cash was much thinner than elsewhere, but it was still pretty decent.

Went into York South-Weston as well...very few signs for anybody.

Sun, 2011-05-08 13:41

#18

adma

By my post facto judgment, had the NDP sagged somewhat rather than surged in this election (i.e. no Quebec wave, even), Andrew Cash might still have bucked the trend by picking up Davenport. Everything went together just so perfectly.