Election day in Australia is set for July 2. It is the longest campaign since the sixties. The goal is for the conservative Coalition to take advantage of that long campaign to attenuate the rise of Labor in recent polls. Sounds familiar?
The latest poll still suggests a narrow Labor victory after 2nd preference counting (Australia uses compulsary vote and instant runoff voting system for the House, single transferable vote for the Senate).
First preference
Coalition (conservative, in power) 41%
Labor 36
Greens 11
Independents and others 12
Two party prefered system (after 2nd preferences)
Labor 51%
Coalition 49
In other parties you can find
Nick Xenophon Team (Social-Liberal), usually credited with around 20% in South Australia
Palmer United Party (Catch all)
Katter’s Australian Party (Left wing nationalist)
Recently Green Leader Richard Di Natale said he is looking to Justin Trudeau for inspiration.