NDP leadership 55

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Shoon

Mulcair has gained the endorsement of a Newfoundland endorsement.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

oops - didn't check date of poll

(HuffPost story out today links to poll released December 13 and already posted in the last thread)

KenS

Not going to Convention. Too far, but I have to admitt that I do not feel much pull anyway.

I will be particpating on-line: as spectator, blogging here n doubt, and voter.

Lou Arab Lou Arab's picture

Shoon wrote:
Niki's dad may have helped her gain support in Manitiba, but he had nothing to do with her Quebec support, that was all Niki, as I believe is her Sask support.

Care to tell us who?

Stockholm

Paul Dewar has put together a two minute ad for his campaign that is on youtube and on his website. Thoughts?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNZfGGHkyQk&feature=player_embedded

 

Unionist

Stockholm wrote:

Paul Dewar has put together a two minute ad for his campaign that is on youtube and on his website. Thoughts?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNZfGGHkyQk&feature=player_embedded

 

Initial thoughts:

1. I like the background music and some of the scenes. All would be improved, however, if Dewar's image and voice were deleted.

2. Everything he says is non-controversial and essentially empty rhetoric. I defy you to cite one single statement he makes that could not be said in a similar video by Stephen Harper.

3. His French is so bad - and his attitude is so indifferent - that he can't even learn to say the initials of his party properly. "En-pee-dee" - seriously (at 11 secs in)?? How hard is it to say "En-Pay-Day"? As a mnemonic, he can think of cashing in when he wins the leadership.

Anyway, I'll let you know if anything else comes to mind.

Stockholm

Unionist wrote:

 I defy you to cite one single statement he makes that could not be said in a similar video by Stephen Harper.

I don't think Harper would make statements about fighting for social democratic values and about addressing climate change and building a green economy etc... to name a few.

Unionist

Stockholm wrote:

Unionist wrote:

 I defy you to cite one single statement he makes that could not be said in a similar video by Stephen Harper.

I don't think Harper would make statements about fighting for social democratic values and about addressing climate change and building a green economy etc... to name a few.

First of all, he said "social democratic principles" (0:20) - not "values". But it's ok, because that's just rhetoric, unless you explain what you mean.

As for climate change, I heard him say "la lutte au changement climatique" and "greener economy". But it's all meaningless rhetoric, as [url=http://www.peterkent.ca/view/news/202]Peter Kent[/url] will tell you:

Quote:
Environment Minister Peter Kent and Veterans Affairs Minister Steven Blaney today announced an investment of $600.8 million over five years to renew the Clean Air Regulatory Agenda, (CARA), which has served as the framework for the Government to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality since 2006.

If he had said something gutsy, like: "I will not accept anything less than fulfilling our Kyoto obligations", I would have sat up and and taken note. But I'm still slouching here, so that should tell you something.

duncan cameron

I will be going to Toronto for the convention.

KenS

Following U's comment, trying for helpful suggestions here...

And maybe he would stand up and take note for anything that could be called 'money where the mouth is' substantive  [since that horse of fulfilling our Kyoto obligations went out of the barn long, long ago].

For example, "We are going to put the whole of the NDP's excellent climate change package front and centre."

[Subtext: instead of the practice to date that has been limited to positioning around bits of it. 'Cap and trade is better,' or now that the Conservatives are doing some of that: 'more'. Etc.] 

Unionist

Ken, did you notice one single solitary thing Dewar said that couldn't have been said by Harper (except for the meaningless code-word, "social-democratic principles")?

Doesn't this tell us something is endemically wrong? And I'm not just talking about Dewar's campaign.

Had he mentioned the wheat board, or the gun registry, or crime, or funding to social organizations, or child care, or anything else that Harper destroyed... but I take it all those horses have left the barn too, so we have to move on and talk about how we'll build a "caring society"?

 

Shoon

In the forum research poll sights like 308 are stating that it is Niki Ashton that is tied for third with Brian Topp, not Paul Dewar, who is tied with Chisholm and Cullen for last.

To be fair Dewar is within the margin of error of Niki Ashton, but,then again Niki is in the margin of error of Peggy Nash. Nobody
is within the margin of error of Mulcair. If Mulcair is 8 points less, that puts him at 37 percent to Peggy's maxium of 24 (listed as 16), if its 8 points higher Mulcair wins on the first ballet.

At this point Dewar's ad better be the very hight of advertizing genius otherwise it won't save his compaign.

Shoon

Lou Arab wrote:

Shoon wrote:
Niki's dad may have helped her gain support in Manitiba, but he had nothing to do with her Quebec support, that was all Niki, as I believe is her Sask support.

Care to tell us who?

Noah her co campaign chair and her campaign manager still a mystery, please let it not be former leader Dwain, are both from Sask and being so front and centre on Western issues such as the wheat board. As for Quebec her other campaign chair is one of the MP's from Quebec that endorsed her. Plus I've heard she gets a good crowd at her Quebec events.

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I'd love to go to the NDP convention - it would be my first - but it's a hell of a long way away, and someone has to mind the Ponderosa here.

I might consider going if I had a hearing escort (I'm deaf), but that's a very big "if".

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

Romeo Saganash in the 'Peg Part I: His Talk on his Vision

http://wpgragreview.blogspot.com/2011/12/romeo-saganash-in-peg-part-i-hi...

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

I'm not going to make up my mind until all the debates and speeches are done, but right now here's where I am for the moment:

First tier: Thomas Mulcair (in a class by himself)

Second Tier: Peggy Nash, Brian Topp, Romeo Saganash, Nathan Cullen, Niki Ashton

There's zero probability that I'm going to vote for Dewar, Singh, or Chisholm.

Peter3

Unionist wrote:

If he had said something gutsy, like: "I will not accept anything less than fulfilling our Kyoto obligations", I would have sat up and and taken note. But I'm still slouching here, so that should tell you something.

On the basis of the evidence available in your posts on this site, I'd guess that if Paul Dewar dove in front of a train to save a baby you'd have something snide to say about his lack of enthusiasm and a critique of the distance he achieved on the toss.

Unionist

Peter3 wrote:
Unionist wrote:

If he had said something gutsy, like: "I will not accept anything less than fulfilling our Kyoto obligations", I would have sat up and and taken note. But I'm still slouching here, so that should tell you something.

On the basis of the evidence available in your posts on this site, I'd guess that if Paul Dewar dove in front of a train to save a baby you'd have something snide to say about his lack of enthusiasm and a critique of the distance he achieved on the toss.

Let the record show that Peter, not I, was the first to summon the image of Paul diving in front of a train...

So Peter, serious question: Did you notice one single thing Paul said that Stephen would have balked at? Or has content become totally irrelevant in the race for who looks more prime ministerial?

I worry a lot about the NDP sounding indistinguishable from the Liberal party. What do I do when I can't distinguish them from the Cons??

I just can't figure out why young people don't give a damn about politics any more. Except for a few extremely ambitious ones, and those who (like Brigette DePape) have figured out that the world will not be changed by cutesy questions in Question Period.

 

Shoon

Peter3 wrote:
Unionist wrote:

If he had said something gutsy, like: "I will not accept anything less than fulfilling our Kyoto obligations", I would have sat up and and taken note. But I'm still slouching here, so that should tell you something.

On the basis of the evidence available in your posts on this site, I'd guess that if Paul Dewar dove in front of a train to save a baby you'd have something snide to say about his lack of enthusiasm and a critique of the distance he achieved on the toss.

I tell you what, if he does that I'll bump him up to number three from number seven. See I'm not unreasonable.

Actually I liked the vibe and design of Dewar's ad, but thier should have been one in each language into of one in both. Good energy, little policy, but the one thing as whole you can't accused Dewar of is lacking policies, it isn't helping him, so he's trying an emotional appeal.

northwestern_lad
Peter3

Shoon wrote:

it isn't helping him, so he's trying an emotional appeal.

I'm actually a bit surprised by how well the Dewar campaign is doing. His campaign has some organizing chops.

The Forum poll has nothing to say about standing among members. Based on my conversations around the country, I put him in fourth on first ballot support at this point. I would bet that if you asked him in October how he would feel about being in that position at Christmas he'd have told you he'd be pretty happy with it.

There seem to be a lot of people on the cusp around his French, both in the "I like him, but I worry about his French" and the "I've gone to x because I don't think he can get his French sorted out" camps. My guess is that the French debates are going to determine whether he finishes in the top tier or down the list.

writer writer's picture

Could we maybe not descend into thoughtless sexism, where women are judged on their hotness or their romantic potential? That would be terrific. Thanks.

AnonymousMouse

078 wrote:

How about Ruth Ellen Brosseau? Wink   (At least she's hot???)

I don't really have a problem with this comment since it was in response to a joke about politicians having a love affair, but the date above shows "078" joined Rabble TODAY.

Did you honestly sign up in order to leave THAT comment? Really, dude?

KenS

Unionist wrote:

Ken, did you notice one single solitary thing Dewar said that couldn't have been said by Harper (except for the meaningless code-word, "social-democratic principles")?

You sure make it hard on a guy.

Like, do I have to say explicitly that I agree more than I dont. If I go that far, it could hurt.

I was trying to help because you used the example of Dewar demanding nothing less than meeting our Kyoto commitments, which is no longer even physically possible, having descended form being a long shot possibility after the Liberals finished sitting on their asses.

So I inserted something else that would require gumption... even though it is 'just' promising to get serious about what is already NDP policy.

KenS

For what its worth, I'll consider Dewar if his French turns out to be hugely better, and my presently higher choices are not looking good.

But the more I hear the more I am only seeing Dewar as only a shade less likelihood than Mulcair for being someone who is just going to give us incremental centrist 'agendas'.

And that is mostly leaving aside his foreign policy practice and focusing on what he has said in the leadership race.

writer writer's picture

Boom Boom: It appears that there's a whole lot more where that came from ...

Romeo Saganash in the 'Peg Part II: Stopping the Dumb on Crime agenda

To thunderous applause, Saganash reiterated why Harper's crime policy was bad, how it didn't effectively reduce crime, and how Texas conservatives were backing away from it.

Romeo Saganash in the 'Peg Part III: Climate Change & Regaining the West

"Another member of the crowd then asked about strategies to get more MPs from Western Canada and to buildup membership in what was the NDP's cradle - the prairies."

Romeo Saganash in the 'Peg Part IV: The CWB & Social Housing

Saganash outlined what he sees as the two diametrically opposed approaches to farm policy. One approach involves catering to large Agrobusinesses while the other involves support for family farms. The leadership hopeful believes that preserving the Canadian Wheat Board is the best way to help family farmers.

He further went on to describe the way in which the Conservatives have gone about changing the law as "unacceptable". What he specifically has in mind are Conservative responses to Court rulings over whether the government can change the Wheat Board without affected farmers voting on the matter. The Conservative response, that they have a (manufactured) majority and thus should be able to change whatever laws they want, reeks of arrogance according to Saganash. Previous majority governments, the leadership hopeful contends, have passed more bills with amendments than the Harper Government has thus far.

... And it looks like the blogger has more to come!

GuyF

writer wrote:

Could we maybe not descend into thoughtless sexism, where women are judged on their hotness or their romantic potential? That would be terrific. Thanks.

I actually thought it funny. I met her once. She was charming. Truth be told the NDP is a much newer, younger, hipper party that represents a changing demographic in Canadian society. The youth of the party is its biggest asset. I'd wouldn't mind seeing one of the new MPs take the helm. It would be a welcome and dynamic change from all of the squabbling amongst the old guard.

078

AnonymousMouse wrote:
078 wrote:

How about Ruth Ellen Brosseau? Wink   (At least she's hot???)

I don't really have a problem with this comment since it was in response to a joke about politicians having a love affair, but the date above shows "078" joined Rabble TODAY. Did you honestly sign up in order to leave THAT comment? Really, dude?

Shoon

writer wrote:

Could we maybe not descend into thoughtless sexism, where women are judged on their hotness or their romantic potential? That would be terrific. Thanks.

Did you not read all the comments on how hot Justin Trudea was in the other thread? This guy,is not the first person I've met with a crush on REB. If once she builds a strong record and proves herself along with that charisma she will be a formible contender in the future.

Personally I'm happy to hear she's a hard worker and that she has adapted well.

Gaian

You don't have to bother, really.

Gaian

Where, for Chrissake, did these folks crawl out from?

writer writer's picture

I'd like those who are defending this nonsense to take a moment and look at the recent contributions of our newest members elsewhere on the board. I will promise not to say I told you so in return. Also a quick feminism 101: there is no reverse sexism.

If you're having trouble with any of this, I encourage you to review the policy you signed up to respect when joining this discussion board.

But thanks for trying to help me out with this. Really appreciated.

AnonymousMouse

Having seen the later comment from Emilio I now regret chiming in on the comment from "078".

I think that comment was fairly innocuous, but I agree with writer that (upon reflection and further information) it seems our newest members are taking the conversation in an undesirable direction.

In fairness, more Emilio than "078", but hey.

Idealistic Prag... Idealistic Pragmatist's picture

Hurray, we now have a schedule for the remaining official debates! http://leadership2012.ndp.ca/events

KenS

JJust checked in to recent 'contributions'.

Mods notified. Hopefully not the first time.

Your idea of 'jokes' not appreciated guys.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Shoon wrote:

Noah her co campaign chair and her campaign manager still a mystery, please let it not be former leader Dwain, are both from Sask and being so front and centre on Western issues such as the wheat board. As for Quebec her other campaign chair is one of the MP's from Quebec that endorsed her. Plus I've heard she gets a good crowd at her Quebec events.

 

It isn't Dwain.  Even speculating that it might be Dwain shows you don't really get the dynamics here.  Right now, Niki's Saskatchewan supporters include people who supported Ryan Meili, Yens Pedersen and Deb Higgins in the provincial leadership.  I'm not aware of any Lingenfelter supporters.  (Which isn't to say there aren't any.)

KenS

Moderating this joint is a part time job. So they wouldn't have noticed your loverly 'humour'.

Zero tolerance for it.

If you dont like that, sorry about that.

Might educate yourself about why people might feel that way.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Does anyone actually have direct numbers from the Forum poll (as opposed to numbers mediated by either Ivison or HuffPo)?

By Ivison's version says Mulcair 45, Nash 16, Topp 8, Dewar 8 (remaining five 22).

By the HuffPo version its Mulcair 45, Nash 16, Topp 8, Ashton 8, Dewar 4 (remaining four 18 - which suggests at least one or two are ahead of Dewar).

Obviously I prefer the HuffPo version.

Shoon

Malcolm wrote:

Shoon wrote:

Noah her co campaign chair and her campaign manager still a mystery, please let it not be former leader Dwain, are both from Sask and being so front and centre on Western issues such as the wheat board. As for Quebec her other campaign chair is one of the MP's from Quebec that endorsed her. Plus I've heard she gets a good crowd at her Quebec events.

 

It isn't Dwain.  Even speculating that it might be Dwain shows you don't really get the dynamics here.  Right now, Niki's Saskatchewan supporters include people who supported Ryan Meili, Yens Pedersen and Deb Higgins in the provincial leadership.  I'm not aware of any Lingenfelter supporters.  (Which isn't to say there aren't any.)

Dude do seriesly think I was serious, it was a joke, do you really think I'm stupid enough to actually think Dwain after his huge disaster would get invovled in the leadership race period. Right now his mere endorsement would be toxic. Beside politics is the
last thing Dwain wants to think about.

Anyway I've heard about Meili on this forum and if he is on her team I'm expecting good things for her.

KenS

Topp fundraises on Cons cuts to health funding

 

Quote:

Under the subject line "Stephen Harper was right," which may startle a few New Democrats - Mr. Topp says the Prime Minister admitted "that stable funding for healthcare is simply unaffordable in the current situation."

The former party president adds: "And for once, Stephen Harper was right. Don't stop reading! Let me explain."Mr. Topp says the fact the Harper government plans to tie increases in health funding to economic growth means that "in good years your family might get the care it needs. In bad years, perhaps that would be less true."

But meanwhile, he writes, "Mr. Harper's wealthy friends will get their tax cuts in good times and bad. That's just wrong. I say it's time Harper's wealthy friends start paying their fair share. Our healthcare shouldn't suffer just so the wealthiest among us can benefit."

The veteran NDP strategist, who is one of nine candidates seeking to succeed the late Jack Layton, has put out a bold plan to raise taxes. He is advocating a new 35-per-cent tax rate for Canadians making more than $250,000 a year. Some pundits say he may have trouble selling this as any talk about raising taxes makes Canadians nervous.

I was curious who is getting this email. Is it all sorts of members, or just people who have signed up on Topp's site?

Because it looks to me like its not just a fundraiser.

And it would be nice to see the whole letter posted here.

Bärlüer

KenS wrote:

Quote:

[...]

The veteran NDP strategist, who is one of nine candidates seeking to succeed the late Jack Layton, has put out a bold plan to raise taxes. He is advocating a new 35-per-cent tax rate for Canadians making more than $250,000 a year. Some pundits say he may have trouble selling this as any talk about raising taxes makes Canadians nervous. 

Ah... "some pundits say", that old staple of transparent and rigorous journalism...

writer writer's picture

Some pundits say some pundits are a complete waste of time, especially when you examine closely what some pundits say, in light of what some pundits say.

In summary, time will tell.

Shoon

Malcolm wrote:

Does anyone actually have direct numbers from the Forum poll (as opposed to numbers mediated by either Ivison or HuffPo)?

By Ivison's version says Mulcair 45, Nash 16, Topp 8, Dewar 8 (remaining five 22).

By the HuffPo version its Mulcair 45, Nash 16, Topp 8, Ashton 8, Dewar 4 (remaining four 18 - which suggests at least one or two are ahead of Dewar).

Obviously I prefer the HuffPo version.

Saganash is 7 percent. the rest aren't doing much better then Dewar.

Also 308 went with Huffs numbers, so that's a hint as which is correct.

Unionist

writer wrote:

I'd like those who are defending this nonsense to take a moment and look at the recent contributions of our newest members elsewhere on the board. I will promise not to say I told you so in return. Also a quick feminism 101: there is no reverse sexism.

If you're having trouble with any of this, I encourage you to review the policy you signed up to respect when joining this discussion board.

But thanks for trying to help me out with this. Really appreciated.

A few hours ago, I wrote to all three mods advising them of a series of s*******b***g***s who had signed up consecutively. I was hoping they'd be banned before some well-meaning babblers started either agreeing or disagreeing with them. I'm sure they will be properly sprayed in due course.

 

Shoon

writer wrote:

I'd like those who are defending this nonsense to take a moment and look at the recent contributions of our newest members elsewhere on the board. I will promise not to say I told you so in return. Also a quick feminism 101: there is no reverse sexism.

If you're having trouble with any of this, I encourage you to review the policy you signed up to respect when joining this discussion board.

But thanks for trying to help me out with this. Really appreciated.

Emilio is just looking to get a rise out of people, don't take the bait.

Feminism 101: aside from a desire for female empowerment thier is no universal consenous, lots of different opinions and hypocracy (no reverse sexism) only encourages people to tune you out, and men that have had been treated this way to suffer in silence. Not saying their in equal proportions, but it does occur. Anyways.

Still I'd don't join for a fight over feminist philosphy, I have no wish to continue discussing it. I wish to discuss the leadership race instead. Peace.

Anyway does anyone know of any new unofficial debates such as on rabble all candiatates?

writer writer's picture

Quote:
Emilio is just looking to get a rise out of people, don't take the bait. Feminism 101: aside from a desire for female empowerment thier is no universal consenous, lots of different opinions and hypocracy (no reverse sexism) only encourages people to tune you out, and men that have had been treated this way to suffer in silence. Not saying their in equal proportions, but it does occur.

Thanks for the tip, Shoon. I did not take the bait. I registered an objection, and informed the moderators. As did others. Emilio will be posting no longer.

I have informed the moderators again. Whether there is "universal consenous" or not, there is consensus here on this board, which has evolved for more than 10 years now. You can either respect it – as you indicated you would when signing up – or, like Emilio, not. 

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Shoon wrote:

Dude do seriesly think I was serious, it was a joke, do you really think I'm stupid enough to actually think Dwain after his huge disaster would get invovled in the leadership race period. Right now his mere endorsement would be toxic. Beside politics is the last thing Dwain wants to think about. Anyway I've heard about Meili on this forum and if he is on her team I'm expecting good things for her.

 

Hey man, I've seem cockamamier ideas peddled as reasonable.  Glad to hear you are saner than I might otherwise have concluded.  Wink

 

 

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Shoon wrote:

Saganash is 7 percent. the rest aren't doing much better then Dewar. Also 308 went with Huffs numbers, so that's a hint as which is correct.

 

So:

  • Mulcair 45
  • Nash 16
  • Ashton 8
  • Topp 8
  • Saganash 7
  • Dewar 4
  • Chisholm, Cullen and Singh 12 between the lot

 

Of course, I generally take things Eric Grenier says as probably flawed.  But since it actually came from elsewehere (and I actually like it) I'll go with it.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

Oh, and speaking of French language competence and TLMEP, I note that Ruth-Ellen will be appearing - though not on her own.  Which shows that one can actually make significant progress in a matter of months.

But Paul Dewar is simply not in a position to live in virtual French immersion between now and March 24.

writer writer's picture

<Edited because meh.>

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