Meant a front runner.
I'm not saying it will be a grind / burn out for Mulcair. Or that he will want to leave if he does not get the prize. The point was that it happening is very common, and that you dont read Mulcair right if you think that should that happen to him, he would go to the Liberals.
But for what its worth, I dont think there will be a second crack for Mulcair. And/or that he would want one.
My point was that there are a number of exceptions. You may be right about Mulcair though. It may depend on how he loses, if indeed he does run and lose.