NDP has gained significantly over the UCP since '19 election: What does Rachel Notley have to do now to ensure AB NDP win again?
Jason Kenney - another one of the many political leaders in Canada that needs to resign.
Looks promising to me. I don't see Alberta going Liberal federally anytime soon. It would be great if the federal NDP could make some inroads. Is that a possibility?
I am sometimes called upon to teach the difference between "prepare" and "prepare for". Basically, "prepare" is to get something ready eg. "The chef prepared dinner in the kitchen".
Whereas "prepared for" is to get yourself ready for something that is in the process of being made eg. "The diners prepared for dinner by washing their hands and placing their napkins on their laps".
In the situation under discussion, I think New Democrats need to "prepare" an NDP government in Alberta, before they can even think about preparing for one. IOW, first make it happen.
These polls lead to lots of questions, including even within their own data.
Léger suggests the NDP would overwhelm the UCP by 49 per cent to 14 per cent in Alberta's capital. But while it shows the NDP leading in rural areas and Calgary, it's not by so much that there isn't plenty of potential for the governing party to turn things around in two years. So the last thing NDP supporters should do is start thinking and acting as if another orange wave in 2023 is inevitable.
Angus Reid concludes the UCP still leads outside Edmonton and Calgary in both the north and south.
Still, results like this do indicate New Democrats can expect to hang onto their orange fortress in the capital region, a solid base from which to mount a campaign, and it offers hope of a path to victory in '23.
But even if we believe the Léger poll's indicated split of 36 to 34 per cent in the NDP's favour in Calgary, that's close enough anything could happen in an actual election, especially one that isn't going to happen any time soon. It's also close enough for the Alberta Party, one supposes, to tilt the election one way or another or end up holding the balance of power.
Given the time to the next election, I wouldn't advise betting your garden plot in Strathcona, let alone your entire farm, on the predictive power of either of these polls. It's some of the other speculative possibilities that are more interesting just now.
For example, the Angus Reid survey says Albertans are profoundly unimpressed by the UCP's 2021 budget. It also indicates NDP supporters are much more likely to support a sales tax. But a strong majority of Albertans, about 60 per cent according to both polls, continues to oppose the idea of a sales tax.
In his February 25 budget speech, Finance Minister Travis Toews said "a third-party review of the efficiency and appropriateness of our revenue structure will be important in the future." At least one prominent commentator took that as a hint of a UCP sales tax to come.
So, could the NDP, despite the fact its supporters are supposedly more likely to support the idea, attack the UCP as being inclined to impose such a tax if the party gets a second mandate?
And what if the narrative continues to be widely accepted that Kenney himself is now the UCP's principal problem? Could the government caucus in the legislature decide they'll need to put him on a train for Ottawa sooner than later to save their owns skins?
It's happened before -- most recently seven years ago this Monday, when the Progressive Conservative caucus gave premier Alison Redford the "work plan" that led to her announcement four days later she was quitting.
Premier Kenney may have created the UCP in his own image, but former Wildrose leader Brian Jean obviously still casts covetous eyes on the party that he may feel, with justice, he was cheated out of leading. The RCMP may yet have something to say about that, too.
https://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/alberta-diary/2021/03/two-bad-polls-one...
Woo! Hoo!
With a solid NDP Government lead by Premier John Horgan in BC, and the increasing likelihood of another Rachel Notley-led NDP Government in Alberta, it appears that finally a major political shift is taking place in at least Western Canada
It appears that Western Canadians don't want those sleazy lying Liberals any more.
https://www.calgarysun.com/opinion/columnists/bell-kenney-sinks-in-poll-...
With a solid NDP Government lead by Premier John Horgan in BC, and the increasing likelihood of another Rachel Notley-led NDP Government in Alberta, it appears that finally a major political shift is taking place in at least Western Canada
It appears that western Canadians don't want those sleazy lying Liberals any more.
The only province in western Canada where the contest is NDP vs. Liberal in any meaningful way is BC, and even there, the Liberals are not really Liberals in the way that the concept is generally understood elsewhere in Canada.
Recent polling also has the NDP ahead in Manitoba (provincillay).
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/manitoba-ndp-election-poll-1.597...
Saskatchewan continues to be the weakest western province for the NDP. Not long ago it was the strongest.
Looks like NDP Premier John Horgan may have some close and good company in future Premier meetings
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/alberta-ndp-majority-poll-1.5986052
Bye, bye Jason, and welcome back Rachel
https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/04/16/How-Conservative-Resistance-Crumb...
Bye, bye Jason, and welcome back Rachel https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/04/16/How-Conservative-Resistance-Crumb...
Why are you cheering? Seems like a case of premature genuflection. If they follow the provincial election rules they have two more years of power to fuck things up even more. If they revert to the Canadian constitution they can hang on to power for three more years.
https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/04/16/How-Conservative-Resistance-Crumb...Bye, bye Jason, and welcome back RachelUh, North...it's a fairly common thing for an opposition party to be ahead of the governing party in the polls halfway through the mandate of that government, and then go on to lose when the actual election is called. If you've somehow not noticed, that has happened in your own province over and over again since 1952.
Time left until next Alberta set Election Day - PolitiClock
Countdown to: Wed May 31 2023 *
2 years; 1 month; 12 days
25 months; 12 days
110.5 weeks
773 days
17 hours
36 weeks
40 seconds
Woo Hoo!
The clock is ticking!
Time left until next Alberta set Election Day - PolitiClock
Countdown to: Wed May 31 2023 *
2 years; 1 month; 12 days25 months; 12 days
110.5 weeks
773 days
17 hours
36 weeks
40 seconds
That is if they don't rescind that electoral law and get another year. Constitutionally all those four year terms are changeable. What is in the constitution is a government must call an election before 5 years have expired, so usually some time in its fourth year. BC had a four year set term election law and they went to the people early because frankly the US emulating four year terms are not really good for our system. I have always thought they were a right wing plot because it means the business class knows exactly when the election cycle is and can then spend unlimited money in negative ads prior to the election spending rules kicking in. The Howe Street Liberal electoral arm then got to riff of the ads during the campaign, when big business is restricted in spending. The BC NDP short circuited the Howe Street game plan by going to the polls early.
With a chance at being premier twice, Notley says Kenney is getting it all wrong
Don Braid • Calgary Herald
Mar 19, 2021 • March 19, 2021 • 3 minute read • 179 Comments
Alberta NDP Leader Rachel Notley, left, and MLA Shannon Phillips at the Alberta Legislature in Edmonton on Monday March 8, 2021. PHOTO BY LARRY WONG/POSTMEDIA
https://calgaryherald.com/news/braid-with-a-chance-at-being-premier-twic...
No, no, please keep him there!
Explosive letter circulating within UCP calls for Kenney's resignation
'We, the undersigned members of the United Conservative Party, formally request your immediate resignation ...' says a copy of the letter
https://calgaryherald.com/news/braid-an-ominous-growl-from-the-grassroot...
Napoleon's advice to Alberta NDP: 'Never interfere with your enemy when he's busy destroying himself'
https://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/alberta-diary/2021/09/napoleons-advice-...
Please, please run in every seat in the next Alberta election, and in every Western provincial election from now on for that matter.
https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2021/10/02/run-everywhere-fledgling-ma...
22%
Alberta Premier Kenney's approval rating plummets in new Think HQ poll
https://calgary.ctvnews.ca/alberta-premier-kenney-s-approval-rating-plum...
Nationalize the empty buildings and turn them into low-cost housing
The void in Calgary: How office towers emptied in a once bustling downtown
Calgary, the city with the highest office vacancy in Canada, is now searching for ways to fix a problem that has left the city’s downtown as a shell of its boom-time self.
Surely Kennedy is for the high jump.
Conservatives of whatever stripe are essentially about power and privilege. When a leader becomes electoral poison he is invariably shoved aside.
While it would be nice to run against Kennedy, he will be long gone by the next election.
Jason Kenny deceived Albertans about equalization
https://rabble.ca/politics/canadian-politics/jason-kenney-deceived-alber...
UCP leadership candidates uninspiring
https://angusreid.org/ucp-leadership-review-sovereignty-act-danielle-smi...
Even small town Alberta now appears to have given up on their crazy lady Premier.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/danielle-smith-otherland-alberta-...
Good luck Albertans as you going to need it!
https://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/former-trump-medical-advisor-h...
The Alberta treasury is flush with oil cash and it looks like the province may dodge the recession that is coming for the rest of us. Will Albertans overlook kooky Danielle Smith's crazy convoy crowd and vote Conservative again, if she bribes them with their own money?
https://edmontonjournal.com/news/politics/finance-minister-toews-deliver...
The Trump approach freaks are being released on the Canadian public in Alberta just like as in the USA.
https://calgaryherald.com/news/braid-dictatorial-unworkable-sovereignty-...
Is Smith authoritarian or incompetent or more probably both, eh!
https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2022/12/05/albertas-united-conservativ...
Batting 1000 in the polls since Oct 7 22 Rachel Notley on track to be re-elected as Alberta's Premier as Smith crashes and burns.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/31st_Alberta_general_election#Opinion_polling
Please Advise! Can Danielle Smith Really Declare Herself Queen?
Don’t worry about the premier’s power grab, says Dr. Steve. She’ll change her mind — again.
https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2022/12/07/Danielle-Smith-As-Queen/
What a waste of a government's time, instead of doing things which Albertans actually care about.
https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2022/12/07/alberta-sovereignty-bill-cl...
Alberta’s United Conservative Party and the New Democratic Party are effectively tied, a Mainstreet poll suggests.
The UCP is backed by 47 per cent of decided voters and the NDP by 45 per cent, within the poll’s margin of error.
“The real battleground in the election coming up is going to be Calgary,” said Prof. Trevor Harrison of the University of Lethbridge.
46-44 against the Sovereignty Act.
https://old.ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Alberta_Dec_2022.pdf
On May 29 2023 the people will get their say.
God help us in BC. We already have enough right-wingers coming from the Prairies, and we don't more of them, but they are sure to come-a-knocking with freaks like Smith running things in Alberta.
Alberta NDP says premier’s rejection of federal authority lays separation groundwork
https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2022/12/08/alberta-ndp-says-premiers-r...
What a utterly useless article, but let's here it for future Alberta Premier Rachel Notley
https://calgaryherald.com/opinion/columnists/nelson-ucp-could-make-rache...
...
Come on, let Smith be Smith
To let Smith be Smith, or not to let Smith be Smith? That is the UCP question
Social Sharing
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/alberta-premier-danielle-smith-he...
AB NDP leads the UCP by 9%
https://abacusdata.ca/alberta-politics-deep-dive-december-2022/
Notley if re-elected will restore workers' holiday pay, the only province in Canada without it.
https://calgary.citynews.ca/2022/12/22/alberta-ndp-holiday-pay/
Agreed!
Ten things that won’t happen in Alberta politics in 2023
https://rabble.ca/politics/ten-things-that-wont-happen-in-alberta-politi...
Adler kinda reminds me of Keith Baldrey in that neither one of them toe the extreme right-wing corporate line which of course makes the right-wingers foam at the mouth.