NDP denies Andrea Horwath set to resign as leader

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Geoff

Since much of the discussion during and since the election, has been about the dangers of moving even further to the centre than we already have, would Andrew Cash, of the names mentioned, be the most likely to steer us in a more "progressive" direction?

Rokossovsky

kropotkin1951 wrote:

Listening to people in Toronto complain that the mdia is biased against the NDP is fucking hilarious. Well DOH!!

It reminds me of people who move to the Wet Coast and after a year or so here constantly complain about the rain. I just tell them that there is a reason that their surroundings are called a rain forest.  All the MSM in Canada including the CBC exist in an corporatist world where any attack on the vested rights of the 0.1% is treated as being either akin to treason or naive.

Get over it, the media is capitalist and biased and will always be so no matter how many times the NDP goes to the Business Counsel or the Chamber and tells them they have nothing to fear because they have become a party of the centre.

The point Kropotkin, is precisely this. In fact those who are attacking Horwath because they allegedly used the wrong "pitch", right, left, or center, are simply ignoring the fact that regardless of the pitch, the establishment media are going to attack it. In this case in a particularly ruthless manner.

If the NDP is too "left" it is irrelevant because it is too radical, and one should vote Liberal, and if it is too "centerist" it is irrelevant because it is too simillar to the Liberals, and therefore you might just as well vote Liberal.

Either way, one should vote Liberal.  Cry

Once we clear away this bit of confusion, we have to look at other factors involved. For example, I pointed out that Layton and Chow, unlike Horwath, are to a certain extent insulated from the media attack because of their status as local heros, well established in the backrooms where "opinion leaders" make their decisions. It was a lot easier to "frame" Horwath as right wing, or "too centerist", simply because she does not have the same kind of established base in the Toronto progressive scene.

Sadly, I find it hard to escape the conclusion that the attack upon Horwath in favour of Wynne, with her Toronto "grass roots" activist credentials, and her long history as a member of the Toronto "progressive" establishment, just like Layton and Chow, had as much to do with "cosmopolitan" prejudice against an outsider, as it did with anything political.

Moreover, Horwath herself apparently makes the mistake of thinking that if she uses the right "pitch" that the media are suddenly going to co-operate and come on side, and clearly articulate her position. This was naive.

In short, it is important to recognize the media bias as an essential element of the political terrain that the NDP has to confront, which neither group is willing to deal with. Campaigns structured around traditional media marketing strategies are not going to get a fair shake in the media, and any messaging is going to be distorted, so bithcing about what "messaging" Horwath used, is too fall into the same trap that Horwath fell into, just with a different flavour of failure.

Traditionally, the NDP has been able to mitigate much of the media bias against it by mobilizing a healthy grass roots campaign, supported by volunteers carrying a message through word of mouth to the public.

And it is not recognizing this, and riding rough shod over the local organizations and activists that the Horwath people made their biggest errors, not in her pitch, because they demobilized their volunteer base. There isn't any point in changing the guard at the level of the leadership, unless you bring in a leadership that is committed to making systemic changes that reinforce grass roots ownership of the party, and inspire loyalty to a party, over the centralized model that the Liberals and Conservatives use, precisely because they can depend on a relatively compliant media to play ball with their high flown "sales pitch".

The chief object of any leadership review, should be based in which leader is going to carry forth a program of democractuc renewal in the party, and build local riding associations and support measures that instutionalize their democratic integrity within the party structure.

robbie_dee

terrytowel wrote:

Paul Dewer and Andrew Cash names have been bandied about.


Neither of those has an obvious provincial seat available, which is not necessarily fatal but four years is a long time to tour the province and try to "build the party from outside the legislature." Charlie Angus or Brian Masse might have better luck convincing an MPP to step aside for them, indeed with the potential to offer up a shot at their federal seat in return.

Among the provincials I'm intrigued by Catherine Fife and Jagmeet Singh. Don't know much about Taras Natyshak. Also interested in Jennifer French but she's too new I think. It's a real shame Jonah Schein lost because he could have also been good.

It's important to note though that notwithstanding any rampant speculation here it's unlikely any one of these names mentioned would actually step up and declare they are running for a job that is not yet vacant. Given Andrea's intransigence the next step is going to have to be to "persuade" her otherwise by organizing for the leadership review this fall (where, the members willing, we can show her the door she's been unwilling to walk through on her own) and maybe other back approaches e.g. cancelling monthly membership donations, internal lobbying.

Frozen Snowshoe

Rokossovsky wrote:

Globe and Mail wrote:
Andrea Horwath’s office is in the midst of a shakeup following the New Democrats’ poor election result in June, with her two top aides scheduled to leave over the summer. Long-serving chief of staff Gissel Yanez and principal adviser Elliott Anderson are both heading out the door as the party regroups, sources told The Globe and Mail.

You need the context to make sense of that. Here's some of the rest of the relevant material on Giselle from the Globe piece: "Two party insiders said the NDP months ago gamed out transition plans for every possible election result. One source said Ms. Yanez and Mr. Elliott might still play active roles in the party after leaving Queen’s Park."

This is all smoke and mirrors. If Giselle is on her way out the front door, you can be sure she'll be coming in the back about thirty seconds later, wearing a spiffy new hat. Gaming is a pretty good term for how those folks view politics in its entirety.

Mr. Schein contends that, despite his loss, Ms. Horwath has done a good job broadening the party’s support in non-traditional NDP constituencies. The party gained seats in Sudbury, Oshawa and Windsor, and largely supplanted the Liberals as the dominant centre-left force in the province’s southwest.

“We have to make sure we’re speaking to a broad audience,” he said.

Rokossovsky wrote:
Bringing the grand total of defeated ONDP incumbents who are taking out their loss on Horwath overtly to a big fat zero.

Jonah is a nice guy who lost his seat unnecessarily because the party is run by incompetents. I guess he is to be commended for sucking it up, putting his team first and behaving in an unselfish manner that his leader will never exhibit. I feel badly for the guy. If you manage to get a recorder into a private meeting with Michael Prue, I'd be really interested in hearing if he's as collegial as that.

As for the Forum poll, I seem to remember there being a pretty broad consensus around here that Forum's IVR polling is pretty questionable. Not sure why anybody is paying any attention to this one. Regardless of issues with the method and the pollster, this kind of mushy question in a post-election environment is going to tell you pretty much exactly nothing useful.

Anyway, I only signed on here because I was annoyed with the cheerleading that claimed to represent the opinions of NDP members and the allegations from some quarters that only Liberals want  Horwath to quit. I'm about the furthest thing from a Liberal you're going to get in the NDP, and I very much want her gone. If, when all is said and done, the members of the party are content with leadership that can't even manage to look good enough to elect next to Dalton McGuinty's legacy and the Curly Joe Conservatism of Tim Hudak, I guess we've got the leadership we deserve. By any meaningful measure, this campaign was an embarrassing failure. A leader with a bit of integrity and some capacity for reflection would already be gone. Any Liberal with a scrap of sense would be posting here to argue for her continued leadership of the NDP, not calling for her ouster.

I've said what I had to say. I don't see this discussion in this forum as likely to resolve much. Probably time to go back to dropping in occasionally and catching up on what's being said by the regulars.

Cheers.

Edited for spelling and to correct the 3 Stooges reference (hey, it was late).

adma

robbie_dee wrote:
Charlie Angus or Brian Masse might have better luck convincing an MPP to step aside for them, indeed with the potential to offer up a shot at their federal seat in return.

Or in Angus's case: after a quarter of a century in office, might Gilles Bisson be considering retirement?

terrytowel

The media keep asking Andrea if she is going to be running for Hamilton Mayor

“At this point, I'm committed to the work I'm doing,” Horwath told reporters after Thursday's throne speech. “But one of the things I learned early on is you never say never.

“At this point in time though, I'm certainly committed to the work that I've offered the people of Ontario to do and that is the job they gave me in the last election.”

When asked whether she will resign as the leader of the New Democratic Party, she said the issue will be brought up at an automatic leadership review in November.

“The members of our party will be debating and discussing that issue, as well as many many others.”

A party official clarified with CBC Hamilton on Sunday that Horwath has no plan to step down as party leader before Hamilton's municipal election. 

"She is focused on the job in front of her, leading Ontario's New Democratics," the official said.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/hamilton/news/mayoral-question-keeps-comin...

onlinediscountanvils

onlinediscountanvils wrote:

[url=http://torontoist.com/2014/07/cheri-dinovo-ontario-ndp-must-acknowledge-... DiNovo: Ontario NDP Must Acknowledge Election “Debacle”[/url]

“It was a debacle from the beginning, from day one,” DiNovo told us at a cafe within the riding. “When I would hear at the door, ‘We love you, but…’ I knew we were in trouble.”

[...]

“I pretty much ran against my party in terms of platform,” said DiNovo. “Many of our supporters—who voted Liberal—saw more progress in the Liberal budget than they saw in our platform. That was a core mistake.” She attributes her victory to running a municipal-style campaign that highlighted her constituency work, rather than that platform.

[...]

DiNovo said that while the party did consult the grassroots membership before the campaign, the party’s platform ultimately did not reflect those consultations. Nigel Bariffe, who campaigned unsuccessfully for the NDP in Etobicoke North, disagrees, and said riding associations and candidates were shut out of the process. “The type of platform that came forward wasn’t one that went through a democratic process,” Bariffe told us in a phone interview. “As a candidate, I didn’t have any say.” Bariffe was also adamant that changes within the ONDP leadership are necessary. He expressed disappointment with the treatment he received from some senior party staffers, particularly Yanez. “They’re gonna have to fall on their swords,” he said.

DiNovo says the NDP will not regain frustrated supporters by portraying the recent election as progress, which has been the official line—focusing on the fact that the party improved its share of the popular vote by one per cent, and that efforts to attract voters outside of Toronto yielded gains. “It’s important for our voters in Toronto to know that we did not see that campaign as a success,” DiNovo says. “I think voters appreciate honesty.”

“I understand that we were trying to appeal to Conservative voters outside of Toronto, but we can’t ever give up our core values and principles,” DiNovo continued. “To do it is to become another Liberal party, which is the last thing I want.”

onlinediscountanvils

[double post]

terrytowel
Rokossovsky

According to Benzie's editorial remarks. Oh wait its the news section, so it must be true.

Wilf Day

As we all analyze the 2014 vote, the unexpected result in Durham riding is worth discussing.

It looked like a safe PC seat. In 2011 the PC John O'Toole was re-elected with 49% of the vote. In the 2012 federal byelection John O'Toole's son won it with 51%.

But John O'Toole retired this year, and the "strategic voting" campaigns thought they saw a chance. The NDP had come second in the federal by-election, but in the 2011 provincial election the Liberal came second with 29%, so they endorsed the new Liberal candsidate Granville Anderson. John O'Toole had previously been a separate school trustee in the area, centred on Bowmanville, while Granville Anderson was now a separate school trustee, chair of that board. The new PC candidate got 3,813 fewer votes than John O'Toole, and many of them went to Granville Anderson. Turnout increased by 3,708. Population growth in Oshawa's suburbs added about another 5,000 new voters.

The NDP didn't even have a candidate until well into the campaign; in fact Derek Spence may well have been the last NDP candidate nominated. Aged 35, he had been the custodian in the union hall of local 222, the giant General Motors local in Oshawa, for 12 years. He lived on a farm near Newtonville, where he and his wife raised some cattle, pigs, and field crops.

Yet his vote jumped by 5,067 from the 2011 total, moving up to 13,094, well above the 2012 by-election 8,946 NDP votes, scoring 24% of the vote last month. The Liberal vote went up 6,422. When you consider how many separate school parishioners may have switched from O'Toole to Anderson by that affiliation, Derek Spence did as well as Anderson. Strategic voting didn't work. They split the vote.

Yet Anderson did in fact win the seat, by a 2.3% margin over the PC.

What happened?
For a start, the strategic voting campaigns supported Jennifer French in Oshawa. The Oshawa suburbs saw her visibly winning campaign. Was Unifor 222 supporting the NDP in Oshawa but the Liberal in the suburbs? Yet the NDP candidate was a Unifor man. Confusing?

And Andrea Horwath's campaign worked as well in Oshawa as in Durham. 

terrytowel

“If you have voted NDP or if you are thinking about voting NDP in this election, I want to talk to you,”

"You can't stop Tim Hudak by voting NDP in this election"

-Kathleen Wynne, June 2014

Rokossovsky

Exactly. So much for campaigning on progressive politics.

onlinediscountanvils

Corrie Sakaluk: [url=http://briarpatchmagazine.com/blog/view/what-is-to-be-done-about-the-ont... is to be done about the Ontario NDP?[/url]

Rebick provided some welcome historical perspective on past attempts to change the federal NDP from within, noting that after each one of these efforts the party actually moved to the right and oriented toward further “professionalization” and away from the grassroots. The present ONDP focus on pocketbook politics, with a platform promoting individual benefits and personal savings instead of collective solutions, is an outgrowth of that trajectory. All panelists encouraged us to move beyond the narrative of an ONDP betrayal and historic break, in favour of thinking about how to foster conditions that allow us to push the entire political terrain to the left, building new organizations in the process.

Loreto cautioned organizers against allowing the NDP to become a vacuum, sucking up the time and energy of activists, especially in small communities. Every election, she noted, dedicated activists drop their other political commitments to get involved in supporting the NDP, often with little concrete reciprocity shown for their causes between elections. She attributes NDP gains in Oshawa, Sudbury, and Windsor to the tireless groundwork of local constituents (such as the We Are Oshawa campaign) and to being places worst affected by the provincial jobs crisis (with no thanks to the advice of upper-level ONDP strategists).

Unfortunately even activist-oriented NDP MPPs like Jonah Schein (a sacrificial lamb of this election who is respected for his work with Stop Line 9) have been hesitant to seriously address issues of poverty that groups like the Ontario Coalition Against Poverty (OCAP) mobilize around.

“We went to Jonah Schein to talk about the Liberal cuts to the Community Start-Up and Maintenance Benefit, which is especially vital for low-income women leaving situations of domestic violence and trying to start up somewhere new,” recounts OCAP’s Liisa Schofield. “Jonah said there was nothing he could do.”

Rokossovsky

Rebick has no analysis.

Stockholm

Quote:
At a Toronto post-election panel on June 14, featuring panelists David Bush, Nora Loreto, Judy Rebick, and Ritch Whyman, all agreed that the election revolved around Hudak’s agenda and that the ONDP failed to capture the anti-Hudak vote, failed to provide an inspiring platform, and failed to take advantage of the space recently opened up for more radical policies by movements such as Occupy and Idle No More.

Its quite funny how these people claim that the ONDP "failed to capture the anti-Hudak vote" yet these are the same people who attacked the ONDP for trying to take votes away from Hudak's Conservatives. These are also the same people who actively encouraged people to vote liberal to "stop Hudak"...then like a child who made a mess and won't own up to it they say "I didn't do it">

Rokossovsky

Quote:
At a Toronto post-election panel on June 14, featuring panelists David Bush, Nora Loreto, Judy Rebick, and Ritch Whyman, all agreed that the election revolved around Hudak’s agenda and that the ONDP failed to capture the anti-Hudak vote, failed to provide an inspiring platform, and failed to take advantage of the space recently opened up for more radical policies by movements such as Occupy and Idle No More.

Absolutely no critical analysis of how the labour movement through the OFL contributed to this outcome first by endorsing and directly supporting Liberal candidates under the guise of the "Stop Hudak" campaign.

It didn't just "happen" that the campaign revolved around "the Hudak agenda", and the ONDP "failed to capture the anti-Hudak vote", there was an organized effort by Ontario labour to make this so.

 

Rokossovsky

I think I have underestimated Ms. Horwath, apparently based on the summary of the criticism of her management/mismanagement of the election campaign, she is 100% responsible for the outcome, including Tim Hudak's defeat, and Wynne's victory. That is a fair amount of power, I must say.

For people who are also seemingly upset by the "cult" of the leader, there seems to be a lot of emphasis on her mystical powers.

robbie_dee

Rokossovsky wrote:

I think I have underestimated Ms. Horwath, apparently based on the summary of the criticism of her management/mismanagement of the election campaign, she is 100% responsible for the outcome, including Tim Hudak's defeat, and Wynne's victory. That is a fair amount of power, I must say.

Oh no not at all, most of the actual fault falls on her underlings and advisors. Several of whom are apparently on their way out the door, although I suppose it remains to be seen if they will just pop up again in different roles. The issue is that Andrea hired these people and placed the party's future in their hands, as well as approved of the overall direction and plan they proposed. That's why she has to accept the ultimate responsibility.

Frozen Snowshoe

robbie_dee wrote:

The issue is that Andrea hired these people and placed the party's future in their hands, as well as approved of the overall direction and plan they proposed. That's why she has to accept the ultimate responsibility.

Amen. I would only add that the senior staff are/were where they are because they accurately reflect Horwath's ideology (to the extent that she has one), ethics (to the extent that she has any) and character (which is unfortunate).

There's an awful lot of cherry-picking going on in the discussion that's being posted here. Here are a few general observations.

Both the NDP and Liberals "fear-mongered" about Hudak. Why wouldn't they? He was proposing an extreme agenda that people could see good reason to fear. Both had other aspects to their campaign which featured prominently, so neither was exclusively a "Stop Hudak camapign". The Liberals had a well developed, positive campaign on the theme of investing in Ontario's future. It was unclear at the outset how a campaign that came across as strongly in favour of spending, deficits and taxes would fly with the electorate. It was not a populist agenda. It also includes a number of regressive measures that should not have appealled to progressive voters and which were ignored or downplayed during the campaign. They managed their message to emphasize the progressive elements and/or voters decided the balance was to their liking and they won a majority. The NDP had an assortment of policy positions, but no coherent over-arching vision. They also leaned very heavily on the negatives of the Liberal record; why would they not? It could fairly be described as reliant on populist proposals. They did not manage their message(s) and/or voters decided they didn't much care for it and they finished in last place.

The Liberals executed their campaign strategy very well. The NDP campaign execution was dreadful; for the first three weeks it was unbelievably dreadful.

All campaigns include a mix of factors affecting how people vote in their local polling station. The extent to which leadership, provincial issues, local issues, local candidates and other considerations figure in final results varies from campaign to campaign, from riding to riding and from poll to poll. To know how, you actually have to look at the overall results, or a representative subsample) on a poll by poll basis and apply some knowledge of events.

In the article posted by onlinediscoutanvils this quote appears: "She attributes NDP gains in Oshawa, Sudbury, and Windsor to the tireless groundwork of local constituents (such as the We Are Oshawa campaign) and to being places worst affected by the provincial jobs crisis (with no thanks to the advice of upper-level ONDP strategists)."

In fact, there are no staff or executive within the ONDP who could realistically be called "upper-level ONDP strategists". There is no strategy. Just a bunch of disconnected tactics. The ONDP central office is actually well-staffed with people who are tactically solid. It's the main reason we do so well in by-elections. The absence of any strategic sense came through in technicolor during this past election.

It is unfortunate that there is no fly on the caucus-room wall right now with an itty-bitty GoPro camera. I am dead certain that what we would see would be a very unpleasant beating-up of Dinovo and Tabuns for daring to question the leader. The leader would not be involved. She generally prefers to let her minions do the dirty work for her. It would be a couple of her loyalists huffing and puffing and red in the face about disloyalty and generally being nasty. In this caucus it is probably a couple of the boys. Maybe Bisson and Natyshak. At most, 2 or 3 of the others would be willing to come to the defence of the caucus members under attack, for fear of the inevitable petty retribution. That's life in Andrea Horwath's NDP.

Rokossovsky

robbie_dee wrote:

Rokossovsky wrote:

I think I have underestimated Ms. Horwath, apparently based on the summary of the criticism of her management/mismanagement of the election campaign, she is 100% responsible for the outcome, including Tim Hudak's defeat, and Wynne's victory. That is a fair amount of power, I must say.

Oh no not at all, most of the actual fault falls on her underlings and advisors. Several of whom are apparently on their way out the door, although I suppose it remains to be seen if they will just pop up again in different roles. The issue is that Andrea hired these people and placed the party's future in their hands, as well as approved of the overall direction and plan they proposed. That's why she has to accept the ultimate responsibility.

Oh I see, so its a powerful cabal of people within the ONDP is 100% responsible for the outcome.

The OFL and Unifor backing the Liberals in almost every single riding where the Liberals won has nothing to do with the Liberals winning a majority government?

People make choices. You can't back a Liberal slate then blame the people who you didn't support for not winning.

Rokossovsky

Frozen Snowshoe wrote:

It is unfortunate that there is no fly on the caucus-room wall right now with an itty-bitty GoPro camera. I am dead certain that what we would see would be a very unpleasant beating-up of Dinovo and Tabuns for daring to question the leader. The leader would not be involved. She generally prefers to let her minions do the dirty work for her. It would be a couple of her loyalists huffing and puffing and red in the face about disloyalty and generally being nasty. In this caucus it is probably a couple of the boys. Maybe Bisson and Natyshak. At most, 2 or 3 of the others would be willing to come to the defence of the caucus members under attack, for fear of the inevitable petty retribution. That's life in Andrea Horwath's NDP.

So, you are saying that the caucus is united in support of Horwath? Astonishing! And here I was thinking she was divisive.

Speaking of cherry picking, I suggest that you go through the latest Benzie's hit piece in the Star, and read what Tabuns actually said. He actually echo DiNovo much at all -- he was far less sharp. His comments were just backend loaded into the piece in order to create the impression that he was onside with DinNovo and heavily contextualized in Benzie's heavily loaded op-ed about Horwath "finally acknowledging the shortcomings" of the campaign. 

“I would say that the party’s got a lot of reflecting to do on what happened in that campaign,” Tabuns told reporters on Tuesday.

“We had a very difficult time in Toronto. I don’t think our message was one that was crafted for Toronto. We need to have a message here that makes sense here in Toronto,” he said, noting the party’s transit plan didn’t get much attention.

People were very concerned that they didn’t hear a Toronto voice. They didn’t hear a strong message on transit. We put out a message on transit, we didn’t get coverage on it."

Hardly a full out assault on Horwath, in fact pointing out that the NDP transit message "didn't get coverage," on its message, not that the message wasn't there. 

They did the same thing to Marchese when they suggested in a headline that he said that the party campaigned "to the right". He said no such thing, and in fact defended the ONDP position on election night, saying that the ONDP had not lost an iota of its basic principles.

It is getting to the point where ONDP MPPs can't speak to the Star without having their comments re-contextualized and turned into an attack on the party.

cassius

Platform is one thing; judgment another. Ms. Horwath called the election because she felt the ONDP could leapfrog over a shattered Liberal Party to form the official opposition, meaning the PCs would form the next government. No one in the party seriously believed Horwath and company had the numbers to form a government. The cry would be "corruption" as it was with Jack Layton. That gave us the NDP as the official opposition and the most right-wing federal government in our history. Going, going gone are the post office, the CBC, medicare, and thousands of civil service jobs and services. Horwath wanted to see the same happen in Ontario. Fortunately, Wynne played the fear card and it trumped Horwath's corruption card. Now that the party's lost its hold on the balance of power, there's no one to hold Wynne accountable. That's why Horwath should go. She showed callous indifference to those who would be victims of PC rule - the poor, the working poor, labour and many others. If ONDP members want to let the leader stay on to avoid the ugliness of a fight, fine. But in 4 years time, after languishing in obscurity in the basement at Queen's Park, they will see things differently.    

Rokossovsky

I know. We should never challenge are betters in the Liberal party, to do so is to invite a spanking from the Conservatives.

robbie_dee

cassius wrote:

I just wanted to note that seeing "cassius" post in the "let's knife Andrea Horwath" thread made me smile. Do we have a Brutus here as well? Or is that Cheri DiNovo?

Ciabatta2

cassius wrote:

Platform is one thing; judgment another. Ms. Horwath called the election because she felt the ONDP could leapfrog over a shattered Liberal Party to form the official opposition, meaning the PCs would form the next government. No one in the party seriously believed Horwath and company had the numbers to form a government. The cry would be "corruption" as it was with Jack Layton. That gave us the NDP as the official opposition and the most right-wing federal government in our history. Going, going gone are the post office, the CBC, medicare, and thousands of civil service jobs and services. Horwath wanted to see the same happen in Ontario. Fortunately, Wynne played the fear card and it trumped Horwath's corruption card. Now that the party's lost its hold on the balance of power, there's no one to hold Wynne accountable. That's why Horwath should go. She showed callous indifference to those who would be victims of PC rule - the poor, the working poor, labour and many others. If ONDP members want to let the leader stay on to avoid the ugliness of a fight, fine. But in 4 years time, after languishing in obscurity in the basement at Queen's Park, they will see things differently.    

You have it backwards.

Horwath understood that with only a year before an election that propping up the Liberals, once again, would increase the likelihood of a PC victory in 2015 by further running the clock on a tired Liberal party and a premier (and that premier’s agenda, and 180 shift from the previous Liberal agenda) that had ruled for three years without ever facing a general election.

What Horwath misjudged was platforms; both her own, and its ability to influence voters (particularly in the GTA), and Wynne’s, by assuming the budget wasn't an election platform and instead was crafted to get NDP support.

What Howarth also misjudged was how the public judges credibility, particularly their willingness to find credibility in the premier's agenda despite the government's policy and financial misadventures over the past ten years, and not find the same credibility in her own.

If one’s raison d’etre is to keep out the PCs, the best thing that’s ever happened to this province in the last five years is Horwath.

Under Horwath the NDP has siphoned PC support from ridings in the southwest, London, Waterloo, Niagara, Oshawa, while triggering an election not in the haze of McGuinty's unpopular minority, not when the two opposition leaders would face an unknown and untested Liberal, and not once that leader had been straightjacketed by her own legacy, but instead at the exact moment the PCs were the weakest.

On this count Horwath has had stellar political judgment.

 

wage zombie

Rokossovsky wrote:

The OFL and Unifor backing the Liberals in almost every single riding where the Liberals won has nothing to do with the Liberals winning a majority government?

People make choices. You can't back a Liberal slate then blame the people who you didn't support for not winning.

This.

Ciabatta2

"You can't back a Liberal slate then blame the people who you didn't support for not winning."

^^ This.

Some of the support/criticism of Horwath has been quite disingenuous.

There's a lot of criticism of Horwath, strangely, from camps that seem to be relatively happy with the outcome.  A "progressive" Liberal leads a majority government that is about to implement "the most progressive budget in a generation" that borrows heavily from the issues the NDP has supported over the past five years, in effect priming the public and setting the agenda for the next for years.

The anti-PC crowd should be happy too.  The election was a rout for the PCs, they lost seats, they returned no new blood or potential new leadership dynamos, they have no chance at implementing anything for the next four-five years, their party is left in disarray with no discernable direction yet the election returned a strong NDP presence and solidified the NDP as the main PC rivals in a number of areas where the Liberals are no longer a factor.  There have been few elections in which a majority Liberal government has been elected that didn't result in nearly wiping the NDP off the map.

Yet those who have been least critical - party syncophants – gloss over the NDP's inability to take advantage of the most politically fertile election dynamics since 1990, with the most damaged leaders and most liked NDP leader and public open to some of the NDP’s agenda for the first time in 20 years, and yet the NDP ends up with the same amount of seats, only one honestly notable gain – Oshawa – significant losses – Prue, Schein - and minimal prospects for growth in Toronto or the broader GTA.

It is baffling.  This is the crap that makes people tune out of politics.

 

terrytowel

Letter from Today's Toronto Star

Horwath admits ‘bittersweet’ election result, July 9

I wonder what Robin Sears has to say about Cheri DiNovo. The day Andrea Horwath walked away from the Liberal budget I cancelled my membership in the Ontario NDP. This decision was not taken lightly. I worked in my first election in Grade 9 and was a member of the party for decades. When the famous letter of “the 34” was made public, I felt better. Others were also disappointed at the move away from core NDP values to populist austerity rhetoric.

Then, enter Robin Sears. He dismissed all of us as over-the-hill, negative and anti-party. And now we have Cheri DiNovo saying “we can’t ever give up our core values and principles.” I hope there are more like DiNovo and fewer like Sears in the party. If that proves to be the case I will return to the fold. I voted Liberal and I respect Kathleen Wynne but I am not a Liberal because I don’t share their core values and principles.

Peggy Stevens, Newmarket

http://www.thestar.com/opinion/letters_to_the_editors/2014/07/10/disappo...

Rokossovsky

Is Sears in the NDP?

Stockholm

The problem was not that the NDP voted against the supposedly "progressive" Liberal budget - we now know that the budget is actually loaded with rightwing poison pills - what i find unforgiveable is that Horwath voted down the budget and refused to actually criticize it - she basically all but said "I like everything in this budget but i don't trust the Liberals to implement it" - that is the most laughably weak argument I've ever heard in  my life for forcing an election. If Horwath was going to oppose the budget she should have laid out her attack on it and explained why it was a BAD budget. If she did not actually think it was a bad budget then she should have supported it with some minor cosmetic changes. Instead she tried to have it both ways and just looked cynical and opportunistic.

My beef with Horwath is not that she has supposedly taken the party to the right - I'm all for moderation. i just think she is totally incompetent and incompetence is not a right/left issue.

My issue with "the 34" has little to do with the substance of their letter. i agree with parts of it. but purposely releasing a letter like that to the media in the middle of an election campaign was an act of outright sabotage that makes me think that Judy Rebick was likely cooperating with people in the liberal war room to try to inflict maximum damage.

Rokossovsky

I was more concerned about the organizational flaws in the campaign, as opposed to the positioning. There seems to be a problem with trying to stage manage and micromanage everything in the party. Failure to properly delegate or trust people to execute a plan, is a serious flaw.

From all that I have heard, it is here that the main problem of the campaign lies, not the failure to center "social justice" issues. This is a serious, but all too common flaw.

nicky

Thanks terry for pointing out every negative comment you can find about the NDP. We know we can count on you to give us everything debater can't find.

I know what I am not allowed to call you so I am looking through my thesaus.....

Unionist

Stockholm wrote:

The problem was not that the NDP voted against the supposedly "progressive" Liberal budget - we now know that the budget is actually loaded with rightwing poison pills - what i find unforgiveable is that Horwath voted down the budget and refused to actually criticize it - she basically all but said "I like everything in this budget but i don't trust the Liberals to implement it" - that is the most laughably weak argument I've ever heard in  my life for forcing an election.

^^^THIS^^^. Yes.

Quote:
My issue with "the 34" has little to do with the substance of their letter. i agree with parts of it. but purposely releasing a letter like that to the media in the middle of an election campaign was an act of outright sabotage that makes me think that Judy Rebick was likely cooperating with people in the liberal war room to try to inflict maximum damage.

Wrong. Rebick specifically denied releasing it. She said it was intended to be private. And guess what - I believe her.

Horwath, on the other hand, is an unprincipled and unsuccessful pragmatist. She followed advice of braindead unprincipled advisers. And it is [b]those advisers[/b] - if not Horwath's direct order - that leaked the letter, thinking it would fit right into their "strategy" of eating Hudak's lunch. As the ONDP now hopefully understands, being attacked by honest progressive activists just isn't enough to convince right-wing types that you should be given the keys to Queen's Park.

 

Rokossovsky

Conspiracy theory much? A letter with 34 signatories is like a ship with 34 leaks in it.

terrytowel

nicky wrote:

Thanks terry for pointing out every negative comment you can find about the NDP. We know we can count on you to give us everything debater can't find.

I know what I am not allowed to call you so I am looking through my thesaus.....

Please find the other negative comment I have posted, since the election. I'll save you time, there has been none. That was only one, there have never been any others.

I thought the idea of a discussion board was to have DISCUSSION and debate. Not to preach to the converted.

However I'm glad you learned your lesson.

Stockholm

Unionist wrote:

Wrong. Rebick specifically denied releasing it. She said it was intended to be private. And guess what - I believe her.

If she (Rebick) is not lying through her teeth then she is being totally disingenuous. In this day and age who has ever heard of an e-mailed letter being signed by 34 people staying "private"...and that letter was circulated to about 100 other people who refused to sign it - it was the worst kept secret in the world. Rebick and company only put out that letter because they knew it would inevitably get leaked to the media and that out of 100-odd people who the letter was e-mailed to - at least one person was bound to forward it to the Liberals and/or to the Toronto Star. 

I used to have some respect for Judy Rebick, but she insults our intelligence if she expects us to believe that no one of the hundreds of people she sent her letter to flipped it over to someone hostile. I'm sure Rebick feels very proud of herself. You see she was INFLUENTIAL. Thanks to her Michael Prue lost to a rigfhtwing Liberal who supports right to work legilsation and she can probably take credit for Jonah Schein losing too. Marchese was probably a goner from the get-go. My only questions is what the Liberals did to thank Judy Rebick for her invaluable help with their campaign to unseat NDP incumbents in Toronto. Did they send her a bouquet of roses? Did she get a private audience with Queen Kathleen? If she is reading this. I'd love to know how they rewarded her.

onlinediscountanvils

Unionist wrote:
Stockholm wrote:
My issue with "the 34" has little to do with the substance of their letter. i agree with parts of it. but purposely releasing a letter like that to the media in the middle of an election campaign was an act of outright sabotage that makes me think that Judy Rebick was likely cooperating with people in the liberal war room to try to inflict maximum damage.

Wrong. Rebick specifically denied releasing it. She said it was intended to be private. And guess what - I believe her.

As do I. As did more than a few Dippers when - for a brief moment - they believed the NDP were surging in the polls thanks to a campaign brilliantly designed to remove all doubt that this was still their grandparents' NDP.

Of course that all changed once the results came in.

Rokossovsky

What a bunch of senseless twaddle. Up next Dick Chenney personally organized 9/11.

nicky

Unionist, I think you are crediting Andrea's inner circle with too much guile to suggest they leaked the letter to convince Conservative voters that the NDP was safe.

I can tell you what I have been told by a couple people who worked on the central campaign.

1. The letter was NOT leaked by Andrea's team.

2. Only FIVE of the Group of 34 were actually party members.

3. Although some of them may be genuinely mortified that it was leaked, others of them deliberately leaked it.

4. It caused a lot of damage, especially in Toronto.

I have no problem with internal dissent but there are avenues for it. To go public during an election campaign is an act of sabotage.

Frozen Snowshoe

Stockholm wrote:

If she (Rebick) is not lying through her teeth then she is being totally disingenuous. In this day and age who has ever heard of an e-mailed letter being signed by 34 people staying "private"...and that letter was circulated to about 100 other people who refused to sign it - it was the worst kept secret in the world. Rebick and company only put out that letter because they knew it would inevitably get leaked to the media and that out of 100-odd people who the letter was e-mailed to - at least one person was bound to forward it to the Liberals and/or to the Toronto Star. 

I used to have some respect for Judy Rebick, but she insults our intelligence if she expects us to believe that no one of the hundreds of people she sent her letter to flipped it over to someone hostile. I'm sure Rebick feels very proud of herself. You see she was INFLUENTIAL. Thanks to her Michael Prue lost to a rigfhtwing Liberal who supports right to work legilsation and she can probably take credit for Jonah Schein losing too. Marchese was probably a goner from the get-go. My only questions is what the Liberals did to thank Judy Rebick for her invaluable help with their campaign to unseat NDP incumbents in Toronto. Did they send her a bouquet of roses? Did she get a private audience with Queen Kathleen? If she is reading this. I'd love to know how they rewarded her.

Apparently the letter released to the press was one signed by the full set of signatories, not one of the blanks. According to Rebick, there were only a couple of those. She is adamant that it wasn't her and that the only possible source was Horwath. I have no trouble believing that Horwath, probably with urging from the circle of bullies she has surrounded herself with, could have released the letter. I would love to hear her response to a direct question about it. Not a huge believer in Rebick's judgement, but it's hard to see how the reporters could have known the final list of signatures if its wasn't the final copy that was forwarded.

Rokossovsky

Confirmation bias much? What does Judy Rebick have to do with "Grandad's NDP"? She thinks campaigning against privatization, for corporate tax increases, and for cutting regressive consumption taxation is right wing, and that supporting the opposite as presented in the Liberal budget makes it the "most progressive budget in a years".

Here is the the truth, Tommy Douglas increased taxes on business in order to fund public service. and cut regressive consumption taxes -- those were the essential principles of the 2014 ONDP program.

The Liberal budget was classic "third way" supply side economics with a social conscience (supposedly).

Rokossovsky

Yeah. That's why it read like a press release. Missing from the letter are any of the nuances that are usually included in private political appeals, such as a request for a meeting, and so on and so forth.

Aristotleded24

So assuming Andrea needs to walk the plank, how do people feel about Catherine Fife? She seems to be very well-respected both within the party and within the constituency, and the fact that even before being elected she polled way ahead of the party suggests she knows a thing or two about winning.

Stockholm

Maybe Rebick didn't personally send the letter to the Liberal war room/The Toronto Star...she might have simply given herself plausible deniability by cc'ing someone and telling them to leak it. Come on - we are not idiots - if that letter got sent to the media its because one of the 34 signatories wanted it to be publicized. No one else had any incentive to leak it.

Personally, I suspect that Judy Rebick is simply a liar but who knows - what's done is done. I wonder if her next stunt will be to get her 33 friends to write a letter attacking Olivia Chow for being too centrist so she can leak it to the John Tory campaign. I suspect she is enough of a narcissist that she just gets off on the idea that her actions are having an impact on an election result - even if it hurts progressives.

Frozen Snowshoe

Rokossovsky wrote:
So, you are saying that the caucus is united in support of Horwath? Astonishing! And here I was thinking she was divisive.

This comment reveals a charming outlook on how politics is done in the ONDP big leagues that brought a smile to my lips. Would that it were so. You should try to spend a little time working in proximity to Horwath and her posse. It will harden your heart. Or break it. You will also understand that it takes a certain, special kind of nerve to speak truth to that particularly nasty kind of power. In the caucus meeting I describe, the majority position will be embarrassed silence.

Rokossovsky wrote:
Speaking of cherry picking, I suggest that you go through the latest Benzie's hit piece in the Star, and read what Tabuns actually said. He actually echo DiNovo much at all -- he was far less sharp. His comments were just backend loaded into the piece in order to create the impression that he was onside with DinNovo and heavily contextualized in Benzie's heavily loaded op-ed about Horwath "finally acknowledging the shortcomings" of the campaign. 

“I would say that the party’s got a lot of reflecting to do on what happened in that campaign,” Tabuns told reporters on Tuesday.

“We had a very difficult time in Toronto. I don’t think our message was one that was crafted for Toronto. We need to have a message here that makes sense here in Toronto,” he said, noting the party’s transit plan didn’t get much attention.

People were very concerned that they didn’t hear a Toronto voice. They didn’t hear a strong message on transit. We put out a message on transit, we didn’t get coverage on it."

Hardly a full out assault on Horwath, in fact pointing out that the NDP transit message "didn't get coverage," on its message, not that the message wasn't there. 

They did the same thing to Marchese when they suggested in a headline that he said that the party campaigned "to the right". He said no such thing, and in fact defended the ONDP position on election night, saying that the ONDP had not lost an iota of its basic principles.

It is getting to the point where ONDP MPPs can't speak to the Star without having their comments re-contextualized and turned into an attack on the party.

I read it. It would take much less than that to get him skewered by the Horwath loyalists at the moment. There is nothing more dangerous than a wounded beast that thinks it's being attacked. Horwath is the sort who could sees enemies among the children touring Queen's Park.

The most public manifestation of the Horwath method was the Giambrone by-election nomination. It was ham-fisted, it was dishonest, it was in violation of party rules, it was contemptuous of members, it was ruthless and it was pointless (as the result made clear). There are too many other lesser-known examples of the same approach for it to be written off as a mistake. That's who you're cheering on.

Frozen Snowshoe

Stockholm wrote:

Maybe Rebick didn't personally send the letter to the Liberal war room/The Toronto Star...she might have simply given herself plausible deniability by cc'ing someone and telling them to leak it. Come on - we are not idiots - if that letter got sent to the media its because one of the 34 signatories wanted it to be publicized. No one else had any incentive to leak it.

Personally, I suspect that Judy Rebick is simply a liar but who knows - what's done is done. I wonder if her next stunt will be to get her 33 friends to write a letter attacking Olivia Chow for being too centrist so she can leak it to the John Tory campaign. I suspect she is enough of a narcissist that she just gets off on the idea that her actions are having an impact on an election result - even if it hurts progressives.

Rebick likes the sound of her own voice, and she isn't exactly a legend when it comes to her analysis hitting the mark, but I've never had a sense of her as that kind of operator.

Although my buddy Rokossovsky isn't persuaded, I think the Horwath campaign team was very much attempting to distance themselves from the history of the NDP. Using something like this to paint herself as independent of the NDP old school is well within the ambit of her opportunistism. It would also appeal to the nasty streak that would see this as a slapdown of the writers.

I think the letter was a bad idea for a bunch of reasons, not least that it was being written to someone who is congenitally incapable of taking criticism. If it was released on purpose, it was an attempt at sabotage that is unforgiveable. I just think that some folks here are wildly underestimating Horwath's capacity for and delight in gamesmanship, to say nothing of her horrendous judgement.

Rokossovsky

Frozen Snowshoe wrote:

Rokossovsky wrote:
So, you are saying that the caucus is united in support of Horwath? Astonishing! And here I was thinking she was divisive.

This comment reveals a charming outlook on how politics is done in the ONDP big leagues that brought a smile to my lips. Would that it were so. You should try to spend a little time working in proximity to Horwath and her posse. It will harden your heart. Or break it. You will also understand that it takes a certain, special kind of nerve to speak truth to that particularly nasty kind of power. In the caucus meeting I describe, the majority position will be embarrassed silence.

Rokossovsky wrote:
Speaking of cherry picking, I suggest that you go through the latest Benzie's hit piece in the Star, and read what Tabuns actually said. He actually echo DiNovo much at all -- he was far less sharp. His comments were just backend loaded into the piece in order to create the impression that he was onside with DinNovo and heavily contextualized in Benzie's heavily loaded op-ed about Horwath "finally acknowledging the shortcomings" of the campaign. 

“I would say that the party’s got a lot of reflecting to do on what happened in that campaign,” Tabuns told reporters on Tuesday.

“We had a very difficult time in Toronto. I don’t think our message was one that was crafted for Toronto. We need to have a message here that makes sense here in Toronto,” he said, noting the party’s transit plan didn’t get much attention.

People were very concerned that they didn’t hear a Toronto voice. They didn’t hear a strong message on transit. We put out a message on transit, we didn’t get coverage on it."

Hardly a full out assault on Horwath, in fact pointing out that the NDP transit message "didn't get coverage," on its message, not that the message wasn't there. 

They did the same thing to Marchese when they suggested in a headline that he said that the party campaigned "to the right". He said no such thing, and in fact defended the ONDP position on election night, saying that the ONDP had not lost an iota of its basic principles.

It is getting to the point where ONDP MPPs can't speak to the Star without having their comments re-contextualized and turned into an attack on the party.

I read it. It would take much less than that to get him skewered by the Horwath loyalists at the moment. There is nothing more dangerous than a wounded beast that thinks it's being attacked. Horwath is the sort who could sees enemies among the children touring Queen's Park.

The most public manifestation of the Horwath method was the Giambrone by-election nomination. It was ham-fisted, it was dishonest, it was in violation of party rules, it was contemptuous of members, it was ruthless and it was pointless (as the result made clear). There are too many other lesser-known examples of the same approach for it to be written off as a mistake. That's who you're cheering on.

I know; "failure to denounce" loudly enough equates with "cheering on" the "enemies of the people". Sorry comrade. My mistake.

What does any of that have to do with the Toronto Star misrepresenting what was said by Tabuns, regardless of your belief that he is sycophantic parrot that fears the Jacobin guillotine, and that Horwath is making hostages of his children, or whatever other Machiavellian intrigues she deploys to get her caucus to stay in line.

What has been written in the press has been contextualized politically in order to misrepresent it.

Your assumptions about the reign of terror in the ONDP have no bearing on that.

Frozen Snowshoe

Rokossovsky wrote:

I know; "failure to denounce" loudly enough equates with "cheering on" the "enemies of the people". Sorry comrade. My mistake.

What does any of that have to do with the Toronto Star misrepresenting what was said by Tabuns, regardless of your belief that he is sycophantic parrot that fears the Jacobin guillotine, and that Horwath is making hostages of his children, or whatever other Machiavellian intrigues she deploys to get her caucus to stay in line.

What has been written in the press has been contextualized politically in order to misrepresent it.

Your assumptions about the reign of terror in the ONDP have no bearing on that.

Have a great weekend.

Rokossovsky

Pretty much sums up the whole campaign really when viewed through the lens of Toronto Star reportage. TorStar summarizing what the ONDP is really saying, or should be saying, or would be saying, if it were not for the dastardly Horwath, and not reporting what the ONDP was actually saying on things like transit, which Tabuns observes didn't get "coverage".

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