Unite the center-left, or Harper will rule until 2025 - 2 - this just makes no sense to think like this

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Ken Burch

AND again and again and again.

AND again and again and again.

AND....

outwest

Once again, there is a huge difference between a "merger" and a coalition; one permanent, the other, a temporary arrangement with the potential of substantial gains, ie. PR, in the bargain.

As for the comment..."AND again and again and again. AND again and again and again. AND....", those of us who see coalition as the most probable key to future NDP power might well say the exact same thing to you after the next election and the NDP lose, "yet again...

Gaian

How do you arrange/plan for a coalition? What would be involved...a convention where a David Orchard of the left is lied to? Allowing merger to occur as laid down in the plot?

ottawaobserver

outwest wrote:

AND again and again and again. AND....", those of us who see coalition as the most probable key to future NDP power might well say the exact same thing to you after the next election and the NDP lose, "yet again...

And they will be the same ones who said the NDP would lose seats in the last election, and never overtake the Liberals; and that voting Liberal was the only way to beat the Conservatives.

So, their speculations now will be taken with a huge grain of salt.

Northern Shoveler Northern Shoveler's picture

Mergers or pre-election coalitions are virtually the same thing.  I am all in favour of minority governments and after the next election the Liberals who still have seats might be in a position to play king maker but I hope no one gives them a seat at the cabinet table.  

The only time I think temporary coalition talks might be appropriate is if against all odds the Liberals have a dead cat bounce in the next election and come close to the NDP in their seat total and the two parties hold the majority of seats between them.  Otherwise why would the NDP want to throw a life line to politicians that have been trying to destroy them.  Otherwise a merger or coalition is about allowing liberal party hacks a say in the party.

Ken Burch

outwest wrote:

Once again, there is a huge difference between a "merger" and a coalition; one permanent, the other, a temporary arrangement with the potential of substantial gains, ie. PR, in the bargain.

As for the comment..."AND again and again and again. AND again and again and again. AND....", those of us who see coalition as the most probable key to future NDP power might well say the exact same thing to you after the next election and the NDP lose, "yet again...

Actually, outwest, my "again and again and again" post was just a goof on Malcolm's inadvertent triple post.

deb93

An American relative was questioning the Canadian 3+ party system because it causes split votes allowing the Cons to win. A very Tory relative spoke up and said "If it wasn't for the NDP we wouldn't have universal health care." I about fell off my seat! Lol
A neighbour who likes to needle me about leftist politics started his usual rant and I demanded "Do you have a green card in your pocket, a health card?" He nodded and I said "The NDP got that for you." He shut up and hasn't mentioned politics since. Yay!

The value of a multi-party system is the temporary partnerships that can form around issues important to everyone during the day to day governance activities.Two party systems focus only on elections it seems to me, while multi-party systems focus on the business of good governance and make it their business to seek out alliances to bring forward issues and legislation that reflects a broader range of thinking and of the population.A narrow ideology with all the power such as we have now is not representative of all Canadians and not good for all Canadians, possibly very dangerous.

Obviously I am not in favour of merging the 'left' (the Libs aren't 'left'. They're merchants and bankers and shippers ... but whatever), and I am very much in favour of proportionate representation to broaden the mix even more, and force politicians to collaborate more and be more accountable to us.

The Lib losers who've been bleating about a merger are out of date and out of synch with the best way forward, and only looking out for their own interests.

outwest

Quote: "How do you arrange/plan for a coalition? What would be involved...a convention where a David Orchard of the left is lied to?"

The same way they have been arranged in Scandinavia/Germany/Europe, etc. for decades, starting by parties discussing not the differences between the 2 parties (or 3, if the Greens were to be involved), but the commonalities - of which there are far more than some will admit to here.

QUOTE: "And they will be the same ones who said the NDP would lose seats in the last election, and never overtake the Liberals; and that voting Liberal was the only way to beat the Conservatives."

1. As a distinct society, Quebec is an anomaly in Canadian politics. 2. All the NDPers I know and have read who advocate for a coalition have never said "vote Liberal" in all ridings or we would simply call ourselves Liberals. (What nonsense you purport.)

 QUOTE: "I am very much in favour of proportionate representation to broaden the mix even more, and force politicians to collaborate more and be more accountable to us."

Of course. So am I. And those of us who advocate for coalition do so because we see it as the most plausible current path to PR

Does the Roman "divide and conquer" mean nothing? The Tories are laughing all the way to the polls.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

For the record, I don't have an inherent objection to a merger of two or more partis on the left.

I'm just sane enough to realize that there is no room in such a merger for a consistently right wing party like the Liberals. However progressively pretty their rhetoric, only fools judge them on rhetoric alone. Their recod in government is consistently right wing, apart from the odd progressive sop when and only when backed into an electoral corner.

Hell, if we're to merge with the Liberals, we may as well merge with the Conservatives and be done with it.

Ken Burch

outwest wrote:

Quote: "How do you arrange/plan for a coalition? What would be involved...a convention where a David Orchard of the left is lied to?"

The same way they have been arranged in Scandinavia/Germany/Europe, etc. for decades, starting by parties discussing not the differences between the 2 parties (or 3, if the Greens were to be involved), but the commonalities - of which there are far more than some will admit to here.

QUOTE: "And they will be the same ones who said the NDP would lose seats in the last election, and never overtake the Liberals; and that voting Liberal was the only way to beat the Conservatives."

1. As a distinct society, Quebec is an anomaly in Canadian politics. 2. All the NDPers I know and have read who advocate for a coalition have never said "vote Liberal" in all ridings or we would simply call ourselves Liberals. (What nonsense you purport.)

 QUOTE: "I am very much in favour of proportionate representation to broaden the mix even more, and force politicians to collaborate more and be more accountable to us."

Of course. So am I. And those of us who advocate for coalition do so because we see it as the most plausible current path to PR

Does the Roman "divide and conquer" mean nothing? The Tories are laughing all the way to the polls.

Of course, you started pushing this, IIRC, with regards to Alberta provincial politics, where a NDP-Liberal merger would always have been pointless, since the Right continues to hold the support of an outright majority of the voters there.  If the combined NDP-Liberal support was below 50%, it really doesn't matter whether the support for those parties is combined or not.  A defeat is still going to be a defeat there.

BTW, are you aware of the fact that, in the last election, there were hardly any ridings in which the Liberal candidate would have beaten the Tory if only the NDP voters in the riding had voted Liberal?

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I guess we'll see in 2015 if the NDP -  our new Official Opposition - has the ability to become government - or not.

Ken Burch

Sure you want to go out on a limb like that?  It's also possible that we'll get wiped out by a giant meteor in 2014...or maybe the Mayan calendar thing will turn out to be true after all.

Ken Burch

dupe post.

outwest

I was speaking about coalitions, here, not a "merger," which is a different story. As for the "horror" of cooperating with the "right-wing" Liberals, that's how coalitions work, "the enemy of my enemy being my friend," and all of that.... And, for the record, I have many Liberal friends who are far more left-leaning in their politics than you can imagine; one wing of the party does not necessarily represent its entirety, and in fact, I don't think the most recent crop of back room boys of the Liberals currently do. 

As for Alberta politics, the Alberta DRP (Democratic Renewal Project, a grassroots group aimed at encouraging cooperation between the centre-left parties) conducted a poll last year where a decent proportion of Conservatives said that they would vote for a centre-left coalition. Impossible to believe, isn't it? Why would they? Because people like to vote for winners. But, without a strong coalition, leaving the centre-left parties isolated and weak, those malleable Tory voters won't bother. Yet by working together, the current 40% of centre/left voters would very likely increase, giving the 2 right wing parties (as Ted Morton fears) a real run for their money, and no longer leaving the 40% progressive vote in Alberta in the dust with a paltry 11 of 83 seats as it did in the last election.

I find that that there is a rigidity of opinion in discussions about strategic cooperation and coalitions. What happened to thinking outside the box?   

deb93

You do know that insulting people has the opposite effect to what you are looking for?

Policywonk

outwest wrote:

I was speaking about coalitions, here, not a "merger," which is a different story. As for the "horror" of cooperating with the "right-wing" Liberals, that's how coalitions work, "the enemy of my enemy being my friend," and all of that.... And, for the record, I have many Liberal friends who are far more left-leaning in their politics than you can imagine; one wing of the party does not necessarily represent its entirety, and in fact, I don't think the most recent crop of back room boys of the Liberals currently do. 

As for Alberta politics, the Alberta DRP (Democratic Renewal Project, a grassroots group aimed at encouraging cooperation between the centre-left parties) conducted a poll last year where a decent proportion of Conservatives said that they would vote for a centre-left coalition. Impossible to believe, isn't it? Why would they? Because people like to vote for winners. But, without a strong coalition, leaving the centre-left parties isolated and weak, those malleable Tory voters won't bother. Yet by working together, the current 40% of centre/left voters would very likely increase, giving the 2 right wing parties (as Ted Morton fears) a real run for their money, and no longer leaving the 40% progressive vote in Alberta in the dust with a paltry 11 of 83 seats as it did in the last election.

I find that that there is a rigidity of opinion in discussions about strategic cooperation and coalitions. What happened to thinking outside the box?   

What current 40%? Between the NDP, Liberal Party and Alberta Party, their total from either of the two polls in July was less than 30%. Or are you referring to the percentage of people who would vote for a centre-left coalition?

outwest

I'm referring to the 2008 Alberta election, where the combined NDP, Liberal, Green vote in the province was essentially 40%, yet those centre-left parties in combination received only 13% of the seats. (And people think Alberta is totally small-C conservative county!) *See Wiki Alberta Election 2008. Add up the Green/Lib/NDP percentages (the second last number under each party leader.)

 

 

PartyParty leader# of
candidatesSeatsPopular vote

2004Dissol.2008% Change#%% Change

    
Progressive Conservative
Ed Stelmach
83
621
60
72
+20%
501,063
52.72
+5.92%

    
Liberal
Kevin Taft
82
161
16
9
-43.8%
251,158
26.43
-2.96%

    
NDP
Brian Mason
83
4
4
2
-50%
80,578
8.48
-1.72%

    
Wildrose Alliance
Paul Hinman
61
1
1
-
-100%
64,407
6.78
-1.92%2

    
Greens
George Read
79
-
-
-
-
43,222
4.55
+1.80%

    
Social Credit
Len Skowronski
8
-
-
-
-
2,043
0.21
-1.02%

    
Separation
Bruce Hutton
1
-
-
-
-
119
0.01
-0.52%

    
Communist
Naomi Rankin
2
-
-
-
-
96
0.01
xx

    
Alberta Party
Bruce Stubbs
1
-
-
-
-
42
0.00
-0.28%

    
Independent
7
-
1
-
-100%
7,635
0.80
+0.69%

 
Vacant
1
 

Total
407838383-950,363100.00 

 

 

I'm not intentionally insulting anyone but genuinely curious as to why so many are so opposed to coalitions without participating in an open discussion of what it would mean and how the numbers could play out, nor understanding how coalitions in Europe or New Zealand, for example, even work. I just find that unfathomable, that's all.  

 

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Outwest, I understand the difference between a merger and a coalition.

In the event of a hng Parliament, I have no issue about entering into a coalition (or a confidence arrangement like Ontario 1985) with whichever part or parties will allow us to accomplish the most in terms of our policy priorities. If that's the right wing Liberals,fine. If it's the right wing Conservatives, fine again. The issue there is not the coalition partner but the calition policy agreement.

Pre-election deals / coalitions watever are simply merger by another name - and a completely stupid "strategy" no matter how you cut it. The arithmetic simply does not work, despite all your wishing it were so.

If you want to enter into some pre-election arrangement with the Liberals, fill your boots. Take out a Liberal membership by all means, and take solace in the pretty progressive rhetoric used to cover up the right wing policy agenda.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

OUtwest, if you believe that a merger of all of those parties would have resulted in a substantial change to the electoral outcome, then your "strategic" analysis isn't worth the bandwidth it's taking up. Not all supporters of the several parties would have supported a common candidate. Some would have stayed home. Some would have voted for whaever other parties remained on the ballot. Some would have voted Conservative. The net retention would not have been enough to affect the outcome in more than a few seats.

Please stop pestering us with this delusional "strategy." It is pure fantasy.

MegB

Closing for length.

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