China #2

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NDPP

'War Inevitable' Unless US Backs Down': China State Paper

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2015/05/25/412770/US-war-China-inevitable-...

"A war between the US and China is 'inevitable' unless Washington stops demanding Beijing halt its construction project in the South China Sea, a Chinese state-owned newspaper warns. Washington accuses Beijing of undergoing a massive 'land reclaimation program in the Spratly archipelago of the South China Sea.

'If the US bottom line is that China has to halt its activities, then a US-China war is inevitable in the South China Sea,' the Global Times, an influential newspaper owned by the ruling Communist Party's official newspaper The People's Daily, said in an editorial Monday."

NorthReport

U.S. defense chief to China: End South China Sea expansion

http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/30/politics/singapore-south-china-sea-ash-car...

NDPP

Pivot Insanity: Why is Obama Goading China?   -  by Mike Whitney

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article41993.htm

"All eyes are going to be focused on China where our mad hatter Secretary of Defense is trying to start a third world war."

 

Patrolling the Hood From (China) Sea to Shining Sea  -  by Pepe Escobar

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article41992.htm

"The Masters of War at the self-described 'Don't Do Stupid Stuff' Obama administration are now announcing they're ready to dispatch military aircraft and ships within 18 kilometers of 7 artificial islands China has built up in the Spratly Islands.

Pentagon madmen provoking every major geostrategic competitor all at once."

swallow swallow's picture

I don't disagree, but China's hardly being charmign and friendly towards its neighbours either..... Poor Vietnam can't turn reefs into islands as fast as the local capitalist superpower....

Sean in Ottawa

Not the first time there are no innocent super-powers.

I am concerned about China and its attitude to its neighbours and its apporach to Africa not better than the others. On the other hand it is nice to see a power not routed in Europe or a European vision of the world.

NDPP

Canada: China's 'Trojan Horse'

http://www.voltairenet.org/article187607.html

"...now Canada, the United States' longtime ally, breaks its resistance and is called upon to become the platform of 'yuan-ization' on the American continent."

NDPP

Seven Days in May?  -  by Mike Whitney

http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/06/17/seven-days-in-may-/

"China's rise is not inevitable. It depends on things that China cannot completely control, like Washington's provocations..."

epaulo13

..includes video footage of the protest

Week-long mass protest rocks Shanghai

The Shanghai region is one of the most important motors of Chinese capitalism. However, the city’s political conservatism is as clear as its economic strength. Unlike cities in the Pearl River Delta, such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen, Shanghai rarely is the location of mass protests or sizeable industrial actions.

However, things might be changing. At the end of June, tens of thousands of locals rallied for seven days in Shanghai’s Jinshan District. They were protesting against the planned construction of a new paraxylene (PX) plant. This is probably the largest rebellious street mobilisation in the city since the 1989 student movement.

PX is a flammable hydrocarbon used in the manufacture of plastic bottles and polyester clothing. It is a dangerous chemical to handle or inhale. China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of the substance.

The expansion of PX projects is generating mass urban unrest in China. In the past eight years, protests broke out in seven cities. Demonstrations in Dalian and Ningbo turned into violent confrontations between anti-riot police and demonstrators....

https://redflag.org.au/article/week-long-mass-protest-rocks-shanghai

eta:

quote:

However, a heavy-handed strategy is effective only in dealing with small number of protesters. It’s easy to disperse and persecute several hundred. But when people gather in their tens of thousands, they do not fear the tear gas and batons. Then the local officials have only two options: order the police and soldiers to crack down or cancel the construction of the plant.

Neither the local bureaucrats nor the big bosses in Beijing want to risk provoking uprisings in major cities, so they often choose the second option. This has been the case several times in relation to PX plants.

 

Sean in Ottawa

epaulo13 wrote:

..includes video footage of the protest

Week-long mass protest rocks Shanghai

The Shanghai region is one of the most important motors of Chinese capitalism. However, the city’s political conservatism is as clear as its economic strength. Unlike cities in the Pearl River Delta, such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen, Shanghai rarely is the location of mass protests or sizeable industrial actions.

However, things might be changing. At the end of June, tens of thousands of locals rallied for seven days in Shanghai’s Jinshan District. They were protesting against the planned construction of a new paraxylene (PX) plant. This is probably the largest rebellious street mobilisation in the city since the 1989 student movement.

PX is a flammable hydrocarbon used in the manufacture of plastic bottles and polyester clothing. It is a dangerous chemical to handle or inhale. China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of the substance.

The expansion of PX projects is generating mass urban unrest in China. In the past eight years, protests broke out in seven cities. Demonstrations in Dalian and Ningbo turned into violent confrontations between anti-riot police and demonstrators....

https://redflag.org.au/article/week-long-mass-protest-rocks-shanghai

eta:

quote:

However, a heavy-handed strategy is effective only in dealing with small number of protesters. It’s easy to disperse and persecute several hundred. But when people gather in their tens of thousands, they do not fear the tear gas and batons. Then the local officials have only two options: order the police and soldiers to crack down or cancel the construction of the plant.

Neither the local bureaucrats nor the big bosses in Beijing want to risk provoking uprisings in major cities, so they often choose the second option. This has been the case several times in relation to PX plants.

 

You could also argue that the poeple are a little less patient given the currently deteriorating economy.

I would expect the government would want to try to leave these plants to local authorities rather than have to make such decisions centrally. this allows an easier management when things get out of hand.

The economic conditions add another stress that the government is trying to contain. Economies have their fluctuations and it is difficult for China to resist cycles of downturns that happen everywhere. China's economy is different but not immune.

I don't expect either of these situations to be getting out of control any time soon but I do see that the government will need to manage them carefully. Some of the people I live with are currently in Shanghai -- I think I'll hear about this when they return next month.

NDPP

China Crashes Most Since 2007 Amid 'Panic Sentiment', Over Half Stocks Suspended, PBOC Promises 'Liquidity Support'

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-07/china-futures-plunge-8-over-hal...

"For a record 12th day in a row, Chinese margin debt balances have dropped with today's 8.5% collapse the largest in history."

 

Doug Woodard

A somewhat cooler take -

Chinese shares continue to slide:

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-33438416

 

NDPP

CrossTalk; When China Rules (and vid)

http://www.rt.com/shows/crosstalk/311034-china-rules-great-power/

"When China rules, what will the world be like? Western capitols and their media often warn us about China's rise, though hardly mention the dangers of the West's decline. When China rules, will the world be a safer place?

CrossTalking with James Bradley, Martin McCauley and Scott Kennedy"

Mr. Magoo

Is it China's economy that's set to one day rise to the top, or their culture?

With a billion+ people, the only real surprise should be that it took their economy this long.  But I don't think the time is coming soon where we'll all need to speak Mandarin if we don't want to be left behind in the new global reality.

kropotkin1951

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Is it China's economy that's set to one day rise to the top, or their culture?

With a billion+ people, the only real surprise should be that it took their economy this long.

Really, after all its not like foreign imperial powers controlled the country for over a hundred years with the Japanese being the last brutal rulers. They liberated themselves in 1949.  They seem to have advanced well in comparison to places like the Phillipines were the Americans brought them freedom from the Spanish in 1898.  Maybe it is the culture after all.

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
Really, after all its not like foreign imperial powers controlled the country for over a hundred years with the Japanese being the last brutal rulers.

Yes.  Of course that's why their economy was so stagnant for so long.

Hey, ever seen some Chinese steel?

kropotkin1951

 

swallow swallow's picture

It didn't take China long to rise to the top. Until the early 19th C, China was on top. The brief era of European dominance is ending and China will be returning to the top soon enough. Which doesn't mean Chinese world domination, just it's going to return to being the largest economy, as it has been for most of human history. 

swallow swallow's picture

China will host the 2022 Winter Olympics on the edge of the Gobi desert. 

[url=http://www.economist.com/news/china/21660262-beijing-will-stage-winter-g..., they will.[/url]

NDPP

China Marks 70th V-Day Anniversary With Spectacular Parade (Photos, Video)

http://www.rt.com/news/314176-china-military-parade-wwii/

WWWTT

swallow wrote:

It didn't take China long to rise to the top. Until the early 19th C, China was on top. The brief era of European dominance is ending and China will be returning to the top soon enough. Which doesn't mean Chinese world domination, just it's going to return to being the largest economy, as it has been for most of human history. 

'"The century of shame!"

Roughly from the time of the first opium wars to the final peoples revolutionary victory.

Also roughly 20% of the world's population is Chinese, so why not Chinese world domination?

If I had a choice between western colonialism and China, go with communist China!

WWWTT

Doug Woodard

China's future - the history lesson that is being ignored:

http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-history-lesson-that-is-being-ignored-...

Four years old but still timely.

Brachina

WWWTT wrote:

swallow wrote:

It didn't take China long to rise to the top. Until the early 19th C, China was on top. The brief era of European dominance is ending and China will be returning to the top soon enough. Which doesn't mean Chinese world domination, just it's going to return to being the largest economy, as it has been for most of human history. 

'"The century of shame!"

Roughly from the time of the first opium wars to the final peoples revolutionary victory.

Also roughly 20% of the world's population is Chinese, so why not Chinese world domination?

If I had a choice between western colonialism and China, go with communist China!

WWWTT

 How about a third option, 20% of the population shouldn't dominate the other 80%, West or East, that's why we need a democractic world government with a international charter of rights and freedoms.

Brachina

WWWTT wrote:

swallow wrote:

It didn't take China long to rise to the top. Until the early 19th C, China was on top. The brief era of European dominance is ending and China will be returning to the top soon enough. Which doesn't mean Chinese world domination, just it's going to return to being the largest economy, as it has been for most of human history. 

'"The century of shame!"

Roughly from the time of the first opium wars to the final peoples revolutionary victory.

Also roughly 20% of the world's population is Chinese, so why not Chinese world domination?

If I had a choice between western colonialism and China, go with communist China!

WWWTT

 How about a third option, 20% of the population shouldn't dominate the other 80%, West or East, that's why we need a democractic world government with a international charter of rights and freedoms.

NDPP

US-China Relations: The Pentagon versus High Tech  -  by James Petras

http://dissidentvoice.org/2015/09/us-china-relations-the-pentagon-versus...

"Obama's decision to provoke China on multiple fronts reflects the overwhelming influence of the militarist power configurations in Washington: the Pentagon, the NSA and the Zionist militarist ideologues.

If the US military driven Middle East policy has been a failure, a similar policy toward China will be catastrophic."

NDPP

Washington's South China Sea Provocation and the Spectre of World War III

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/10/28/pers-o28.html

"The US naval incursion yesterday within the 12-nautical-mile limit of territory claimed by China in the South China Sea was a deliberate and reckless provocation that threatens to trigger a far broader conflict between the two nuclear-armed powers..."

NDPP

US Naval Operations in South China Sea ' Provocative': Intl Lawyer (and vid)

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2015/10/28/435329/US-South-China-Sea-naval...

"US plans to conduct naval operations in the South China Sea, despite Beijing's warnings, stand as 'naked evidence' of its 'provocative' intentions, says international lawyer Barry Grossman in Indonesia..."

swallow swallow's picture

Of course, the 12-mile limit claimed by China has no validity, since it's based on an artificial island built by China, in a sea many miles from China but closer to the Philippines and Vietnam, and the Southeast Asian countries often feel threatened by an aggressive and expanding Chinese government militarism. 

[img]https://chinadailymail.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/25-nine-dashed-line-i...

kropotkin1951

swallow wrote:

Of course, the 12-mile limit claimed by China has no validity, since it's based on an artificial island built by China, in a sea many miles from China but closer to the Philippines and Vietnam, and the Southeast Asian countries often feel threatened by an aggressive and expanding Chinese government militarism. 

[img]https://chinadailymail.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/25-nine-dashed-line-i...

I'm waiting for China and Russia to do naval excercises 12 miles off shore of Vancouver and Seatle. Or is it only FREEDOM loving countries in NATO that like to shove their penises into other countries faces.

swallow swallow's picture

But it's not 12 miles off China's coast. It's in the Spratley Islands, much nearer to other countries - the Philippines and Malysia, in this case - than to China. 

It's as if the US govenrment built an artificial island between Vancouver Island and the BC mainland, and then complained that someone was violating that artificial island's 12-mile limit. 

Obviously the US is an imperial power. So, in this situation, is China. An anti-imperialist position might also imply standing up for Vietnam, or the Philippines, or Malaysia, whose waters are being invaded by China as it claims the "nine-dash line" in the South China Sea that dates back to the old dynasties. If you want to go the penis metaphor, American and Chinese penises are colliding in other people's waters. 

kropotkin1951

swallow wrote:

But it's not 12 miles off China's coast. It's in the Spratley Islands, much nearer to other countries - the Philippines and Malysia, in this case - than to China. 

It's as if the US govenrment built an artificial island between Vancouver Island and the BC mainland, and then complained that someone was violating that artificial island's 12-mile limit. 

The South China Sea is a marginal sea that is part of the Pacific Ocean, encompassing an area from the Singapore and Malacca Straits to the Strait of Taiwan of around 3,500,000 square kilometres (1,400,000 sq mi).

The total extent of the Salish Sea is about 18,000 square kilometres (6,900 sq mi) and it varies in width from 18.5 to 55 kilometres (11.5 to 34.2 mi)

Your geography is not to scale.

 

 

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
I'm waiting for China and Russia to do naval excercises 12 miles off shore of Vancouver and Seatle.

That would be 12 miles from millions of actual Canadians and Americans who've lived in Vancouver and Seattle for generations.

As opposed to 12 miles from some coral reefs covered in guano.

swallow swallow's picture

kropotkin1951 wrote:

Your geography is not to scale.

True. Mataphors are not scaled. 

swallow swallow's picture

[url=http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2015/10/30/1516559/tribunal-sides-phil... tribunal rules in favour of Philippines in legal dispute with China over South China Sea sovereignty - case will now go to arbitration despite China's claim tnhat is is not bound by UN Convention on the Law of the Sea[/url]

kropotkin1951

swallow wrote:

[url=http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2015/10/30/1516559/tribunal-sides-phil... tribunal rules in favour of Philippines in legal dispute with China over South China Sea sovereignty - case will now go to arbitration despite China's claim tnhat is is not bound by UN Convention on the Law of the Sea[/url]

The US has not ratified the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea but it sure can use it for sabre rattling. China has been claiming this area for a  very long time and has shown it on official maps since the 1930's. You know back when the Chinese government was aligned with US interests. The only thing that has changed is the US's insistance that they have the might to tell everyone in the world what to do with their regional resources.

swallow swallow's picture

The US, along with Australia, is probably the biggest rogue power on the law of the sea, yes. It's unfortunate that China is joining them rather than agreeing to negotiate with the Philippines. But suire, China has learned effective bullying from the world's number one bully, the US government. 

How come no sympathy for the little guys like Vietnam and the Philippines, kropotkin? 

kropotkin1951

That comes from looking behind the curtain to seethe real Wizard.

Quote:

Ha Noi, Nov. 17 (VNA) -- The Viet Nam Oil and Gas Corporation (PetroVietnam) signed a product sharing contract (PSC) with Samedan Vietnam Ltd. and the OPECO International Gas Ltd. of the U.S. in Ha Noi on Nov. 17, for the 2,000 sq. km. lot 12W in Nam Con Son basin, offshore Viet Nam's continental shelf.

http://vietnamembassy-usa.org/relations/vietnam-signs-oil-and-gas-contra...

Quote:

The United States and the Philippines will sign a 10-year defense agreement Monday, officials said, one of the clearest signs yet of renewed American engagement in the region at a time when tensions between China and its neighbors have been rising.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/us-philippines-to-sign-10-year-defe...

swallow swallow's picture

Are all countries with corporate ties to the US, therefore US puppets? Is China therefore a US puppet also? 

Bec.De.Corbin Bec.De.Corbin's picture

Yes..but no; only when it fits... Get it?

NDPP

UN Tribunal To Adjudicate South China Sea Legal Dispute

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/10/31/phil-o31.html

"...Over the past five years, Washington has sought through its 'pivot to Asia' to diplomatically, economically and militarily isolate and encircle China, seeking ultimately to dismember the country and subordinate it to the interests of US finance capital as a semi-colony. With each new provocation, the outbreak of war becomes increasingly likely.

It was in this context of provocation and Washington's drive to war, that the PCA issued its decision on Manila's case. The PCA is not a neutral arbiter in the dispute. It serves the interests of the imperial powers and its decision is a thoroughly political one. Manila's case has been drawn up and argued by Washington attorneys. Not a single legal argument before the PCA was made by a Filipino.

Manila's case seeks to invalidate China's claim by examining the maritime boundaries established by individual islands and atolls, disregarding the archipelagic nature of China's claim.

This tack was dreamed up in Washington and serves as the pretext both for the legal case and the provocative US naval operations. The PCA ruling is a blow to China and strengthens the propaganda of Washington which will use it to provide a legal figleaf to escalate its war mongering..."

kropotkin1951

swallow wrote:

Are all countries with corporate ties to the US, therefore US puppets? Is China therefore a US puppet also? 

I didn't make any such claim. You want to debate or throw out stupidities and try to attribute them to me?  You and Bec are cold warriors so I know you can never see reality through any lens except the imperial one. The honourable US protecting the interests of small nations against the bullies of the world is total mindless drivel that only brain washed people could swallow.

kropotkin1951

Bec.De.Corbin wrote:

Yes..but no; only when it fits... Get it?

In the Dominion of Canada you would say.

Ready Aye Ready  or

For God and Country.

In the US of A you say.

Manifest Destiny or

US Love it or Leave or

My Country Right or Wrong

Its easy to see where you get your world view from. You probably have never studied a period in history where you didn't admire the conqueor.

swallow swallow's picture

kropotkin1951 wrote:

swallow wrote:

Are all countries with corporate ties to the US, therefore US puppets? Is China therefore a US puppet also? 

I didn't make any such claim. You want to debate or throw out stupidities and try to attribute them to me?  You and Bec are cold warriors so I know you can never see reality through any lens except the imperial one. The honourable US protecting the interests of small nations against the bullies of the world is total mindless drivel that only brain washed people could swallow.

So, I guess I misunderstood your point in thise links. Please, do tell me, I do learn from many of your posts and am surprised at your stance on this one - which is why I ask questions. 

I don't believe I've referred to the US government at any time as honourable - and I certainly don't believe its government to be honourable. 

I'm thinking back to peace movement marches of the 80s, and the Peace Through Strength folks counter-protesting, calling us all tools of Soviet Russia. Well, no, that wasn't a fair claim. Being critical of one government doesn't make you a tool of another. (Or maybe you think it does, Krop? I would not want to be putting words in your mouth.) 

kropotkin1951

Sorry the links were to emphasis that it is about the oil. You know the same commodity that has reduced Iraq, Libya and Syria to ruins. Control over the oil fields by American firms is what is the basis of the US National Interest in the region.  I would rather see the black poison stay in the ground but barring that it is up to the countries with claims to the area to settle this dispute. I think that the US has no role to play in the region except as an imperial power. I don't like naked agression and that is what this latest naval incursion is.

swallow swallow's picture

Ah, thanks. Yes, it's almost certainly about the oil! 

NDPP

US Pursuing 'Expansionist Agenda' in Asia Pacific: American Pundit (and vid)

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2015/11/03/436077/US-stance-South-China-Sea-

"The US is pursuing an 'expansionist agenda' in the Asia-Pacific region and its position on the South-China Sea has 'nothing to do with the laws of the sea,' an American political pundit says.

'The irony of course is that the US has never protested Chinese claims to the South China Sea when they emanate from Taipei, but has a conniption fit when they emanate from Beijing. This double standard fully exposes the hypocrisy of the US position and its lack of legitimacy,' Prof Dennis Etler said."

NDPP

Even though a piece of theatre, it was an image of hope and promise to a watching world.  The role of Yanqui attack dog is not good for peace or the way of neighbours.

ilha formosa

About that Taiwan-China meeting thing, it's more of a piece of theatre than anything else. Taiwan President Ma had no authority to negotiate anything, yet absolutely nothing to lose. He has been a lame-duck president since the massive and drawn-out "Sunflower Protests" of spring 2014, which were precipitated by a secretive trade deal with China that his KMT tried to ram through without proper democratic review. The Nov. 7 meeting in Singapore was an outgoing hurrah for Ma in an international spotlight - a credential for his post-presidential lecture tours perhaps. As for his KMT, it's trailing badly in polls ahead of next year's presidential and national legislative elections, so this meeting is not a huge gamble for Ma's party either.

And as for China's Pres. Xi Jinping, whatever his timing for calling this meeting (it was very impromptu), surely he is happy to have the domestic image boost that comes from it -- and what else could it produce when all the media in the People's Republic is state(=party)-run. 

So now voters in Taiwan may be even more motivated to support the independence-leaning, albeit moderate and cautious, DPP (Democratic Progressive Party). Xi and the PRC will shriekingly accuse the new Taiwan president of being a "splittist" upon her victory. But actually the most serious threat from Taiwan to China, or more accurately to the CCP, is not the island's desire for independence, which can be prevented by bloody war. The greatest threat to the ruling elite in China, ie. the CCP, is Taiwan's still-maturing democratic way of governance.

swallow swallow's picture

Ilha, any thoughts on the new KMT candidate's chances? I understood that the DPP was pretty much a shoo-in this time, but I did like the image of both parties offering women as their presidential candidates. 

A few years back in Beijing I happened across a "Chinese Taipei" cultural and economic dispaly going on. It sure looked like an attempt to peddle Taiwan's model in a friendly fashion. 

ilha formosa

NDPP wrote:

The role of Yanqui attack dog is not good for peace or the way of neighbours.

That role started declining in the 70's. Yes, the US Taiwan Relations Act can still serve as a pretext for US military activity in the region, for example in 1996. The average person in Taiwan however does not wish to fill the role of Yanqui attack dog. But if it so wishes the PRC leadership can increase support within Taiwan to play that role by issuing belligerent rhetoric, making provocative moves or increasing the number of missiles pointed across the strait. Or by trying to hoodwink the Taiwan public into seemingly benign agreements such as the failed trade pact in 2014, or in any other way meddling in Taiwan's democratic processes.

ilha formosa

NDPP wrote:

Even though a piece of theatre, it was an image of hope and promise to a watching world.  The role of Yanqui attack dog is not good for peace or the way of neighbours.

It helps to know the characters in the act so as not to be duped. As in Quebec politics, in Taiwan politics another major axis intersecting the left-right axis of the role of the state, is the question of sovereignty. So why are these former arch-enemies, the CCP and KMT, now allies?

My hypothesis: The old pattern of countries colonizing other countries has given way to a pattern of greater, more blatant internal colonization, where elites colonize and subjugate populations in their own countries, while working within a loose global elite, or plutocracy, through arrangements such as nice-sounding trade deals. (Trade Minister Freeland ought to know a lot about this.) The CCP and KMT are composed of the elites on either side of the Taiwan Strait.

The KMT in fact remains the bloody (literally) richest political party in the world. Personally, I think a Truth and Reconciliation process needs to take place in Taiwan to lance and heal the festering wounds from the White Terror period of the US-backed KMT dictator Chiang Kai-shek (a period that occurred when external colonization, eg. of Cold War satellites, was still the norm). Financial assets of all parties might then be turned over to a neutrally managed state trust, for elections primarily and transparently financed through this public fund.

Quote:
Wealth of the KMT and Democracy in Taiwan (2014):

Control Yuan member Huang Huang-hsung described the party’s unparalleled assets as ‘the product of an authoritarian party state’ and said the assets must be disbanded for ‘the soundness and consolidation of Taiwan’s party politics, and thereby, its democracy.’...Holding the KMT accountable for its promises to reform campaign finance will be an important part of fostering democracy in Taiwan. Without removing the influence of money on the presidential and parliamentary elections, the voice of the people cannot be adequately represented and unrest will continue. Though the history of the KMT’s assets may be contentious, their future should be clear; the KMT’s assets should play no role Taiwanese politics moving forward.

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