NDP denies Andrea Horwath set to resign as leader

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Frozen Snowshoe

I've been lurking here for a while, but haven't felt the need to weigh in until the back and forth about the Ontario NDP really struck a nerve.

I bought my first NDP membership around the time that Paul Henderson scored that goal in Moscow. I'm still a member now. I have served on riding execs in various positions (including president). I have organised edays, coordinated volunteers, managed and been a candidate.

I am disgusted with the current leadership of the Ontario party, so no, it is not just Liberals who want Andrea Horwath to resign.  I do, and so do a lot of other members I know. Some of them have more experience than I do.

I have serious problems with a lot of what happened in the recent campaign. I'm not going to trot out a laundry list; it would make for a very long post. I think a few of the main points are damning enough.

The manner in which this election was precipitated was bizarre and inept. Ridings were being told that an election call was weeks away while the leader was going in front of the mikes and telling the world that she would be forcing one. Her bluff got called and it was clear that she had no cards. With few nominated candidates, none of the staff and infrastructure in place and a rag bag of policy positions unconnected by a coherent strategic vision, the campaign did a very good impression of a clown show for the first two-plus weeks. When platform planks were released, the lack of a strategy became obvious.

This was as close to a perfect opportunity to make gains as we will ever see. With all due respect to Alice Funk, the message that should be taken away from this election is that in 2014 the PCs were led by an extremist dimwit and the Liberals mired in a pile of their own political dung but the ONDP could do no better than the seat count they went in with and a third place finish. The next election, at least four years away, will involve an experienced Liberal leader thoroughly insulated from McGuinty's scandals and a new, presumably less witless PC leader.  If we couldn't make headway in the circumstances that prevailed in this last election, the chances of doing better next time are slim to none.

Those who point to the success of the party in expanding the party's reach in by-elections  as evidence of growth need to look more closely. These have been almost entirely related to local factors; for the most part, the new ridings were won by superb local candidates fighting tactical battles. The party was, as always, able to provide solid tactical support in these individual elections. When the full slate of ridings is in play, strategic considerations trump the ability to bring a dozen or so tacticians to the field. It's pretty damned clear that there is no strategic thinking of any sort going on in the ONDP, unless its a particular kind of strategic positioning to take down opposition within the party.

As for the leadership review, the deck has been stacked against doing anything about it. At the last provincial council meeting a resolution squeeked through that will allow the party to take back a riding's delegate accreditations if they have not filed delegate names 45 days before convention. That means that every riding will have to have their delegates named by the beginning of October. How many ridings will be able to pull that off after Labour Day? You can be sure that those credentials that aren't assigned locally will be given to solid supporters of the leader. You can be sure that's why the change was made. This is just the latest of an ongoing series of measures that have consolidated power in the leader's office and reduced the ability of members to hold the leadership to account. For all her breezy, cheerful public persona, within the party Andrea Horwath has always been contemptuous of members, manipulative of process and tolerant of those who break rules on her behalf. The Scarborough Guildwood nomination process and the abuse of process that led to the election of Neethan Shan as party president are only the most public expressions of that.

I will still be a member in four years, and I will undoubtedly work in one campaign or another in the next election. I just wish there was some reason to believe that the outcome is likely to be better, not worse. There seems to be nothing that can be done about the situation. This is not a leader who is interested in being told she's wrong.  The mechanisms that should ensure that she is held to account are broken.

I kept my counsel through the years of Howard Hampton's ineffectuality. I was willing to give Andrea a chance to grow in the job, in spite of my misgivings about her past behaviour. I'm not prepared to be quiet any more. It is not in the interest of the NDP or progressive politics in Ontario to do so. Those who think that it's time to rally round the leader, yet again, are just plain wrong.

 

Edited to correct riding name

Aristotleded24

Frozen Snowshoe, let's suppose you're 100% correct and Andrea needs to go. What happens if the next leader ends up doing the exact same thing? How do you deal with the internal party processes to ensure that Horwath or any other leader is accountable to the membership?

It is tempting to want to remove a leader who is underperforming, but if you look at the transition of the Saskatchewan NDP from Roy Romanow to Lorne Calvert or the BC NDP from Adrian Dix to John Horgan, changing figureheads at the top without looking at structual issues does not work. How do you fix the structural issues?

Unionist

Aristotleded24 wrote:

Frozen Snowshoe, let's suppose you're 100% correct and Andrea needs to go. What happens if the next leader ends up doing the exact same thing? How do you deal with the internal party processes to ensure that Horwath or any other leader is accountable to the membership?

That's the right question to ask, in my opinion. Trouble is, to make the NDP (or any other major Canadian party) democratic and member-controlled will require a revolution the likes of which Canada hasn't yet seen.

So, in the meantime, when a leader betrays her trust as badly as Horwath has, a stern boot in the buttocks may at least signal the fact that the members have not gone all brain-dead cheerleader types.

Quote:

It is tempting to want to remove a leader who is underperforming, but if you look at the transition of the Saskatchewan NDP from Roy Romanow to Lorne Calvert or the BC NDP from Adrian Dix to John Horgan, changing figureheads at the top without looking at structual issues does not work. How do you fix the structural issues?

Remove all executive power from the "leader". Have a look at Québec solidaire. It doesn't even have a leader. It ain't perfect, but it's an excellent start.

 

terrytowel

There is now a petition on change.org demanding that Andrea step down as NDP leader

NDP Socialist Caucus is leading the charge headed up by Barry Weisleder

So far it has 100 signatures, with a goal of 200 signatures.

Will you sign the petition?

https://www.change.org/en-CA/petitions/ontario-new-democratic-party-andr...

Rokossovsky

Unionist wrote:

Remove all executive power from the "leader". Have a look at Québec solidaire. It doesn't even have a leader. It ain't perfect, but it's an excellent start.

Brilliant. Then how is she supposed to be held accountable for NOT reigning in Cheri Dinovo for going against no party policy whatsoever when she denounced Israeli Apartheid Week?

Frozen Snowshoe

terrytowel wrote:

There is now a petition on change.org demanding that Andrea step down as NDP leader

NDP Socialist Caucus is leading the charge headed up by Barry Weisleder

So far it has 100 signatures, with a goal of 200 signatures.

Will you sign the petition?

https://www.change.org/en-CA/petitions/ontario-new-democratic-party-andr...

Unfortunately, I expect that Barry's association with it will deter a lot of people who might otherwise sign on to something like this. By making it a Socialist Caucus initiative, many people will refuse simply because they don't want to seen as supporting the SC. 

I have already communicated my feelings about the current leadership, in writing, through a member of the executive I know will carry the message forward, even if she/he disagrees with it. I will be attending convention and voting for a leadership review.

Frozen Snowshoe

Aristotleded24 wrote:

Frozen Snowshoe, let's suppose you're 100% correct and Andrea needs to go. What happens if the next leader ends up doing the exact same thing? How do you deal with the internal party processes to ensure that Horwath or any other leader is accountable to the membership?

It is tempting to want to remove a leader who is underperforming, but if you look at the transition of the Saskatchewan NDP from Roy Romanow to Lorne Calvert or the BC NDP from Adrian Dix to John Horgan, changing figureheads at the top without looking at structual issues does not work. How do you fix the structural issues?

These are reasonable questions, but I don't think it's necessary to wait until you buy a new bus to replace a driver who keeps driving you off the road. The ONDP bus, for all its leaking gaskets, rust spots and sagging suspension could still do some good things with people of competence and good faith behind the wheel.

I am not a naive person and I understand the limits of political parties as agents of change. They are tools, not ends in themselves, and their usefulness is a function of their ability to contribute to useful change. I have been a part of various manifestations of what is now called civil society over the years, as well as party politics. None of those many projects was perfect and, for a host of reasons, some of the best intentioned and most earnest about structure and process have turned out to be abject failures at making change.

I spent years in the co-op movement and became sufficiently experienced with the concepts of democratic decision-making that I was asked, occasionally, to do training workshops on consensus-based decision-making processes. Out of that experience I came to understand a few things about the functioning of nominally progressive organizations. Among those lessons was the realization that beyond fairly modest investment in appropriate structures to ensure accountability, transparency and sound administration of the organization's affairs, time spent arguing about structures and process was mostly a waste. People of good faith can build consensus and make good decisions in a transparent, accountable manner in pretty much any structure, and people of bad faith can wreck even the most carefully-designed systems in very little time if they aren't stopped and either brought onside (good luck with that) or made to go away.

Political parties in parliamentary systems are what they are. I don't work within the NDP because I think it is (or even want it to be) perfect. I'm in because I believe that it is, to varying degrees at different points in time, a useful tool for making change and that you use all of those that are available. The biggest problems I see in the ONDP at the moment are that it is led by people of bad faith, and that it has become strategically incapable of mounting a serious campaign. One is a matter of integrity and the other is a matter of competence. Both are potentially fatal if left unchecked.

Yes there are structural issues that need attending to. The party, as led by Andrea Horwath and overseen by people like Giselle Yanez, is currently making those issues worse, on purpose. Step one in making things better is to stop the bad things from happening. These people need to go.

Pogo Pogo's picture

My knowledge of the waffle movement is limited, but from a couple of stories I am left with the impression that the waffle movement was very critical of David Lewis and his co-operation with the minority Liberal government.  Now the left is out for the head of anyone who doesn't bow down to the Liberal gods.

Edited to add: this is in reference to the petition not Frozen Snowshoe's post of which I find much to agree with.

Stockholm

The Waffle was expelled from the NDP in early 1972 before there was any minority liberal government. The NDP support for Trudeau's minority govt came later

terrytowel

Andrea said in yesterday's press conference that she will spend her summer on a 'listening tour'. Travelling Ontario to hear the concerns of Ontarians from east to west, north to south.

Pogo Pogo's picture

Stockholm wrote:
The Waffle was expelled from the NDP in early 1972 before there was any minority liberal government. The NDP support for Trudeau's minority govt came later

Yes they were expelled but they still existed outside the NDP.  I am looking for the article.

Unionist

Pogo wrote:

My knowledge of the waffle movement is limited, but from a couple of stories I am left with the impression that the waffle movement was very critical of David Lewis and his co-operation with the minority Liberal government.

I agree fully with the first 8 words of your post. The rest - never happened.

Quote:
Now the left is out for the head of anyone who doesn't bow down to the Liberal gods.

Yup, you're right. "The left" are a bunch of hypocritical fickle crazies. I'm surprised we even allow them to post here.

 

Pogo Pogo's picture

Admittedly it is not my area of interest.  But a quick check brings out this timeline:

1969 - origins around NDP convention

1972 - Ontario Provincial Council passes motion to disband (within the NDP)

August 1972 - Waffle holds meeting and decides to restructure outside NDP

1974 - Waffle runs candidates (looks like 3) in Federal Election with results that were "statistically unmeasureable"

1975 - Waffle transitions to IS

I am pulling from a document found at the Socialist History Project.  Where I found this reference to the 1972 minority government.

"...these were also years of frustration.  It was a period when the NDP had propped up a minority Liberal government under Pierre Elliott Trudeau, elected in October 1972."

as I indicated above this leaves me with the impression that co-operation with Liberals was not supported by the Waffle movement and while it was no longer an entity within the NDP it still existed.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

kropotkin1951

Wiki actually has a pretty good summary of those years. I got involved with the federal party in 1972 with the Corporate Welfare Bums campaign after David Lewis had beat Laxer. It was the first election I was eligible to vote in and I supported the socialist message of the NDP.  In Ontario Stephen Lewis ran his fiefdom with a heavy hand with the help of the card caring Liberal leaders of the major Ontario trade unions. I left the NDP for a decade because of Lewis' anti-democratic streak and his kowtowing to the union power brokers.

Quote:

The next year Ontario NDP leader Stephen Lewis, David's son, accused the Waffle of being "an encumbrance around my neck".[10] On June 24, 1972, at the party's Provincial Council held in Orillia, Lewis was able to successfully shepherd a resolution ordering the Waffle to either disband or leave the NDP.[10] Debate on the motion lasted for three hours, with labour leaders leading the charge to expel the Waffle.[10] Finally, the council approved the motion to disband the Waffle with a 217 to 86 vote, thereby ending months of public feuding.[10]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Waffle

 

Stephen IMO is a sycophant who sold out the left wing of Ontario and achieved no electoral success. The current Ont NDP is merely carrying on the same forty year old tradition of losing elections by moving to the center. Stephen's run to the middle is a good indication of what awaits the federal NDP with its liberal leader.

Quote:

A radical left wing group nicknamed The Waffle had gained prominence, with one of its leaders, James Laxer winning one-third of the vote when he ran to be leader of the federal NDP in 1971. Lewis felt that The Waffle was threatening the credibility and stability of the party and supported a movement against the group in June 1972 on the basis that it was a party within a party.[10]

Lewis led a strong campaign during the 1975 election with his oratory and passion bringing new supporters to the party. The NDP highlighted issues such as rent control and workplace safety. Each day, Lewis told the story of a different Ontarian in trouble, making a case that this was because of the lack of adequate legislation. Polls showed the NDP surging and the incumbent Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in freefall and in the course of the campaign Premier William Davis was forced to commit his party to bringing in rent control and other progressive reforms in order to retain power. When the ballots were counted the Tories were reduced to a minority government. Lewis' NDP had doubled its seats from 19 to 38, surpassing the Ontario Liberal Party to become the Official Opposition. To some it appeared that it was only a matter of time before the NDP would form the government.

The next election, in 1977, proved to be a disappointment. The growth of support for the NDP stalled, and while the Tories were kept to a minority, the NDP failed to make any gains. The party was reduced to 33 seats and lost its status as Official Opposition to the Liberals. In 1978, a frustrated Lewis stepped down as party leader and as a Member of Provincial Parliament.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Lewis

 

Pogo Pogo's picture

Thanks K,  but I did look at this.

I was looking for information on how the left end of the spectrum viewed co-operation with Liberals in the 1970's.  The Wiki stuff on the Lewis family didn't seem to cover that.  It just seems that the willingness to become short term strategic is a modern phenomena.

kropotkin1951

You have to remember that most leftists in the early '70's still thought the Liberals were the flip side of the Conservatives.  Like many people I was attracted to their socialist words and the principled stand many NDP MP's took against the War Measures Act.  The problem with the party today is its elected memebers are not allowed to take principled stands, only leader approved stands.

Personally I have always thought that the NDP should run candidates in all ridings and be open to any arrangement after an election that leads to progressive laws being enacted. If you don't even have a paper candidate on the ballot you can't't even get a germ of a message out.

Rokossovsky

Unionist wrote:

I guess no one has yet noticed that the ONDP's promised 2.5% corporate tax hike plummeted to 1.0% on May 22, without justification or explanation.

But thanks, fiddling, for one of the few acknowledgments we've seen yet that Horwath's dropping the Ontario Retirement Plan the instant Wynne bought into it was disgraceful.

Enhancing the Canada Pension Plan would help resolve this crisis nationally. It remains your government's preferred solution. But absent a federal partner, your government will not sit idly by while more Ontarians move towards retirement without the savings they will need to live comfortably.

Andrea Horwath, is that you?

No way. Kathleen Wynne "Makes Sense".

Sean in Ottawa

I was not promoting leadership change in part because I agree with the fear that a leadership change could put us back where we are. A leadership change that happens after an acknowledgement of what went wrong has a better chance of putting us in a better position.

I do agree that the NDP speaks of greater democracy but leans on a top-down hierarchy to its detriment. That's not my only focus.

I don't think the issue is all about being too right or not being left enough. I don't associate being left or right as necessarily being more or less activist or promoting policies that make a greater difference. The nature of the policies defines what is right or left not their impact.

In many respects the NDP displays less of a movement left or right than it displays risk-adverse, timid policies with an unwillingness to do anything controversial. It is that tendency that makes them look and become more right than any desire to actually move the party anywhere. The NDP has put forward policies that while left were not far reaching and so timid as to be in-effectual, unimaginative and less worthy of attention or support. As well this risk-adverse tendency has led some policies to be an actual shift to the right. In other words the apparent shift to the right is not the product of any conscious ideology change but an unwillingness to engage voters with matters of substance, to lead, or to express a vision lest someone not like it. Before you argue about the hidden gems in the platform closet I am talking about what the party campaigns on and talks about not the election planks the leader is too timid to proclaim.

The problem is when you take out everything someone may not like you have also taken out anything that attracts. What is left is a bunch of interesting second-tier policies that may not be bad in themselves but overall lack a vision, direction, courage and purpose. If you also bungle the campaign in terms of communication, replace expressing any direction with negative campaigning and generic meaningless platitudes, you get the campaign we just witnessed.

The party has to stop aiming for its vision of an average person that in fact does not exist with policies so average as to be unremarkable. Instead staking out policies and defending them is a way to go. You don’t have to be so far left that you “lose the centre” but they have to be remarkable, imaginative, workable, and most important life-changing for people. Many people will dislike some policies but appreciate the direction of the whole which is better than having no negative feelings but thinking the whole is listless. How can you blame people for saying they are all the same and my vote does not make a difference when a party presents a savings of 8% tax on heating bills that have doubled as any kind of a solution?

The NDP has to stop selling its policies on selfish lines. Don't imagine as the Conservatives do that all voters are motivated just by what they get for themselves. The NDP's potential voters are motivated by more than that. Most of the policies I argue are the most important would have little impact on me financially right now but reflect the kind of government I want and address the greatest problems in the province, many of which I am fortunate enough not to suffer from. I am aware that I may face these problems in the future and I have nothing good to look forward to when I am older. Don't pander to me with policies of pennies. I am not alone.

The party leader should keep the conversation in proportion. This is missing entirely. Liberal corruption is a problem but it is not affecting people’s lives to the degree that Liberal neglect of other issues' priorities is. But Liberal corruption is a safe conversation and the needed changes are not - so we chatter on about Liberal corruption until people can’t tell if we are Conservative or NDP but they are pretty sure that we don’t mean much. And when a message is heard you move on to the next one. People believed the Liberals were corrupt but since the NDP did not move much beyond that they took the NDP's words in a cynical way. People had moved past much of the specific corruption issues like McGuinty and gas plants.

The savings of a couple hundred dollars by taking the 8% provincial part of the HST off hydro and heat is safe, certainly, but it is almost meaningless when people have seen energy bills almost double. A meaningful comprehensive discussion on affordable housing, living wages, income support for people without an income are considered too risky so the NDP puts up policies that acknowledge some of what is wrong but do so little about it that people become more discouraged than inspired. The result is I was left with the impression that Horwath thinks things are basically okay in Ontario except for a bit of tinkering as that is all she proposed to do.

If you turn to Québec perhaps you might want to look not to QS for advice but to the most successful parties in the province. Consider this: parties that wanted separation often did best not when they were being untrue but when they acknowledged what their objectives were while limiting what of those they would deliver in the immediate. Separatist parties got elected even when their separatist nature was unpopular but could be respected. The NDP should not be afraid to say it is a left of centre party or to rush to be a centre party. It can say- this is the direction we would like – this is who we are. We know we don’t have a consensus to go the full distance that we want but we will talk about it. In the meantime here is a program that really will make a difference in some key areas that we think you will like and support and we will get that done. This appeals to the centre without pretending to be centre. It creates an opportunity to lead and educate and move people. Pretending you are centre when you are left will do nothing to move people to your visions it will only sell out that vision and move you away from it as well. If a party of the left claims to side with the people who are struggling but propose only minor extremely limited policies to help them, voters will stay home.

In the last election the most progressive policy proposed was the pension plan that does have a chance to affect people by far more than 8% on energy. That policy was championed by the Liberals and not the party that used to be the only one that would argue for it. The unions who have been arguing with massive campaigns for retirement security were aghast to see the NDP oppose the policy. Why was there surprise that that unions did not come out for the NDP? The Liberals said we will do something to help retirement security and the NDP said we will help you with a few bucks on energy taxes and the Liberals are corrupt. How would you predict that would play out?

The NDP did have other good policies but they barely talked about them and the Liberals had other faults than corruption but they were too controversial for the NDP to engage so a few bucks on energy and corruption vs pension plan. Pension plan won.

Lesson for the NDP: show some guts, present, stand by and promote the bigger policies and you might even win. Look like a rabbit and run from anything big and people will forget you were ever there.

 

 

Sean in Ottawa

As I reread my post above I see I am talking myself into opposition to Horwath. If you agree with my argument that the apparent drift to the right is through timidity and incompetence rather than design then you have to agree that this is a factor of leadership (or lack thereof).

I don't agree that the party has moved that much to the right and this view is supported by some of the better less promoted positions. Rather it looks like leadership has lost the courage to promote and defend what the party is. The mistake is not in the party positions but what the leader will promote and the specific policies that are presented in the campaign. This must be the responsibility of Horwath, the architects of the last campaign, the drafters of the specific platform and those who chose what of that platform ought to be promoted.

If you happen to disagree and think that the drift is real and by design then that too is a function of leadership.

That she is oblivious to the idea that any of this could be her responsibility only makes it worse.

I don't see how we get away from Horwath being not only part of the problem but at the centre of it. Thank her for the things she did well and move on.

onlinediscountanvils

[url=http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/top-aides-to-leave-ontario-... aides to leave Ontario NDP ranks over the summer[/url]

Rokossovsky

Frozen Snowshoe wrote:

The internal workings of the ONDP in 2014 bear no relationship to the leadership of the federal party under Jack Layton. However imperfect the federal party might have been, Layton invested very large amounts of money and effort in building up riding organizations and broadening their input into the affairs of the party. He had plenty of internal resistance to doing it and ultimately failed to reverse the longterm trend toward diminished membership control, but there was nothing even vaguely resembling the cynicism and pettiness of Horwath's crew. Comparing Olivia to Giselle is miles off the mark. Olivia can be bloody-minded, but she is not a nasty piece of work or deliberately divisive.

Andrea Horwath’s office is in the midst of a shakeup following the New Democrats’ poor election result in June, with her two top aides scheduled to leave over the summer. Long-serving chief of staff Gissel Yanez and principal adviser Elliott Anderson are both heading out the door as the party regroups, sources told The Globe and Mail.

And:

Quote:

Mr. Schein contends that, despite his loss, Ms. Horwath has done a good job broadening the party’s support in non-traditional NDP constituencies. The party gained seats in Sudbury, Oshawa and Windsor, and largely supplanted the Liberals as the dominant centre-left force in the province’s southwest.

“We have to make sure we’re speaking to a broad audience,” he said.

Bringing the grand total of defeated ONDP incumbents who are taking out their loss on Horwath overtly to a big fat zero.

onlinediscountanvils

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
How can you blame people for saying they are all the same and my vote does not make a difference when a party presents a savings of 8% tax on heating bills that have doubled as any kind of a solution?

The NDP has to stop selling its policies on selfish lines. Don't imagine as the Conservatives do that all voters are motivated just by what they get for themselves. The NDP's potential voters are motivated by more than that. Most of the policies I argue are the most important would have little impact on me financially right now but reflect the kind of government I want and address the greatest problems in the province, many of which I am fortunate enough not to suffer from. I am aware that I may face these problems in the future and I have nothing good to look forward to when I am older. Don't pander to me with policies of pennies. I am not alone.

The party leader should keep the conversation in proportion. This is missing entirely. Liberal corruption is a problem but it is not affecting people’s lives to the degree that Liberal neglect of other issues' priorities is. But Liberal corruption is a safe conversation and the needed changes are not - so we chatter on about Liberal corruption until people can’t tell if we are Conservative or NDP but they are pretty sure that we don’t mean much. And when a message is heard you move on to the next one. People believed the Liberals were corrupt but since the NDP did not move much beyond that they took the NDP's words in a cynical way. People had moved past much of the specific corruption issues like McGuinty and gas plants.

The savings of a couple hundred dollars by taking the 8% provincial part of the HST off hydro and heat is safe, certainly, but it is almost meaningless when people have seen energy bills almost double. A meaningful comprehensive discussion on affordable housing, living wages, income support for people without an income are considered too risky so the NDP puts up policies that acknowledge some of what is wrong but do so little about it that people become more discouraged than inspired. The result is I was left with the impression that Horwath thinks things are basically okay in Ontario except for a bit of tinkering as that is all she proposed to do.

Like.

Aristotleded24

What I find really strange is that many provincial NDP sections are trying to become sort of a default "safe" option. That works in BC, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba where the NDP is one of the 2 big parties that regularly contends for power, but in the other provinces? The market for default "safe" is already cornered. Minor parties don't advance by being safe, they do so by being bold.

Skinny Dipper

Rokossovsky wrote:

Quote:

Mr. Schein contends that, despite his loss, Ms. Horwath has done a good job broadening the party’s support in non-traditional NDP constituencies. The party gained seats in Sudbury, Oshawa and Windsor, and largely supplanted the Liberals as the dominant centre-left force in the province’s southwest.

“We have to make sure we’re speaking to a broad audience,” he said.

Bringing the grand total of defeated ONDP incumbents who are taking out their loss on Horwath overtly to a big fat zero.

Current and former MPPs will take the high road when discussing leadership issues.  I would not expect Mr. Schein or other defeated MPPs to say anything negative about Andrea Horwath.  It remains to be seen if the rank-and-file members remain silent on Ms. Horwath's leadership.

terrytowel

The pressure on Horwath to resign is mounting

One third of Ontarians think NDP Leader Andrea Horwath should resign in the wake of her recent provincial election defeat, a new poll has found.

Forum found 35 per cent believe Horwath, who triggered the election by announcing her party would no longer prop up the minority Grits, should step down as leader, while 43 per cent felt she should stay on and 21 per cent had no opinion.

The NDP chief faces a mandatory review in November and is under a lot of pressure to meet the traditional threshold of two-thirds’ support to avoid a challenge to her leadership.

In terms of personal approval, Horwath has dropped to 28 per cent compared to 41 per cent for Wynne. Last August, Forum found the NDP leader at 50 per cent and the Liberal premier at 36 per cent.

http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/07/04/onethird_of_ontarians_...

Stockholm

The Star's torquing of that poll is quite amusing. maybe Horwath should stay and maybe she should go - but what the general public thinks two weeks after she lost an election is pretty irrelevant - though it is notable that in the same poll NDP supporters (and Horwath's fate will be decided by delegates at an NDP convention) want her to stay 78% to 16%.

About the only thing that makes me want Andrea Horwath to STAY is the fact that the Star has such a vicious personal vendetta against her. Its not enough that they won an election for their beloved Kathleen Wynne - they won't be hapy until they have Andrea Horwath's head impaled on a stick and Martin Regg Cohn and Robert Benzie can dance the watusi waving it around!

Rokossovsky

Skinny Dipper wrote:

Rokossovsky wrote:

Quote:

Mr. Schein contends that, despite his loss, Ms. Horwath has done a good job broadening the party’s support in non-traditional NDP constituencies. The party gained seats in Sudbury, Oshawa and Windsor, and largely supplanted the Liberals as the dominant centre-left force in the province’s southwest.

“We have to make sure we’re speaking to a broad audience,” he said.

Bringing the grand total of defeated ONDP incumbents who are taking out their loss on Horwath overtly to a big fat zero.

Current and former MPPs will take the high road when discussing leadership issues.  I would not expect Mr. Schein or other defeated MPPs to say anything negative about Andrea Horwath.  It remains to be seen if the rank-and-file members remain silent on Ms. Horwath's leadership.

I had thought that Mr. Schein's failure to say anything indicated that he was taking the high road and abstaining from the debate. What he did here was endorse the general direction of the party, by saying that "we have to make sure we're speaking to a broad audience" and expressing approval of the gains that were made.

There was no need for him to say anything at all.

Rokossovsky

Stockholm wrote:

The Star's torquing of that poll is quite amusing. maybe Horwath should stay and maybe she should go - but what the general public thinks two weeks after she lost an election is pretty irrelevant - though it is notable that in the same poll NDP supporters (and Horwath's fate will be decided by delegates at an NDP convention) want her to stay 78% to 16%.

About the only thing that makes me want Andrea Horwath to STAY is the fact that the Star has such a vicious personal vendetta against her. Its not enough that they won an election for their beloved Kathleen Wynne - they won't be hapy until they have Andrea Horwath's head impaled on a stick and Martin Regg Cohn and Robert Benzie can dance the watusi waving it around!

I know. I became much more supportive of Horwath in the light of the smear campaign conducted against her by the local media. I have never seen anything like it in my life, except in the 2010 mayor race. The Star can be reasonable generally, up until the point that someone threatens the hegemony of the Liberal Party, and then they reduce themselves to Sue Ann Levy journalism.

The fact that the Liberal establishment put so much effort into trouncing Horwath's reputation, said much more about their fear of Horwath than it did about Horwath.

Sean in Ottawa

I agree a public opinion poll is not the reason for a leader to come or go in this context.

A poll of members would be more relevant. A review at convention more appropriate unless the leader decides for her self.

 

Our question of whether she should stay or go has everything to do with her leadership of the party and what direction she will take it, what lessons are being learned. These are the questions I want discussed not a popularity contest among a group of mostly opponents.

terrytowel

Rokossovsky wrote:

I know. I became much more supportive of Horwath in the light of the smear campaign conducted against her by the local media. I have never seen anything like it in my life, except in the 2010 mayor race. 

What happened in the 2010 mayor race?

Rokossovsky

The Star ruthlessly attacked Ford in order to support Smitherman, even though Smitherman ran on essentially the same platform, and swamped any discussion of policy issues in a personalized "anybody but" campaign, poliarizing discussion and reducing the discussion of policy to pure personalities.

Probably wise since any discussion of policy would have resulted in people coming to the conclusion that their wasn't much light between them.

The end result was a council that basically passed Smitherman's "Ford-lite" agenda after knocking off the rough edges of the Ford platform, so the "left" could claim a few "victories", along the way.

 

terrytowel

Rokossovsky wrote:

The Star ruthlessly attacked Ford in order to support Smitherman, even though Smitherman ran on essentially the same platform, and swamped any discussion of policy issues in a personalized "anybody but" campaign, poliarizing discussion and reducing the discussion of policy to pure personalities, probably because there wasn't really any difference between the two.

And you can't see why they would attack him after these past four years?

Even going back to 2010, Ford has a long list of homopobic and racist remarks attributed to him.

So you don't think The Toronto Star should be holding Ford to account for those remarks?

 

Rokossovsky

I have seen the last four years. The Smitherman privatization and cuts agenda went forward under Ford.

Even the Kennedy to Scarborough subway extension is ripped right from the Smitherman platform.

terrytowel

Rokossovsky wrote:

I have seen the last four years. They Smitherman privatization and cuts agenda went forward under Ford.

Let's say they both had the same platform. One is a bigot, one isn't.

You can't argue that.

Rokossovsky

I don't have a problem of outing Ford for his obvious bigotry. I do have a problem with focussing on his personality problems at the expense of all discussion of policy.

It had to be that way, because there wasn't any distinction to be made between Smitherman and Ford, except in the manner that the shit sandwich would be delivered.

That is what they did to Ford in 2010, and that is what they did to Horwath in 2014, because they challenged Liberal Party hegemony. It is getting quite sickening.

And Horwath isn't a drunken obnoxious bigot, is she? And she still got the same treatment. In fact, Rob Ford probably got more positive press in the Toronto Star than Horwath did.

terrytowel

Rokossovsky wrote:

I don't have a problem of outing Ford for his obvious bigotry. I do have a problem with focussing on his personality problems at the expense of all discussion of policy. 

I agree, The Toronto Star spent more time bashing Ford for his bigotry, and less time on his policy. Which went over people's heads.

Notice Olivia is avoiding that trap. While conceding to Ford's personal problems, she is trying to keep the message on policy.

According to Focus groups inside the Chow camp, Ford's drug use won't sway his soft supporters. Only a difference in policy will.

Remember when Olivia said the other day "The issue is not his problems, the issue is that he is a failed mayor"

And her attack ads attack the Ford record, not his problems.

Rokossovsky

It only goes over people's heads because they don't bother discussing it.

Stockholm

Getting back to The star, people forget how viciously negative they were towards David Miller. For some reason The star HATED him and they went on such a crazy anti-Miller vendetta and whipped up so much anti government sentiment that it paved the way for Ford to become mayor.

Jacob Two-Two

Well don't stay away, Frozen Snowshoe. I found your posts very intelligent and interesting. Come back and babble some more.

Rokossovsky

Frozen Snowshoe wrote:

Rokossovsky wrote:

Quote:
Mr. Schein contends that, despite his loss, Ms. Horwath has done a good job broadening the party’s support in non-traditional NDP constituencies. The party gained seats in Sudbury, Oshawa and Windsor, and largely supplanted the Liberals as the dominant centre-left force in the province’s southwest.

“We have to make sure we’re speaking to a broad audience,” he said.

Bringing the grand total of defeated ONDP incumbents who are taking out their loss on Horwath overtly to a big fat zero.

Jonah is a nice guy who lost his seat unnecessarily because the party is run by incompetents. I guess he is to be commended for sucking it up, putting his team first and behaving in an unselfish manner that his leader will never exhibit. I feel badly for the guy. If you manage to get a recorder into a private meeting with Michael Prue, I'd be really interest in hearing if he's as collegial as that.

I don't agree with that analysis of these two seats. There was no mass defection of the NDP in Davenport. Jonah got 200 less votes than he did in that last election, which would not have been enough to win in 2011.

Prue on the other hand likely lost his seat because of the way the election unfolded. Sorry. I don't agree that the NDP has to be some sort of superforce that can predict all outcomes, defeat all contestants, and win.

The Toronto media was viciously anti-NDP and would have been regardless of what Horwath said, or did.

That doesn't mean that there were not numerous organizational problems, and systemic problems as well. But, I just don't buy the view that Rosario and Schein lost their seats because of the ONDP "line". Many of these problems of organization simply were not in view in terms of these incumbent seats.

The idea seems to be that the Liberals were going to not fight for these ridings.

Rokossovsky

Stockholm wrote:
Getting back to The star, people forget how viciously negative they were towards David Miller. For some reason The star HATED him and they went on such a crazy anti-Miller vendetta and whipped up so much anti government sentiment that it paved the way for Ford to become mayor.

 

Yeah. I forgot about that. They helped stoke the media circus that resulted in a Rob Ford walk-through on the anti-Miller terrain the Star was largely responsible for. They thought they were going to bring Smitherman in, and rolled out the red carpet for Ford instead.

terrytowel

I did tell debater that their is a bias against the NDP by all four newspapers.

But he said that was hogwash.

Stockholm

"The Toronto media was viciously anti-NDP and would have been regardless of what Horwath said, or did. "

Maybe, maybe not. While it's true that the star would have tried to find a way to attack the NDP no matter what, the NDP didn't have to run such an abysmal campaign and so totally mishandle how they brought down the government that they essentially said "hey Toronto Star...here is a shot gun, now we will get on our knees in front of you while you blow our brains out"

Just because the media is biased against the NDP doesn't mean the NDP should make their job even easier by giving them all the ammunition they need.

Geoff

If we're going to debate whether or not the NDP needs a change in leadership, the obvious follow-up question is about who should replace her.  Is there anyone in the new caucus that dissatisfied New Democrats see as the obvious choice to take over the reigns of the party?  Who would you trust to make the changes that many have expressed in this thread? 

Unionist

Geoff wrote:

Is there anyone in the new caucus that dissatisfied New Democrats see as the obvious choice to take over the reigns of the party? 

Why does the new leader have to be someone from the caucus? Some of the best people have just been defeated.

kropotkin1951

Listening to people in Toronto complain that the mdia is biased against the NDP is fucking hilarious. Well DOH!!

It reminds me of people who move to the Wet Coast and after a year or so here constantly complain about the rain. I just tell them that there is a reason that their surroundings are called a rain forest.  All the MSM in Canada including the CBC exist in an corporatist world where any attack on the vested rights of the 0.1% is treated as being either akin to treason or naive.

Get over it, the media is capitalist and biased and will always be so no matter how many times the NDP goes to the Business Counsel or the Chamber and tells them they have nothing to fear because they have become a party of the centre.

adma

Unionist wrote:

Why does the new leader have to be someone from the caucus? Some of the best people have just been defeated.

Or, for that matter, they're Federal.  (Though remember that the last time they chose someone from the Fed caucus, they got Bob Rae.  Still...he *won*.)

Geoff

Unionist wrote:

Geoff wrote:

Is there anyone in the new caucus that dissatisfied New Democrats see as the obvious choice to take over the reigns of the party? 

Why does the new leader have to be someone from the caucus? Some of the best people have just been defeated.

In that case, let me rephrase my question.  For those who think we should replace the leader, who would you suggest, whether s/he is from caucus, from the federal party, or from anywhere else in the province?  If we are dissatisfied with Andrea, who's the alternative? 

terrytowel

Paul Dewer and Andrew Cash names have been bandied about.

Stockholm

When it comes to potential new ONDP leaders, the names i hear most frequently bandied about include:

Catherine Fife

Taras Natyshak

Jagmeet Singh

...nothing wrong with a federal MP in theory but i can't think of any who would fit the bill

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