1. Canada's response to the recession not Best In Show, economically speaking
We've heard a lot about how Canada fared better than other nations during the global economic crisis. That’s because our economy was firing on all cylinders going into recession in 2007, the year before the crisis hit.
In fact, we entered this recession from a stronger economic position than the beginning of any other major recession since the Second World War.
But after five years of recovery, we are in a weaker position than any of the past three major recessions (1981-82, 1990-91 and 2008-09).
Rather than providing strong economic management, the federal government promised $20 billion in tax cuts over two years, quickly eroding an inherited federal surplus of $13.8 billion and unnecessarily deepening the deficit when hard times came. Continued tax cuts, in good times and bad, have reduced our ability to manoeuvre in recent months, as oil prices collapsed.
2. The Bank of Canada's economic forecast: slowdown ahead
The global economy is stuttering, with the IMF continually downgrading its outlook for growth.
Canada now finds itself in the same boat, with the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report downgrading growth for 2015 in each of the past three Aprils.
If ever an Economic Action Plan were needed, it's now. Until this year the Plan was based on $100 oil. What's Plan B?
All we've heard about are tax cuts and an emphasis on trade. That's not enough to offset slowing growth, and does nothing to prepare us for the real challenges that lie ahead, as population aging collides with already weak demand.
3. Pre-election budgets are a resume for a job opening. Look at what this candidate is saying about itself.
Budget 2014 showed that the target level of federal government revenues, as a share of the economy, is to fall to levels not seen in the past 50 years. Federal spending, as a share of the economy, will fall to near record levels too.
Canadians are dealing with the twin challenges of a $172 billion infrastructure deficit and a looming wave of retirements. This is precisely the time the federal government should be doing more.
Promising to balance the books in this context is like promising to do less. Would you hire a contractor who says they promise to do less to repair your house…..and expects to get paid the same?
Armine Yalnizyan is Senior Economist at the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives. You can follow her on Twitter @ArmineYalnizyan. You can also catch Armine on tonight’s Big Picture Panel budget discussion on The Exchange with Amanda Lang.
Thank you for reading this story…
More people are reading rabble.ca than ever and unlike many news organizations, we have never put up a paywall – at rabble we’ve always believed in making our reporting and analysis free to all, while striving to make it sustainable as well. Media isn’t free to produce. rabble’s total budget is likely less than what big corporate media spend on photocopying (we kid you not!) and we do not have any major foundation, sponsor or angel investor. Our main supporters are people and organizations -- like you. This is why we need your help. You are what keep us sustainable.
rabble.ca has staked its existence on you. We live or die on community support -- your support! We get hundreds of thousands of visitors and we believe in them. We believe in you. We believe people will put in what they can for the greater good. We call that sustainable.
So what is the easy answer for us? Depend on a community of visitors who care passionately about media that amplifies the voices of people struggling for change and justice. It really is that simple. When the people who visit rabble care enough to contribute a bit then it works for everyone.
And so we’re asking you if you could make a donation, right now, to help us carry forward on our mission. Make a donation today.