Columnists

Murray Dobbin
A coalition solution to Canada's democracy crisis

| May 3, 2010

Canada is in the midst of a crisis in democracy unique in its history. There is simply no other historical example that one can compare it to. It is multi-faceted and it affects every aspect of our national politics and political discourse. It is inexorably eroding the political fabric of the country and therefore our viability as a democratic nation.

First, we have a government so contemptuous of democracy that it is utterly unapologetic in trying to impose on the country an agenda opposed by probably 75 per cent of the population -- treating its minority status not as a mandate to work with other parties but as an irritating impediment to re-engineering the country along the lines defined by the U.S. Christian right.

Second, we are amongst a tiny handful of countries still saddled with the absurdly anachronistic voting system that allows for government by executive dictatorship by any party that can get 40 per cent of the vote.

Third, Canada is witnessing a continuing catastrophic decrease in voter turnout with just 59 per cent voting in the October, 2008 election -- a result which put us 16th out of seventeen peer nations. This aspect of the crisis is largely the result of the first two: a deliberate plan by the political right to downsize democracy through relentless partisanship and people's frustration at seeing their votes count for nothing.


Fourth is the crisis within the Liberal Party and its virtual collapse as a vehicle for nation building. The era of Trudeau and Turner has been replaced by that of Paul Martin and Michael Ignatieff -- cynical servants of the wealthy and spear-carriers for neo-liberal economic policies that are anathema to genuine democracy and nation-building. This internal crisis has led to a ceiling for their popular support of no more than 35 per cent. While one party's problems may not fully qualify as a crisis in democracy, the absence of a strong centre-left mainstream party puts the fruits of democracy at risk.

No matter how out of synch with Canadians the Harper government becomes on a range of issues -- the Jaffer/Guergis fiasco; the shameful exclusion of abortion from Ottawa's maternal health program for developing nations; the contempt for Parliament; the chronic lying -- the Liberals cannot gain any traction. While it is just one poll, a recent Harris-Decima survey showed the Liberals at just 27 per cent and the Conservatives at 29. The most significant number was the NDP at 20 per cent, just seven points behind the once proud, and arrogant "natural governing party."

The Liberal Party is in the midst of its greatest crisis in decades. Paul Martin and the thugs who ran his leadership campaign destroyed the unity of the party. It will be a long time before its recovers. This is why the Liberals are floundering -- the magic and good judgment (and smart people) that came from feeling entitled to govern the country is gone. Liberals are confused, lack confidence, and don't like each other much. And instead of a leader with a history in the party who might actually understand the problem, they have Ignatieff -- a political idiot savant incapable of repairing the party.

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The only way out of this impasse -- for the Liberals and the country -- is clear to everyone except the one person and party critical to making it happen. The solution to all of these elements of the democratic crisis is the implementation of proportional representation, preceded by a formal commitment by the opposition parties to form a coalition government after the next election. A coalition of Liberals and the NDP, based on a signed accord committing both to a minimum but substantive legislative agenda, and supported informally by the Bloc is not just one possible strategy to rid the country of Stephen Harper and his wrecking crew. It is the only strategy.

Nothing else will work. Good luck to the NDP in their quest to replace the Liberals but we just don't have that much time. The Liberals, it should now be clear, are incapable of winning a majority (this is a good thing) with Ignatieff and quite likely with any other leader on the horizon.

For those on the left who don't trust the Liberals, of course they are right. Their recent history in government is a betrayal of the best of their own legacy. But Canada is facing its greatest threat to democracy in its history and we don't have the luxury of turning up our noses at even this quintessential pro-business party. And forcing the Liberals to recognize that their best bet for survival is through a progressive coalition might actually reinforce what remains of the left wing of that party.

We can either take our chances with a coalition with the Liberals or sit on the sidelines and let it continue on its current path: competing with Harper for the centre-right vote and guaranteeing the continued deadlock. If the right wing of the Liberal party prevails then it will, along with Harper, drag the country ever further to the right and eliminate any hope of progressive policies down the road.

The Liberals are still, inexplicably in my view, blocking a coalition. Ignatieff's rejection of the coalition in 2009 was the biggest mistake the party could have made. Partly out of hubris, partly toadying to the Bay Street bankers, Ignatieff killed the best chance for reviving his moribund party. Had Ignatieff gone along, the progressive policies that the NDP had secured from the Liberals would have put the party back on track. There is nothing like exercising power to give you back your confidence. It is the Liberals who would have received most of the credit and they could have been on the road to recovery.

A coalition is still possible but it will take a concerted effort on the part of ordinary Canadians, social and labour movements, and Liberal Party members to force the party to start negotiations. It should not be that difficult: The Liberals should be in panic mode if they are not and short of dumping Ignatieff and taking a risk with another leader their prospects are grim.

What might a minimum basis for a coalition program look like? For starters, a national child care program which the Liberals, under pressure from the NDP, had almost implemented and to which Ignatieff has said he is still committed. Secondly, a halt to the insane tax cuts, and a reversal of the worst of them to recover some of the $100 billion a year we have lost. Ignatieff has mused about this and Layton would, too, if he had a coalition partner. Third, a commitment to the Kyoto Accord which Canada has already signed. Fourth, vigorous pursuit of the Afghan torture issue (which would finish Harper once and for all), a commitment to a decisive exit from that country, and the forging of a more independent foreign policy.
But most important for the future of the country would be a commitment to proportional representation (PR) or at a minimum, a national referendum on the issue. This will be the toughest to achieve but the NDP, which officially supports PR, should make this the core of any agreement - and the core plank in its next election platform.

An Environics poll commissioned by the Council of Canadians and carried out in February, revealed that fully 62 per cent of Canadians support a change in the voting system to one using PR. Young voters were the strongest supporters, with 71 per cent favouring such a change. Given that only 20 per cent of eligible first-time voters actually cast a ballot, PR might help address that crisis, too.

Comments

Dear Sir,

While your efforts are admirable in analysing the current situation and proposing a solution favourable to the 'left', I would argue they may be naive.

First on Harper and the Conservatives. It would be good to point out that a large percentage of Canadians support them. Sadly, many are new immigrants who are easily fooled by the family values discourse of the Conservatives, who like other parties, gleefully play Ethnic politics when it suits them. This is sad of course, because Harper and the Conservatives in reality are the natural party of anti immigrant and racist elements. In any case, the point here is to remember that millions of Canadians, whatever we may think, support the Conservatives. This is a reflection of what Canada, and Canadians, really are.

Second on the Liberals. Given their track record, it would be silly to think the Liberals are anything but corporate shills who only serve the interests of the elite. They are not going to change simply because they can't. This explains why despite their current decay they are unable to take even a few obvious steps to recover. Of course step one should be to put Ignatieff out to pasture, step two might be to open up the party to the democratic grass roots - of course both these I think would sit with the elite who run the party about as well as an acid enema. I would imagine they don't love Ignatieff and are aware of his deficiencies, but if nothing else he is a loyal servant and fluent in their ways of power and class politics. And they have no one else of a similar type to replace him right now. And as for opening up the party to grass roots democracy - horror of horrors! I can just imagine their constipated winces at the thought of having the 'the rabble' at the table with the corporate power players. Just imagine, they might actually demand to shut down the tar sands, or to pull out of NAFTA or NATO, or to take a closer look at relations with Israel.... oh no, we can't have that...

Let us understand that Ignatieff torpedoed the Coalition because he was told to by his bosses - people for whom sharing power with the rabble and their party the NDP would be like a hot pitchfork up their behind. So no, barring some sort of internal revolution in the party, the Liberals won't change, simply because their owners wont let them.

Finally the crisis in voter turnout and the credibility of the electoral system. Yes it is a crisis, and it is symptomatic - but not so much of folks' disgust with Harper partisanship and Ottawa scandals. It's deeper and more worrying I think. It reflects the degree of alienation and ignorance in our society, something very scary as far as the future of the society is concerned. It means that our media, especially corporate and CBC, has to a large degree succeeded in destroying real political knowledge, debate and analysis among the general population. The media are now little more than propaganda vehicles devoid of credibility and substance, meekly trying to uphold an artificial framework of politics to which fewer and fewer Canadians adhere to. While tragically many 'university-educated' types still set their political clocks to corporate rags like the Globe and Mail, for most people it is the case that they just don't care about politics - they don't know who the players or the issues are, and much less what's really going on in critical areas of policy (economics, immigration, environment, foreign policy, social services, etc...)

Anyway, that's not going to change anytime soon. It is a sign of a disease-like decay of the political system not only of Canada but in many other countries. It explains why Canada is a plutocracy, where Democracy is but a shell game, a public relations spectacle, nothing more... here the real power is held by the top 1% who own more than the bottom 95% of us. They run the show, set the framework for political debate, own the media and the two main parties, give Harper and Ignatieff their talking points, and cunningly use the intellectual class to confuse us, we the great unwashed rabble.

I hate to say it, but there's no simple way out of the wilderness we're in. We can look forward to a continuing progressive decline of our society - as we have been seeing for the past 30 or so years... to get a glimpse of the future of Canada we could look at Mexico today with its massive social problems, poverty and violence. But don't forget, Mexico is a paradise for its ultra rich ruling class. Another indicator of things to come might be Argentina - they were a 'first world country' once, like Canada, seemingly rich, prosperous and with a good measure of social equality. But Argentina was run into the ground by its elites until in 2001 it blew up and a massive popular uprising kicked the old political class out by force - well more or less. Don't forget the rich and powerful are that way for a good reason, and they will never give it up without one hell of a fight...

 

 

Good to see that Dobbin finally "gets" that PR is the best way to begin healing our political problems  -- via a coalition. But I agree with Gladstone that until the corporate wing Liberal stranglehold over its progressive members is squelched, if ever, any future federal coalition will be impossible. (It was clear that the big boy Liberals destroyed any possibility for the coalition, themselves, by dumping Dion, who was frankly too progressive for their purposes.)

Gladstone's take on what's going on politically in this country is, refreshingly, dead on target. 

Right on, Murray. Actually, the coalition wouldn't even have to wait for the next election: if Ignatieff were to grow a spine (OK, big "if") he & Layton could take a coalition to the GG just as soon as they choose to defeat the Harpercrats in a confidence vote. Would the Liberal party's owners allow this? Depends on how much of a liability Commander Steve & Co. turn out to be.

Sorry, Murray.

This is a strategy of surrender. It says the best we Canadians can ever hope for is a Liberal government, so we might as well all become allies, if not actual members, of the Liberal Party of Canada.

That may be good enough for you, but it's not good enough for me.

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