Trudeau has genuine vulnerabilities that will grow every election going forward. Those vulnerabilities extend to both the Liberal and Conservative parties as well.
Under Harper's watch and under Trudeau's watch income inequality has grown. Automation is predicted to wipe out more jobs. Morneau said we have to get used to precarious employment.
Under both our carbon emissions have grown. We need to actively transform our energy use.
Pharmacare is another big one. Trudeau's program is fake pharmacare. Medicare works because it is single payer.
These are issues now, they will be issues in October, and the situation will be even worse in 2023. Emissions will be higher. Income inequality will be greater. The urgency to act on climate change will be ever increasing.
What will 2027 be like if the Liberals and Conservatives keep bouncing control back and forth? What issues will be most important then? My bet is income inequality/economy and climate change.
Trudeau didn't do the electoral reform thing, he pressured Raybould to give SNC a DPA, he made a fool of himself in India, these things will pale in the couple of weeks before the election when swing voters make up their minds. They will be thinking about the platforms and which will most benefit them.
I am not sure you said it in this thread, might be another, but you suggested that while individually it might not make a difference these scandals add up in time and you are right, they do, typically around the 7 to 10 year mark.
In 2019 the parties with a plausible chance of winning are the Liberals, Conservatives, and NDP. Of those three the NDP is a longshot at best if you put it to bookies. (These are opinions not facts just in case anyone is confused on that point)
The more likely outcome is that we will be looking at a Liberal or Conservative government. My hope is that neither the Liberals nor the Conservatives will win a majority.
My opinions and my disagreements with you are not rooted in secretly supporting the Liberals or in being an inner Liberal that cannot be denied.
You've gotten quite personal in speculating on my motivations rather than addressing the arguments I have presented. If my arguments are so terrible they should be easy to critique without speculation or accusations concerning my motives. You are behaving like a condescending jerk.
My point has been and remains, there are much more important issues for the NDP to be using their very limited communication time to focus on. There is a gaping hole in the bottom of the boat. What is splashing over the sides is a distraction. It's life-jacket time. Trudeau is a dangerous opponent and people are underestimating him again, just like in 2015 when his numbers were low.
In 2015 posters were saying Canadians had seen the light and realized that Trudeau was shallow and incompetent and that Mulcair was a statesman in comparison. Now that they realized it they would never swing back to Trudeau. Trudeau was such a paltry opponent Mulcair could ignore and belittle him.
Back then my prediction that Trudeau was going to win, even when he was in third place, was scoffed at and dismissed as cheerleading because I supported Trudeau against Mulcair and Harper, although many of you saw it as support for the Liberals.
Turns out I was not cheerleading, Trudeau was being wildly underestimated and he did win the election. I am not cheerleading this time either.
The issues of the present and future are income/wealth inequality and climate change/pollution.
https://ejfoundation.org/reports/climate-displacement-in-bangladesh
Two-thirds of Bangladesh is less than five metres above sea level.
28% of the population of Bangladesh lives on the coast, where the primary driver of displacement is tidal flooding caused by sea level rise.
By 2050, with a projected 50 cm rise in sea level, Bangladesh may lose approximately 11% of its land, affecting an estimated 15 million people living in its low-lying coastal region.
The process of salinisation has been exacerbated by rising sea levels. Coastal drinking water supplies have been contaminated with salt, leaving the 33 million people who rely on such resources vulnerable to health problems such as pre-eclampsia during pregnancy, acute respiratory infections and skin diseases.
I won't go hunting for quotes on growing wealth and income inequality but I don't expect that to start shrinking under Liberal or Conservative governments so I am reasonably certain these problems will also grow.