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Vulnerable Cabinet Ministers
Wed, 2011-04-27 00:08
#1
Vulnerable Cabinet Ministers
Wed, 2011-04-27 00:13
#2
Anyone have any thoughts on Cabinet Ministers who might be facing defeat on Monday? Seems to me the most likely candidates for defeat are:
John Duncan (Vancouver Island North)
Julian Fantino (Vaughan)
Lawrence Cannon (Pontiac)
Jean-Pierre Blackburn (Jonquiere-Alma)
Gail Shea (Egmont)
People thought that John Baird might be vulnerable in Ottawa West-Nepean but at the rate the Liberals are tanking, I just don't see it. Peter McKay could potentially be in for a long night in Central Nova.
Wed, 2011-04-27 00:44
#3
Anyone have any thoughts on Cabinet Ministers who might be facing defeat on Monday? Seems to me the most likely candidates for defeat are:
John Duncan (Vancouver Island North)
Julian Fantino (Vaughan)
Lawrence Cannon (Pontiac)
Jean-Pierre Blackburn (Jonquiere-Alma)
Gail Shea (Egmont)
People thought that John Baird might be vulnerable in Ottawa West-Nepean but at the rate the Liberals are tanking, I just don't see it. Peter McKay could potentially be in for a long night in Central Nova.
Which is why Fantino & Shea are safe
Wed, 2011-04-27 00:47
#4
Any chance of Pierre Poilievre being defeated? I can't stand his smugness. I also wish Bev Oda and Tony Clement could be defeated, but I don't know how likely this is with the Tory numbers so high and the Liberal numbers rather low.
Mind you, there are a few Liberals I'd like to see the backs of, too.
Wed, 2011-04-27 00:51
#5
Maybe the NDP can knock off Peter McKay in Central Nova!
Wed, 2011-04-27 01:05
#6
Any chance of Pierre Poilievre being defeated?
No.
Wed, 2011-04-27 01:30
#7
Aglukkaq
It would be awesome to see Flaherty, Clement, and Toews go down...if only.
Toews would be doubly sweet as it would see the election of former NDP attorney general Al Mackling. The NDP is running a family physician against Clement and the Liberal campaign is serious too.
Wed, 2011-04-27 03:32
#8
Any chance of Pierre Poilievre being defeated? I can't stand his smugness.
Is he in cabinet?
Wed, 2011-04-27 07:27
#9
Any chance of Pierre Poilievre being defeated? I can't stand his smugness.
Is he in cabinet?
Oops. Sorry, no. He's Parliamentary Secretary. Forget I mentioned him. (Although I was rather entertained by this story: http://tinyurl.com/5sphtek)
Wed, 2011-04-27 07:59
#10
With Poilievre and Toews, we're getting more into "wishful thinking" than "vulnerable" territory. But if things surge in Ontario, I might look, cabinetwise, into a Rob Nicholson or Gary Goodyear,,,
Wed, 2011-04-27 11:32
#11
Laurie Hawn is a parliamentary secretary and given the NDP's numbers in Alberta and Jack's impending visit to Edmonton, it may be just enough to topple him. Edmonton Liberals (a good portion of them very well-heeled in Edmonton Centre) will be very sad if they miss the chance to turf Hawn and have to suffer him for another 4-5 years in Ottawa.
Wed, 2011-04-27 18:59
#12
bagkitty
Peter MacKay (Central Nova) should probably be on the top of the list of vulnerable cabinet ministers.
Wed, 2011-04-27 20:54
#13
at this point, duncan is definitely most endangered. after that, i'd guess cannon, then aglakkaq. if this wave really comes through here in quebec, blackburn's toast, as well. after that, pretty tough. fantino may drop, just because it was a fluke that he was in there in the first place. all told, that would be a pretty nice bit of tuerie, especially considering that it would virtually all be seats lost to the dippers.
Wed, 2011-04-27 21:21
#14
Wouldn't the decline in Liberal fortunes actually HELP Aglakkaq? The Liberal candidate was her strongest challenger last time. Does anybody know if the Orange Wave is actually going to reach the Arctic Circle?
Wed, 2011-04-27 23:15
#15
I reiterate the "watch Rob Nicholson" notion--demographically, Niagara Falls has all the hallmarks of something that'd fall w/a NDP sweep...
Wed, 2011-04-27 23:36
#16
Wouldn't the decline in Liberal fortunes actually HELP Aglakkaq? The Liberal candidate was her strongest challenger last time. Does anybody know if the Orange Wave is actually going to reach the Arctic Circle?
If it is anything like the Western Arctic, then it is unlikely that the campaign in the south has much to do with what goes on in Nunavut. It is all about local issues and money. If a candidate does not have the resources to travel around the riding, it will be very difficult to win. I hear that only the Conservative candidate in Nunavut has the cash. Just hearsay but if true, she should win easily.
Thu, 2011-04-28 01:48
#17
What about Gary Lunn in S.G.I.?
Thu, 2011-04-28 01:57
#18
Toews would be doubly sweet as it would see the election of former NDP attorney general Al Mackling.
Plus Toews has yet to pay for his evil work in provincial politics.
Thu, 2011-04-28 02:08
#19
What about Gary Lunn in S.G.I.?
Good call - forgot about him. I think EMay might just pull it off - apparently they got 600+ people out to a rally tonight in Saanich. The Greens are clearly throwing whatever resources they've got into getting her elected. (Of course, they should have run her in this riding in 2008, but I digress.)
Thu, 2011-04-28 02:40
#20
Lynne Yelich could be defeated by Darien Moore if the Orange wave really hits Saskatchewan.