2016 Presidential election campaign 3

New Hampshire newspaper Manchester Union Leader endorses Gary Johnson, Libertarian candidate. If Gary gets into the debates, my hunch it is Clinton who will damaged the most.

I just heard that Johnson is at 13% in some state.

Thu, 2016-09-15 16:54

#164

NorthReport

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-fundamentals-w...

Thu, 2016-09-15 16:54

#165

NorthReport

http://www.270towin.com/

Thu, 2016-09-15 16:55

#166

NorthReport

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Thu, 2016-09-15 17:44

#167

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
I just heard that Johnson is at 13% in some state.

That's super.

How's he doing in the other 49?

Thu, 2016-09-15 18:16

#168

NorthReport

Well, we're not quite ready to talk about that.

Thu, 2016-09-15 18:17

#169

NorthReport

http://frontloading.blogspot.ca/

Thu, 2016-09-15 18:17

#170

NorthReport

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Thu, 2016-09-15 18:28

#171

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
Well, we're not quite ready to talk about that.

TBH, it's not really clear to me how a political Libertarian (as opposed to a Civil Libertarian) is the last progressive hope. So, almost no taxes and a tiny, wee, declawed government is still better than Clinton or Trump?

Thu, 2016-09-15 18:32

#172

NorthReport

Well it seems both Trump and Johnson don't seem to feel the need for government - go figure.

Thu, 2016-09-15 19:12

#173

ygtbk

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Quote:
Well, we're not quite ready to talk about that.

TBH, it's not really clear to me how a political Libertarian (as opposed to a Civil Libertarian) is the last progressive hope. So, almost no taxes and a tiny, wee, declawed government is still better than Clinton or Trump?

Preach it, brother.

Thu, 2016-09-15 19:43

#174

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

Gary Johnson is a faux progressive. Sure,legal weed and legal sex work and anti-interventionalism but the Libertarians plans on society are monstrous.

They want to privatize public schools,do away with all government programs,social security,medicare and deregulate everything,use any form of tax they decide to keep for corporate welfare cheques...It would create a society straight out of Mad Max.

I'm glad he's going nowhere.

Thu, 2016-09-15 19:49

#175

NorthReport

Read up on Trump's main man Bannon I think is his name. His mission is to destroy the US governments

It's no wonder Putin wants Trump in the White House

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Bannon

Thu, 2016-09-15 22:07

#176

bekayne

Thu, 2016-09-15 23:23

#177

NorthReport

Seen the latest polls?

Would Sanders be doing better than Clinton?

And where is Sanders these days?

Fri, 2016-09-16 10:23

#178

NorthReport

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/09/16/is-a-change-in-the-air/

Fri, 2016-09-16 10:24

#179

NorthReport

!!!

Fri, 2016-09-16 10:40

#180

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

I am not a Libertarian. Don't be fooled.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOtAau1RVAc

Fri, 2016-09-16 19:41

#181

NorthReport

HOW COLIN POWELL’S LEAKED E-MAILS EXPLAIN THE RISE OF DONALD TRUMP

Forget the his thoughts on randy Bill, or prideful Hillary. What Powell’s e-mails really reveal is much scarier.

http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/09/how-colin-powells-leaked-e-mails-...

Fri, 2016-09-16 19:46

#182

NorthReport

Stop Whining About 'False Balance'

Everyone wants to blame reporters for the rise of Donald Trump. How about the media consumer?

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/features/stop-whining-about-false-b...

Fri, 2016-09-16 20:24

#183

NorthReport

The Crystal Ball’s 2016 Electoral College ratings

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/

Sat, 2016-09-17 11:57

#184

NorthReport

Why Democrats are anxious

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/17/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-elec...

Sun, 2016-10-02 01:22

#185

NorthReport

Successful businessman my ass

It appears that this con artist after having received 14 million from Daddy apparently has not paid income taxes for 2 decades due to his mismanagement of his inheritance

In other words Trump is a chump!

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/donald-trump-tax-records-new-york-...

Sun, 2016-10-02 01:24

#186

NorthReport

!!!

Sun, 2016-10-02 18:07

#187

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
It appears that this con artist after having received 14 million from Daddy apparently has not paid income taxes for 2 decades due to his mismanagement of his inheritance In other words Trump is a chump!

Everything I've seen about this suggests that THEORETICALLY, he could pay the losses forward and not pay taxes on each year's portion of this loss.

Do you actually have a link that shows that he IN FACT did not? Or that claiming this amortized loss meant he didn't pay any taxes?

Sun, 2016-10-02 18:32

#188

6079_Smith_W

No. No concrete evidence at all. In fact, there is a strange gulf of evidence, when you think about it.

From his response:

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/trump-campaign-statement1

Quote:

"Mr. Trump is a highly-skilled businessman who has a fiduciary responsibility to his business, his family and his employees to pay no more tax than legally required. That being said, Mr. Trump has paid hundreds of millions of dollars in property taxes, sales and excise taxes, real estate taxes, city taxes, state taxes, employee taxes and federal taxes, along with very substantial charitable contributions. Mr. Trump knows the tax code far better than anyone who has ever run for President and he is the only one that knows how to fix it.

One thing it does not say in there: federal income tax.

http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/10/2/13137604/trump-tax-return

Quote:

All the Times has is three pages of Trump’s records from 1995. Everything else is informed speculation, extrapolation, and the word “could,” which appears again and again through the article.

Think about how dangerous that was for the paper. Trump could have released his tax returns and proven them wrong. Trump could have shown their speculation to be mere speculation, and used it as a cudgel to discredit their reporting on his campaign. The Times was far, far out on a limb.

But the Times bet correctly. Trump still isn’t releasing his returns. And here’s what that means: whatever is in his returns is worse than what the New York Times is telling the world is in his returns. The Trump campaign has decided it prefers the picture the Times is painting — a picture where Trump didn’t pay taxes for 18 years — to the picture Trump’s real records would paint.

What is in those returns?

Sun, 2016-10-02 18:42

#189

Mr. Magoo

Well, if you're suggesting that the omission of "income tax" from that list is suspicious, I would totally agree.

At the same time, saying "just show us the tax records" sort of smells like "just show us the birth certificate".

Really, though, I just hate to see us all get so sloppy that "he COULD HAVE avoided paying taxes" promptly morphs into "He DID avoid paying taxes" without any intermediate step such as some evidence.

And all of that said, if he paid what the tax laws demanded, what's the problem? More to the point, is that problem a problem with tax laws, or with the people that comply with them?

Sun, 2016-10-02 20:20

#190

NorthReport

Any way you want to slice it Trump is screwed blued and tatooed on this one

Now we know why no tax returns as no taxes were paid

Circumstantial evidence is now hanging Trump by his NOT producing his tax returns

Simple remedy: produce the tax returns which we all know is never gonna happen

Very unpopular Hillary is very lucky she is running against such a Chump and hopefully she realizes one term is enough for her

My hunch Is that Romney, Ryan, or even Jeb Bush would have beaten her

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Well, if you're suggesting that the omission of "income tax" from that list is suspicious, I would totally agree.

At the same time, saying "just show us the tax records" sort of smells like "just show us the birth certificate".

Really, though, I just hate to see us all get so sloppy that "he COULD HAVE avoided paying taxes" promptly morphs into "He DID avoid paying taxes" without any intermediate step such as some evidence.

And all of that said, if he paid what the tax laws demanded, what's the problem? More to the point, is that problem a problem with tax laws, or with the people that comply with them?

Sun, 2016-10-02 20:42

#191

Mr. Magoo

Quote:
produce the tax returns which we all know is never gonna happen

It wasn't that many years ago that it was Trump screaming "just show us the birth certificate".

Are you really that angry that you want to go there?

Sun, 2016-10-02 21:05

#192

NorthReport

You are barking up the wrong tree and that is not a comparable analogy.

When was the last time a a GOP or Democrat presidential candidate did not produce his tax returns?

This Chump is running to be President, things have changed and in today's world transperancy is paramount.

What also is interesting is the source of the leak.

Sun, 2016-10-02 21:10

#193

NorthReport

Tax History Project

Presidential Tax Returns

Presidents

President Barack H. Obama
2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015The President and the First Lady have released their 2013 federal income tax returns, as well as state income tax return for Illinois.

Vice President Joseph R. Biden, Jr.
1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015The Vice President and Dr. Jill Biden have also released their 2013 federal income tax returns, as well as state income tax returns for both Delaware and Virginia.

George W. Bush
2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007

Richard Cheney
2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007Note: For tax year 2001, both President Bush and Vice President Cheney released partial returns. For tax year 2000, Bush released only his Form 1040; Cheney provided a summary of his taxes, but released no forms.

Bill Clinton
1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999

George Bush
1989 | 1990 | 1991

Ronald Reagan
1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987

Jimmy Carter
1977 | 1978 | 1979
Franklin Roosevelt

Gerald Ford
Gerald Ford did not release his returns, but he did release summary data about his federal taxes for the years between 1966 and 1975. [Source]

Richard Nixon
1969 | 1970 | 1971 | 1972

Harry S. Truman
1935 | 1937 | 1938 | 1939 | 1940 | 1942 | 1943 | 1944 | 1945 | 1946 | 1947 | 1948 | 1949 | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 | 1960 | 1961 | 1962 | 1963 | 1964 | 1965 | 1966 | 1967 | 1968 | 1969 | 1970 | 1971 | 1972

Franklin Roosevelt
1913 | 1914 | 1915 | 1916 | 1917 | 1918 | 1919 | 1920 | 1921 | 1922 | 1923 | 1924 | 1925 | 1926 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1931 | 1932 | 1933 | 1934 | 1935 | 1936 | 1937Franklin Roosevelt did not release tax returns during his presidency, but many returns were later made available by his presidential library.

Important Notes: Paper copies of the returns can be ordered from Tax Analysts using the associated document numbers. Copies are also available from the Bush, Carter, Nixon, Reagan, and Roosevelt presidential libraries.

Two caveats: (1) Some of the images are of mediocre quality, reflecting the poor photocopies released by the White House. We're searching for better copies and will make them available as soon as possible; (2) most of the missing years reflect a quirk of the calendar. Presidents release tax returns only for years they serve in office and only while they still hold that office. Consequently, Jimmy Carter did not release a return for 1980 nor did Ronald Reagan release one for 1988 — each left office before returns were due. Likewise incoming presidents do not release returns for the year before they assumed office, even though they hold office when returns for that year come due. 2016 Presidential Candidates

Presidential Candidate Jeb Bush
1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014

Presidential Candidate Hillary Clinton
2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

Presidential Candidate Ted Cruz
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014

Presidential Candidate Carly Fiorina
2012 | 2013

Vice Presidential Candidate Tim Kaine
2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014

Presidential Candidate John Kasich
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014

Vice Presidential Candidate Mike Pence
2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

Presidential Candidate Marco Rubio
2000-2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014

Presidential Candidate Bernie Sanders
2014

Presidential Candidate Jill Stein
2015

Past Presidential Candidates

2012 Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney
2010 | 2011
Mitt Romney Trust
2010 | 2011
Ann Romney Trust
2010 | 2011
Ann and Mitt Romney Family Trust
2010 | 2011
Tyler Charitable Foundation
2010

2012 Vice Presidential Candidate
U.S. Representative Paul Ryan
2010 | 2011 (amended)

Presidential Candidate Newt Gingrich
2010
George W. Bush
Presidential Candidate Rick Santorum
2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010

2008 Presidential Candidate Senator John S. McCain
2006 | 2007 (Note: Large PDFs (7 MB))
Cindy McCain
2006 | 2007
McCain Family Foundation
2006 | 2007 (Note: Large PDFs (12 MB))

2008 Vice President Candidate Governor Sarah Palin
2006 | 2007 (Note: Large PDFs (8 MB))

http://www.taxhistory.org/www/website.nsf/web/presidentialtaxreturns

Sun, 2016-10-02 21:33

#194

NorthReport

Oh, my!

Beware of Putin, Trump’s ‘man crush

Russia under Vladimir Putin — the man Donald Trump admires more than President Obama for his leadership skills — has reached pariah status on the international stage. There seems to be no limits: its bombing of civilians in Syria, its complicity in the downing of a commercial airliner, its annexation of Crimea, and its suspected hacking of U.S. computer systems aimed at weakening Hillary Clinton’s chances and fueling questions about the election’s integrity. Russia poses an incalculable test to global order and security, and the world needs an American president who realizes it.

Even for Mr. Putin, the former KGB operative-turned-autocratic president, this surge of violence and intimidation — in the name of restoring Russia’s greatness — is bewildering. It comes as Russia also has sought to raise its profile and expand its legitimacy on the global front. With oil prices low and foreign investment sapped by economic sanctions, Russia should be reaching out to reverse its anemic growth, stabilize relations and move regional conflicts off the front burner.

Yet Mr. Putin seems determined to move Russia from superpower to rogue as Mr. Trump cheers him on. Russia’s bombing of an aid convoy in Aleppo, Syria, in September underscored its latest brutality in that country’s 5-year-old civil war. Hundreds of civilians have been killed in recent weeks in attacks by Syrian and Russian airstrikes on rebel-held territory, leveling hospitals, water supply plants and other infrastructure vital to everyday civilian life. The weapons have included anti-bunker bombs, whose only purpose is to kill as indiscriminately as possible.

Russia’s attacks on behalf of the Syrian regime indicate it never intended to act in good faith in negotiating with the United States for a meaningful cease-fire in a war that has killed more than 400,000 people. And they come as an international investigation reported its findings this month that the powerful surface-to-air missile that shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over Ukraine two years ago, killing all 298 on board, was brought in from Russia at the behest of Russian-backed separatists and returned that very same night.

The Dutch-led investigation debunked the more outlandish theories Russia offered, as voluminous records, witnesses’ accounts, photographs and other evidence backed up a U.S. government finding that the Russian-made missile was fired from separatist-held territory and likely was provided by Russia.

And Mr. Trump admires Mr. Putin’s strong leadership?

http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/editorials/article105558831.html

Sun, 2016-10-02 21:38

#195

Rev Pesky

From a quoted article above:

Quote:
"Mr. Trump is a highly-skilled businessman who has a fiduciary responsibility to his business, his family and his employees to pay no more tax than legally required.

A highly-skilled businessman who lost near a billion dollars US in a single year. That would be USD $1.5 billion today.

Not exactly a sterling record for a 'highly-skilled businessman'.

Sun, 2016-10-02 22:28

#196

NorthReport

Clinton: 'My worries are not the same as black grandmothers'

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/02/politics/hillary-clinton-zianna-oliphant-k...

Sun, 2016-10-02 22:41

#197

NorthReport

http://cookpolitical.com/story/10039

Sun, 2016-10-02 23:52

#198

NorthReport

Terrorists have favourite in U.S. election campaign

http://www.owensoundsuntimes.com/2016/09/21/terrorists-have-favourite-in...

Mon, 2016-10-03 21:14

#199

NorthReport

Is it over for the Chump?

A Taxing Lesson for Trump From 40 Years Ago

When voters found out that Sen. Bill Brock, a Tennessee Republican, had paid almost no taxes, it was over.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/donald-trump-tax-returns-...

Mon, 2016-10-03 21:18

#200

NorthReport

Maybe now folks will understand that the rich need the poor to pay their taxes otherwise there will be no taxes paid at all. And paying little or no taxes is what the rich are after, more than anything else.

Will Taxes Trip Up Trump?

Mon, 2016-10-03 21:21

#201

NorthReport

As of October 3, 8:04PM EDT:
Snapshot (161 state polls): Clinton 315, Trump 223 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +2.8%
RSS
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 84%, Bayesian 90%
Senate snapshot (47 polls): Dem+Ind: 49, GOP: 51, Meta-margin: R +0.3%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 57%

http://election.princeton.edu

2016 Presidential election campaign 3

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