+_+
Latest USA polling results
New Gallup Poll: Tea Party Less Popular than Russia, Communist China
The poll found that, surprise!, 70% of Teabaggers are conservatives, which means the 43% of the movement's so-called "independents" are white men voters who pull the lever for the GOP, but don't want to call themselves Republicans after George W. Bush's pooch-screwing and with the cast of clowns currently running the party.
What's interesting, however, is that only 37% of Americans view Teabaggery favorably.
Translation: the Teabaggers are really unpopular.
By comparison, President Obama's favorability number is nearly 20 points higher at 55% - while Russia and China come in at 47% and 42% respectively.
The good news for the Teabaggers is they are still slightly more popular than Saudi Arabia (35%) and the Quitter (36.8%).
Listening to the pundits today it appears to have been a good week for Obama.
Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_S...
Obama starting to run away with 2012 presidential race as he widens his lead to 7% over Romney
Obama starting to run away with 2012 presidential race as he widens his lead to 7% over Romney
We should rememeber the wise words of Comrade Stalin:
"Those who cast the votes decide nothing.
Those who count the votes decide everything."
As experience has shown, they are especially applicable to the United States.
There appears to be quite a turnaround in the polls without Romney now taking a 4% lead over Obama
Angus-Reid / Jul / Aug / Change
Obama / 47% / 45% / Down 2%
Romney / 47% / 49% / Up 2%
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/46291/romney-gains-obama-drops-in-united...
Online polls. Really? How many seniors, who vote disproportionate to their numbers did it reach? Ohhh... its "weighted" so the three seniors it reached are counted as twenty people each.
Blaaah, polls are like poop... depending on what you put into it is what it's going to smell and look like in the end.
Who the fuck changes thier mind on who to vote for based on a poll?
3 of the last 5 polls are showing Romney ahead, and these polls results are primarily before Romney added Ryan to the GOP ticket.
And don't think for one second if the GOP wins it will not have a detrimental effect on working people in Canada.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_S...
Intrade
Obama re-elected Pres in 2012 - 57.0%
Romney elected Pres in 2012 - 41.6%
Ron Paul elected Pres in 2012 - 0.3%
Intrade
Obama re-elected 57%
Romney elected 42.1%
Curious about the US pollsters. Some political websites have removed both Gallup and Rasmussen from their polling stats because they seem to be inconsistent with the rest of the pollsters.
Anyway here is the latest CNN poll
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/08/wow_13.php?ref=fpblg
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/08/24/cnn-poll-obama-49-romney...
Who the fuck changes thier mind on who to vote for based on a poll?
Let's be serious for a moment - nobody changes their own mind in America. Plutocrats pretend to hold free and fair elections every two and four years, and some pathetically low percentage of Americans pretend to vote. Everyone and their dog knows elections in the USSA are rigged in favour of the oligarchy.
"It is now a well-accepted fact that our system for financing presidential and congressional campaigns is fundamentally corrupt and pernicious. The only way to ensure effective and honest representation by lawmakers is through decisive campaign finance reform, with public funding of campaigns."
Ralph Nader on bought and paid-for cosmetic governments in Washington with "Defense" controlling the lion's share of the budget every year religiously as the real economy goes down the poop chute.
The only thing that seems to change with elections is the names on donor thank you lists which exclude the general public.
And they would be donors representing about one percent of the population in America.
If Americans want a voice in the halls of power, they will have to hire a corporate lobbyist at tens of thousands of dollars per half-hour.
270 needed to win
Obama - 258
Romney - 191
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/08/romney-tampa-fail.php?ref=fpb
Canada is not alone in having some issues with political pollsters.
Here are some interesting comments on the US pollsters, particularily about Rasmussen and Gallup
http://www.intrade.com/v4/forum/?forum=/intradeForum/posts/preList/493964/559391.page
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Wondering where that post-convention bounce went to for Romney
A better betting site is IEM. Which has been around longer, is smaller but with more sophisticated participants than intrade. Obama has taken off there the last couple of days.
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Wondering where that post-convention bounce went to for Romney
[/quote]
Rasmussen probably reduced Romney's support prior to the GOP Convention in order to try and show that he has some kind of post-convention bounce in the polls.
Rasmussen probably reduced Romney's support prior to the GOP Convention in order to try and show that he has some kind of post-convention bounce in the polls.
Exactly. And his poll has 4% more Republicans than Democrats. Which has never happened in a presidential year in the history of polling.
[url=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ghKl9K62Fo]Bill Maher: Obama could lose[/url]
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/swing-state/
............RCP POLL AVERAGE / ELECTORAL VOTES
States / Obama / Romney / Obama / Romney
Colo. / 47.6% / 46.6% / 9............/ 0
Fla. / 47.4% / 46.4% / 29.......... / 0
Iowa / 45.0% / 44.8% / 6............/ 0
Mich. / 47.8% / 45.4% / 16.........../ 0
Nev. / 49.0% / 45.7% / 6.............../ 0
N.H. / 48.3% / 44.8% / 4.............../ 0
N.C. / 45.3% / 47.3% / 0.............../ 15
Ohio / 46.6% / 45.2% / 18............./ 0
Va. / 47.3% / 46.7% / 13.............../ 0
Wis. / 48.2% / 46.8% / 10............./ 0
Swing-State Votes ... /111............./ 15
Leaning/Likely State Votes 221....../ 191
Total Overall Votes--------/ 332....../ 206
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Electoral College votes - 270 needed to win
Obama - 256
Romney - 191
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama leads by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Intrade - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down - 1.5% / Obama leads by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama leads by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
[/quote]
Check out the chart on the website.
Polling Data
Poll / Date / Sample / MOE / Obama (D) / Romney (R) / Spread /
RCP Average / 9/4 - 9/10 / -- / -- / 49.0 / 45.4 / Obama +3.6
ABC News/Wash Post / 9/7 - 9/9 / 710 LV / 4.5 / 49 / 48 / Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research / 9/7 - 9/9 / 709 LV / 3.5 / 52 / 46 / Obama +6
IBD/CSM/TIPP9 /4 - 9/9 / 808 RV / 3.5 / 46 / 44 / Obama +2
Rasmussen (Tuesday) / 3-Day Tracking / 1500 LV / 3.0 / 48 / 45 / Obama +3
Gallup (Tuesday) / 7-Day Tracking / 3050 RV / 2.0 / 50 / 44Obama +6
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_electi...
Obama also seems to be out fundraising Romney. Although this probably doesn't include the so-called "Super Pacs".
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/10/barack-obama-beats-mitt-r_n_186...
At least with the gamblers, who many believe are more accurate than the pollsters, Obama seems to be on a roll.
Intrade betting - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama leads by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama leads by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down - 1.5% / Obama leads by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama leads by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Romney is shooting himself in the foot over these embassy incidents. You should see the cat fights between their supporters on TV.
Electoral College Votes - 270 votes required to win
2012
Date / Pundit / Obama / Romney / Difference / Source
Sep 13 / RCP / 237 / 191 / Obama by 46 / http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Sep 13 / POL / 319 / 219 / Obama by 100 / http://www.politico.com/2012-election/swing-state/?hp=t3_3
Sep 12 / TPM / 256 / 191 / Obama by 65 / www.talkingpointsmemo.com
Aug 22 / UOC / 218 / 320 / Romney by 102 / http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/22/university-of-colorado-pr_n_182...
This is of major concern however:
US Senate Races
2012
Date / Pundit / Category / Democrats / Republicans / Change / Toss-Up / Source
Sep 13 / RCP / No toss-up / 48 seats/ 52 seats / Rep + 5
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html
Sep 13 / RCP / With toss-up / 47 seats / 46 seats /------ / 7
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html
Intrade betting - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 12 / 63.6% / Up 1.0% / 36.7% / Down 0.6% / Obama by 26.9%
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down - 1.5% / Obama by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
What do the gamblers know that the pollsters don't!!!
Intrade betting - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Up 1.1% / 35.4% / Down 2.3% / Obama by 29.3%
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down - 1.5% / Obama by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
CBC and CNN today each have Obama over Romney by one percentage point. With Romney's fuax pas this week on foreign policy, Obama might maintain this slim lead - unless he likewise does something dumb.
Putting up your money (intrade) as opposed to putting up your mouth (pollsters) is probably a more reliable barometer
Intrade betting - per cent chance of winning
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Flatlined / 35.3% / Down 0.1% / Obama by 29.4% (increase of 14% in Obama's favour since Aug 20)
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Up 1.1% / 35.4% / Down 2.3% / Obama by 29.3%
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down - 1.5% / Obama by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
Obama +3.5
And Rasmussen polls usually show better results for Republicans than the other pollsters.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_electi...
1027
Obama - 332 votes
Romney - 206 votes
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Sep14.html#item-4
Everything I've read says Rasmussen bumps the numbers for the GOP up until two weeks before the election, when their numbers fall (hee hee) in line with the other polls. They're also the house pollster for Fauxs news so...
Howeird - what 'bout PPP?
Everything I've read says Rasmussen bumps the numbers for the GOP up until two weeks before the election, when their numbers fall (hee hee) in line with the other polls. They're also the house pollster for Fauxs news so...
Rasmussen is quite the jokester:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Intrade odds
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 17 / 66.2% / +0.2% / 33.7% / -0.1% / Obama by 32.5%
1280
Sep 17 / 66.0% / Up 0.3% / 33.8% / Flatlined / Obama by 32.2%
Sep 17 / 65.7% / Up 0.7% / 33.8% / Flatlined / Obama by 31.9%
1216
Sep 16 / 65.0% / Down 0.7% / 33.8% / Down 0.5% / Obama by 31.2%
Sep 16 / 65.7% / Down 0.7% / 34.3% / Up 1.0% / Obama by 31.4%
1173
Sep 15 / 66.4% / Down 0.2% / 33.4% / Down 0.4% / Obama by 33%
Sep 15 / 66.6% / Down 0.2% / 33.8% / Down 0.1% / Obama by 32.8%
Sep 15 / 66.8% / Down 0.4% / 33.9% / Up 1.1% / Obama by 32.9%
Sep 14 / 67.2% / Up 2% / 32.8% / Down 2% / Obama by 34.4%
Sep 14 / 65.2% / Up 0.2% / 34.8% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 30.4%
Sep 14 / 65.0% / Up 0.3% / 35.1% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 29.9%
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Flatlined / 35.3% / Down 0.1% / Obama by 29.4%
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Up 2.1% / 35.4% / Down 1.9% / Obama by 29.3%
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down 1.5% / Obama by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
1040
Polling Data
Poll / Date / Sample / MoE / Obama (D) / Romney (R) / Spread
RCP Average / 9/4 - 9/16 / -- / -- / 48.5 / 45.5 / Obama +3.0
Rasmussen / 9/14 - 9/16 / 1500 / LV3.0 / 45 / 47 Romney +2
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun / 9/13 - 9/16 / 1344 / LV2.7 / 48 / 45 / Obama +3
Gallup Tracking / 9/10 - 9/16 / 3050 / RV2.0 / 48 / 45 / Obama +3
CBS News/NY Times / 9/8 - 9/12 / 1162 / LV3.0 / 49 / 46 Obama +3 /
Democracy Corps (D) / 9/8 - 9/12 / 1000 / LV3.1 / 50 / 45 / Obama +5
FOX News / 9/9 - 9/11 / 1056 / LV3.0 / 48 / 43 / Obama +5
Esquire/Yahoo! News / 9/7 - 9/10 / 724 / LV5.0 / 50 / 46 / Obama +4 /
Reuters/Ipsos / 9/7 - 9/10 / 873 / LV3.4 / 48 / 45 / Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post / 9/7 - 9/9 / 710 / LV4.5 / 49 / 48 / Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research / 9/7 - 9/9 / 709 / LV3.5 / 52 / 46 / Obama +6
IBD/CSM/TIPP / 9/4 - 9/9 / 808 / RV3.5 / 46 / 44 / Obama +2
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Intrade odds
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 15 / 66.4% / Down 0.2% / 33.4% / Down 0.4% / Obama by 33%
Sep 15 / 66.6% / Down 0.2% / 33.8% / Down 0.1% / Obama by 32.8%
Sep 15 / 66.8% / Down 0.4% / 33.9% / Up 1.1% / Obama by 32.9%
Sep 14 / 67.2% / Up 2% / 32.8% / Down 2% / Obama by 34.4%
Sep 14 / 65.2% / Up 0.2% / 34.8% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 30.4%
Sep 14 / 65.0% / Up 0.3% / 35.1% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 29.9%
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Flatlined / 35.3% / Down 0.1% / Obama by 29.4%
Sep 13 / 64.7% / Up 2.1% / 35.4% / Down 1.9% / Obama by 29.3%
Sep 12 / 62.6% / Up 0.6% / 37.3% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 25.3%
Sep 12 / 62.0% / Up 0.8% / 38.0% / Down 0.7% / Obama by 24.0%
Sep 11 / 61.2% / Up 1.3% / 38.7% / Down 1.5% / Obama by 22.5%
Sep 5 / 59.9% / Up 1.4% / 40.2% / Down 1.1% / Obama by 19.7%
Sep 5 / 58.5% / Flatlined / 41.3% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17.2%
Sep 4 / 58.5% / Up 0.3% / 41.5% / Down 0.2% / Obama by 17%
Sep 4 / 58.2% / Up 0.1% / 41.7% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 16.5%
Sep 3 / 58.1% / Up 0.2% / 42.0% / Flatlined / Obama by 16.1%
Sep 3 / 57.9% / Up 0.1% / 42.0% / Down 0.3% / Obama by 15.9%
Sep 2 / 57.8% / Up 0.8% / 42.3% / Up 0.7% / Obama by 15.5%
Aug 20 / 57% / -------------/ 41.6% / -------------/ Obama by 15.4%
1040
Romney may have sank his own battleship this last week...
Not a good day, week, month for Romney!
Intrade odds
Date / Obama / O-Change / Romney / R-Change / Difference
Sep 18 / 67.4% / +1.2% / 32.5% / -1.2% / Obama by 34.9%
1307