2020 Polls

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Pondering
2020 Polls

The following graph covers January to July 2020 so seems like a good start. While the Liberals still have a comfortable lead I found it interesting that when the Liberals dipped the Conservatives didn't benefit and the NDP did.

Pondering

I got the above from this article:

https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/338canada-the-end-of-the-liberal...

Jumping to the present:

  • Léger’s weekly COVID-19 tracking has the Liberals at 39 per cent nationally, 11 points ahead of the Conservatives. While Léger polled the Liberals as high as the mid-40s earlier this summer, these newer numbers still suggest the LPC remains in majority territory. Moreover, satisfaction with handling of the pandemic remains high with all levels of government, with 74 per cent of Canadians satisfied with the federal government and 79 per cent satisfied with their provincial government. See Léger’s full report here.
  • Innovative Research’s July survey also has the Liberals up by double digits over the Conservatives. However, notice this excerpt from Innovative’s poll report: “Though approval of the government’s handling of COVID-19 has remained stable, general satisfaction with the federal government has been declining since May.”
  • Abacus Data’s latest release shows the Liberals sliding in voting intentions to 36 per cent, with the WE stories making a noticeable dent in both government satisfaction and overall impressions of the Prime Minister. From Abacus’ report: “It is worth noting that 31 per cent of those who voted Liberal say the WE Charity controversy was about trying to reward friends and supporters.”
  • Finally, the latest poll from EKOS Research Associates shows similar numbers to Abacus’, with the Liberals at 35 per cent nationally, down six points since EKOS’ previous poll in June. According to EKOS president Frank Graves: “While the WE Charity scandal clearly hurt the Liberals, there is no evidence that it has helped the second-place Conservatives, who haven’t budged in the polls since the election.” See EKOS report here.

 

Misfit Misfit's picture

Pondering wrote:

The following graph covers January to July 2020 so seems like a good start. While the Liberals still have a comfortable lead I found it interesting that when the Liberals dipped the Conservatives didn't benefit and the NDP did.

The Conservatives and the NDP both have the same degree of incline. This means that some if the Kiberal support also switched to the Conservatives. The Greens show a slight incline as well.